Because Bitcoin especially (through the Tether fraud) and cryptocurrency more generally is a pyramid scheme, of course Wall Street and venture capital need it to go mass market. It's the only road to getting out of their current investment at a profit politico.com/news/2021/05/3…
I think it's time for us in the tech world to speak out and make it clear the emperor has no clothes here. Cryptocurrency is sustained by a mix of money laundering, vaporware, fraud, ransomware, gambling, and delusion. It has no social benefit except helping end first dates fast
What we especially need to stress to regulators is that there's no relationship between the technical claims of cryptocurrency and our now over 13 years of experience. It's not decentralized, it's not a currency, it's not a store of value, and it's not a promising technology
Cryptocurrency solves no problems that it didn't first create, and most of those it doesn't solve. Smart contracts are neither of those things—at worst they're an API for fraud, or as @qrs put it, self-funding bug bounties at best
I think most of us in the industry gave cryptocurrency a long leash because it's full of technical cleverness and seemed innovative just on those terms. But it's time we recognize that cleverness is being used as bait to defraud more people and perpetuate a con. Enough is enough
The two things people need to know about cryptocurrency are completely non-technical:
1. If it doesn't work, it's just an easy to lose casino chip 2. If it works, it creates an end run around all financial regulation, and will be dominated by uses those regulations try to stop
Some of those financial regulations are unjust. People can send remittances in crypto to relatives in repressive countries, and you hear their stories from boosters. But people also want to move billions in untraceable crime money around. Guess which traffic predominates
The third path out of this dilemma is to legitimize cryptocurrency by bringing it into our existing regulatory structures, at which point it becomes indistinguishable from technologies that do the same thing at a fraction of the complexity and one millionth of the resource cost.
The only reason proponents have to domesticate cryptocurrency is to maintain a situation like the status quo, where part of it (like Coinbase) sits in the legal economy, the rest of remains in the illegal economy, and pathways between the two continue to function smoothly.
Remember the playbook that Uber used:
1. Promise a revolutionary technology ("self-driving cars are coming"!) 2. Use that promise as a pretext to ignore all regulation 3. Make a fortune 4. Drop the tech story
Same goes for crypto
We also have to address the root reason that cryptocurrency exists, which is that there is a corrupt, overfinancialized casino economy that favors the rich, 2008 proved that the system is rigged so they can never lose, and ordinary people will continue to search for a fairer deal
A lot of young, idealistic people are getting caught up in cryptocurrency because they want to build a better world. Their talent and optimism deserve a better outlet than this scam money, and we all need a better alternative than the status quo
A lot of intelligent observers look at cryptocurrency, see that it makes no sense, and reasonably infer that they must be missing something profound on the technical level. Tech culture has a nice tradition of not deriding new ideas, but we need to break it here and speak out
From the outside (like from Congress's point of view) people see a trillion-dollar new tech industry, a lot of proponents who of course argue this is the next big thing, and some critics. They don't see the huge silent majority of tech people who know it's a scam. That's on us
This thread about cryptocurrency made it to the top of Hacker News and then got flagged off in about seven minutes, start to finish. Just to give you an idea of the polarization on this issue among nerds, and why people with doubts stay quiet
Many people in replies are saying "bullshit, there's no billions in laundered money moving over the blockchain!" Right-because it can't handle the volume! The big money laundering is crypto-adjacent and done through projects like Tether. Only ransomware *has* to use blockchain
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Lurking the r/generator subreddit recently I learned something interesting about the situation in Texas. Quite reasonably a lot of people in the Houston area have decided to get generators installed, since there have been recent major power outages both in summer and winter...
This being Texas, what most people want to run off their generator is a five-ton whole-house air conditioner. This as you can imagine is pretty power hungry, particularly when it first powers on. To avoid storing gas/diesel, a lot of people have opted for a natural gas hookup
Natural gas distribution in Texas is not set up to support hundreds of multi-kilowatt generators running at the same time, let alone firing up at the same time. So what people have collaboratively built in Texas is a system for converting power outages into massive gas outages.
The first time I voted in a US election I was amazed that no proof of citizenship—not even photo ID—was required. From the point of view of an immigrant, you're constantly made to prove your legal residency for stuff—jobs, school, driving—but for some reason not voting.
I don't really get why positive proof of ID isn't a voting requirement, other than the fact that voting law in the US is very old and predates the modern surveillance state. I don't have strong feelings about it, but it's definitely a US oddity, like the lack of national ID
From the point of view of public faith in elections, there does seem to be something rickety about the combination of trust-me voter registration requirements, absentee ballots, and mail-in votes getting counted for weeks after election day.
Cryptocurrency and generative AI make roughly the same size claims to being transformative innovations, so it's interesting to see how many interesting things people have already found to do with the latter, while the first has mostly been an expensive tour through human folly
I like thinking of cryptocurrency as "financial string theory", but for the parallel to really work a lot more physicists would need to be in jail
With both crypto and string theory, you have domain experts in thrall to a mathematical apparatus so intellectually satisfying that they get emotionally invested into bringing it into contact with reality. But instead each failed attempt pushes them further out into la-la-land
Rising from the crypt to talk a little about how pre-wikipedia generations lived. There was a big encyclopedia in the library, but only really rich families would own one. The best that poor kids could hope for was grocery store encyclopedias, bought one volume at a time
Grocery chains really would sell the world's saddest encyclopedia, one slim volume a week, and you felt lucky to have it. Unrestricted access to a full set of the Encyclopedia Britannica is the thing that felt most like having access to the world wide web in the pre-www days.
Naturally when the web came along, we all wondered how encyclopedias would work online, and for a brief while it looked like Microsoft would sell expensive access to a kind of crappy one. And then wikipedia appeared and blew everyone's mind by the fact that it worked
Early this year I went online after taking too many drugs and ordered a Mongolian yurt. Here is my yurt, and here is my story:
The great thing about yurts is you can get high, make a deposit, and forget you bought one for seven months. Then in late July I got email giving me an imminent delivery date and demanding to see a photo of the finished substructure. I tried to bluff them with a quick Lowe's run
The yurt company was totally on to me, though. Everyone lies about the substructure. Demands for photo evidence grew insistent, and I found myself having to level heavy things in the desert while getting heatstroke
This whole thread on large-scale circulation in the Atlantic Ocean is great, but the real showstopper is that global-warming induced breakdown in this flow will result in significant *cooling* for a large chunk of Eurasia, greatly complicating the politics of climate response.
The existing strategy for mitigating climate change is incoherent because:
1. It demands a total restructuring of societies worldwide 2. Most of this burden would fall on developing nations 3. It ignores imminent tipping points that (by definition) there is no coming back from
But with no politically achievable plan for capping (let alone reducing) global emissions, what will happen is we'll run into one of these tipping points, and if that happens to be AMOC collapse, then suddenly a bunch of G7 economies have much less incentive to decarbonize