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Fraser Nelson Profile picture
@FraserNelson
May 29, 2021 • 9 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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After weeks of having lowest Covid in Europe the UK is now creeping up the league as reopening means more cases... data.spectator.co.uk
...UK now amongst the more liberal countries in Europe for retail...
...with signs of a big economic boom...
...and a surge in job vacancies, with ads now higher than pre-pandemic...
...big question is whether the (expected) rise in cases is a threat to NHS. Bolton has highest Covid in UK but the virus there is rising amongst the young (esp children)...
...big difference is vaccine success....
...which means huge antibody rates amongst the at-risk groups...
So all eyes on Covid hospitalisation at Bolton, the epicentre. Below from 25 May: still far below peak...
But overall, hospital rates after reopening (in black) running below even the best-case scenario released by Sage. This may change, but so far reopening going as well as could be expected.

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More from @FraserNelson

Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Nov 20
This is extraordinary from the Covid inquiry. No modelling “established” that 23,000 lives would be saved if lockdown had happened a week earlier - that was a notorious and debunked Ferguson claim… Image
…the flawed assumptions behind that claim were examined here. spectator.co.uk/article/covid-…
The crucial part of Prof Wood's analysis - exposing the flawed assumptions used to cook up the ~20,000-death figure - was published in this peer-reviewed paper. And never refuted by Ferguson or Imperial.

journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Jun 3, 2024
I'm not sure Tories will win over many people when they use so many porkies in this short video... [1/4]
"Taxes are being cut" - no, they're rising and the Tory plan is to increase them to a 74-year high [2/4] data.spectator.co.uk
Image
"Waiting lists are coming down" - they may well do soon, but they aren't yet... [3/4] data.spectator.co.uk/health
Image
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Mar 22, 2024
Sunak’s furlough scheme was a lifeline , created at breakneck speed. It was a case study in how the civil service can innovate and launch a successful product for millions.

But as Sunak knew, its longer-term effects were deeply uncertain. Would it really facilitate a jobs bounce back?

Things are clearer now…

telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/03/2…
When it comes to post-Covid jobs recovery, the UK has done worse than almost any other developed country… Image
The dismal jobs recovery comes in spite of an unprecedented jump in immigration…
data.spectator.co.uk
Image
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Sep 13, 2022
One of biggest UK economic problems is exit of almost 650,000 workers from the economy since the pandemic.

Figures today show the number long-term sick (in red, below) now up 350,000 data.spectator.co.uk/category/labou…
The same graph, split by age
So the “jobs miracle” under Cameron - that saw a million more join the economy, took a big hit - and things are now getting worse…
Read 6 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Sep 12, 2022
Is Sweden about to have a Conservative Prime Minister? Right now Ulf Kristersson's coalition leading the red-greens 176-173. Result may not come until wed svd.se/a/eEVAgy/valet…
Latest below - NB things can take days to settle in Swedish elections. But Conservative PM (a historical rarity) currently looks like the most likely outcome
With 92% votes counted, Sweden’s conservative coalition leads the red-greens by just one seat. So; too close to call, but Ulf Kristersson still has the advantage (even though his own party is now in third place after showing by the Sweden Democrats) svd.se/a/EQW8da/valet…
Read 6 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Apr 22, 2022
Tech and capitalism have helped drive vast environmental improvements since the first Earth Day.

Here's six reasons to be cheerful:-
spectator.co.uk/article/earth-…
Take air pollution since the first Earth Day in 1970: a story of stunning progress
UK energy use since 1970: peaked 21 years ago
Read 4 tweets

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