David Menschel Profile picture
Jun 1, 2021 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1. @Twitter appears to be blacking out several of my tweets suggesting that homicides went up in liberal cities and conservative cities even though that is objectively true.
2. Here again, is @twitter blacking out my tweets.
3. Here is one of the tweets that @twitter is blacking out in other people’s feeds. It is objectively true.
4. Here is another one of the tweets that @twitter is blacking out in other people’s feeds. It is objectively true.
5. Here is another one of the tweets that @twitter is blacking out in other people’s feeds.
6. Note that this information alone bolsters the veracity of what I was saying. Note that some of these cities are liberal, some conservative. Some have reform DAs, some not. Some had significant protests, some much more limited protests. Etc.

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More from @davidminpdx

Mar 5
1. This is completely false. A blatant lie. The fact that a journalist is printing this verifiable falsehood ONE DAY BEFORE AN ELECTION so that it can’t be rebutted is journalistic malpractice in the extreme. And yes, I have receipts. 🧵
2. Let’s start with VIOLENT CRIME.

Let’s compare the number of violent crimes in the year before the progressive DA took office (on January 1, 2021) and the number of violent crimes last year.

2020: 20,657
2023: 18,568

Violent crime is DOWN 10%
3. What about PROPERTY CRIME?

Let’s compare the number of property crimes in the year before the progressive DA took office (on January 1, 2021) and the number of violent crimes last year.

2020: 53,024
2023: 46,972

Property crime is DOWN 11%
Read 8 tweets
Oct 1, 2023
1. This piece is so bad for so many reasons. Another laughable data-free “death of Portland” caricature in the NY Times’ endless series. Just such lazy garbage.
2. As I’ve said many times, if Portland is dying, most American cities are dying, since if one looks at data, based on many metrics, Portland is doing pretty decently compared to most cities. Crime is up, for example, but remains average for a US city.  
3. But these reporters have invented a largely bullshit storyline – Portland is dying – not Miami that has lost 80,000 people over the last few years. Not Nashville or Dallas or Louisville or any of the dozens of cities that have higher homicide rates.
Read 20 tweets
Sep 5, 2023
1. Of course shoplifting isn’t victimless. 2. Despite relentless media efforts to create a moral panic around it, evidence suggests theft is extremely low right now. 3. There is almost no evidence the typical theft by “organized rings.” …
4. “Organized rings” are such a fluid category, they could mean a ton of different things. 5. Lots of people stealing from retail stores even if “organized” (ie not working alone) are probably pretty hard up — it’s a shitty way to make a buck….
6. If elite reporters weren’t so insanely lazy, they might do some actual reporting and discover that the typical retail theft is actually an inside job by store employees!
Read 7 tweets
Aug 14, 2023
CNBC effectively points out that the national media, including, among many others, the New York Times, has been effectively helping retailers gaslight the public about a massive “wave” of shoplifting that data suggests is low by historic standards. https://t.co/mklU78wC50cnbc.com/2023/08/10/ret…
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To the extent that loss is a problem, internally, large retailers identify theft by their own employees and new self-checkout technology – not the sensational examples of roving bands of poor/black people caught on video that newspapers depict in hysterical terms. Image
Employee theft has long been a bigger problem than shoplifting, and “despite what companies say in public,” experts suggest little has changed. Loss is fueled by employee opportunity, a strong job market, and a lack of employee loyalty.

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Read 7 tweets
May 15, 2023
How do people get paid to write this fucking garbage? Violent crime on the NYC subway is literally DOWN **87%** since 1990s. Image
During the pandemic subway ridership plummeted and subway crime did as well – thereby *causing the 2022 return to normal to look like a big increase in % terms. But even in 2022 after this large % increase, there were 2200 felonies on the subway *DOWN FROM 18,000* in the 1990s. Image
And again, it’s not just down from the 1990s. I would bet felonies on the subway year was one of the lowest per rider in the HISTORY of the NYC subway. I mean pick any year to compare it to. Here is 1981 and 1982. Last year was down 85% compared to the early 80s. Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 9, 2023
1. Even as wrongful convictions go this one is outrageous. The witness to a murder picked out the photo of a black youth named Sheldon Thomas. Police then knowingly arrested a *different black youth, also named Sheldon Thomas who they had a beef with. nytimes.com/2023/03/09/nyr…
2. Again, detectives, prosecutors and even the original trial judge “knew from the outset” that the witness had picked out a different person “but they proceeded anyway.” It’s beyond outrageous. Image
3. And the corruption doesn’t end there: The witness who picked out the photo of (the wrong) Sheldon Thomas was *coerced into doing so by the police! And prosecutors? They failed to disclose false police testimony. Image
Read 8 tweets

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