The WSJ is now feeding the news cycle another article claiming to have "damning" evidence that COVID was created in a lab. It's a scientific claim, so one I can assess. 🧵
I value scientific experience (the kind that brought you the vaccine), so note the authors are (1) a self-proclaimed entrepreneur in breast health & coronavirus, who has received FDA warning letters (2) a Koch-funded climate denying physicist, albeit one who changed his position.
They reference the CGG codon that David Baltimore called a "smoking gun" in Nicholas Wade's piece. Baltimore told me he only meant to point out that we should consider a lab-origin hypothesis (uncontroversial). He told @profvrr that Wade twisted his words.
CGG is rare in coronaviruses but it exists. @K_G_Andersen is no longer on Twitter but he points out that 3% of arginine is CGG in SARS-CoV-2; 5% is CGG in SARS1 etc. See the thread @waybackmachine
Andersen also pointed out that feline coronaviruses have CGG-CGA, meaning it's a single nucleotide difference (ie evolution can make these codons in viruses). An A to G switch happens frequently because it's synonymous, it doesn't change the function of the amino acid.
But in WSJ, our esteemed breast health entrepreneur & climate-denying physicist argue that this mutation couldn't happen RANDOMLY. Reader: Mutations happen randomly. Evolution doesn't have an aim or a direction. It's actually pretty awesome. evolution.berkeley.edu/evolibrary/art…
I talked @AlJazeera about how the media is feeding the media on this runaway story about a lab-leak, with smarter comments from @BeijingPalmer & @GidMK
To be clear, a lab leak is possible because we don't have enough evidence to rule it out. But this uncertainty is being manipulated. I talk about this with @noabaker@NaturePodcast (we discuss the CGG issue, specifically, too) nature.com/articles/d4158…
I wrote this piece about how unsubstantiated allegations of a lab leak & the volatility of the debate may IMPEDE studies on Covid origins & interfere with the ability to end this pandemic & prepare for the next one. That requires collaboration & consensus. nature.com/articles/d4158…
This doesn't stop influential figures from pushing a provocative story about how the scientific establishment/science journalists suppressed a lab-leak hypothesis because they're liberal/cancel culture. Consider we look for the science & it's not good.
🚨Breaking: New study lends weight to suspicions of undiagnosed bird flu infections in people. Nearly 15% of farmworkers had antibodies agst H5N1 in a small study.
A lack of surveillance is a problem for all of us.
My latest @KFFHealthNews +@NPR npr.org/sections/shots…
This is the 1st study on missed infections from people on farms w/outbreaks -- who fell sick but weren’t tested.
It means the US is missing cases & may not notice if the virus became more contagious. It means we’re basing decisions on incomplete data. kffhealthnews.org/news/article/b…
I asked dairy workers why they’re not getting tested.
No one had heard of bird flu, never mind gotten PPE or offers of tests. One said they don’t get much from their employers, not even water. If they call in sick, they worry about getting fired. kffhealthnews.org/news/article/b…
“We’d like to be doing more testing,” said Nirav Shah @CDCgov. The CDC is confident it could bc it has a million H5 bird flu tests, & has given them to some 100 public health labs.
Fauci wrote on the slow test rollout in covid, which damned the country.
"The [CDC] traditionally had a go-it-alone attitude, excluding input from outside sources...instead of immediately partnering w/the diagnostic industry, it started from scratch" theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
Flashbacks to 2020. Remember nurses in garbage bags? Hospital & nursing home leadership told staff to forego N95s, pointing to CDC advice that they weren't warranted. >3,600 health workers died of Covid in 2020.
Flashback to 2020. Remember horrific outbreaks in nursing homes & prisons?
A lack of testing -- despite our enormous capacity for it -- meant outbreaks exploded. A lack of strong advice & regulation led to testimonials like this one, from a veterans' home.
In 2021, outreach included mobile vaccine sites & education. It worked. But ended.
Now the vaccines cost 4x more. @Maybarduk asks, “If these vaccines had been kept at the same price, what decisions would be made to expand the response?” kffhealthnews.org/news/article/n…
2.Set nurse-to-patient ratios in hospitals. The nurses we briefly cheered for are facing violence & burnout & leaving the profession, and we need them. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/…