Professor of Evidence Based Medicine @carlheneghan has decided to destroy the evidence of all the times he's been wrong during the pandemic.

Like many covid contrarians before him, he's wiped every tweet more than a few weeks old from his account. Luckily the internet remembers.
An archive of his tweets can be found here:

web.archive.org/web/*/https://…*

Ironically, one of the last tweets he deleted was promoting a Spectator article titled "Covid has emboldened our modern censors".

He seems to have now chosen to censor himself. 🙄

spectator.co.uk/article/covid-…
Other highlights include promoting his own Spectator article "The Hidden Cost Of Lockdown", which (whether intentionally misleading or just sloppily worded) initially implied that tens of thousands of covid deaths were somehow "lockdown deaths".

Or when he claimed there was no sign of a second wave .. in the middle of the second wave in the North and Midlands that went on to kill thousands of people in October and November.

Or when he suggested in July that the false positive rate was 2.3%.

Which was clearly nonsense when positivity rates in some areas were 0.1% or less at the time.

Or when he claimed that 1/4 of the UK's population had been tested for covid, after confusing the number of unique people tested with the number of tests "made available" (including millions "sent out" but never used, and people tested multiple times).

Or his habit of only tweeting about excess deaths when there aren't any, then going strangely quiet whenever there's a surge in covid deaths that he said wouldn't happen. 🤔

It'll take more than deleting a few thousand tweets to restore his reputation...

As usual, Twitter messed up the URL.

Just search web.archive.org for twitter.com/carlheneghan* (including the asterisk on the end) to see a full list of his archived tweets.

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More from @_johnbye

6 Jun
Conservative peer, friend of Cameron and Hancock, married to a Tory MP, worked for McKinsey, then hired them and 72 (!) other management consultancies to help run Test & Trace, at a cost of half a billion pounds...

She's going to get the job, isn't she?

thetimes.co.uk/article/dido-h…
She does have some useful skills though.

She produces a good business plan, for example. Even if it bears little or no relation to reality. And even if what she's running is supposed to be a public service, not a business. 🙄

And she's either a brilliant liar or a useful idiot who doesn't know what's going on in the "business" she's running.

Exhibit A: her wildly misleading and/or worryingly ignorant evidence to a Commons Select Commitee last year.

Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
Pretty sure Naomi Wolf is taking the piss now.
Even Twitter seems to have finally had enough of her shit. Image
Read 7 tweets
27 May
The government seems to have published a shelved PHE study today just to defend Matt Hancock against accusations by Dominic Cummings about discharging patients from hospitals to care homes without testing them for covid.

And the study is flawed, due to that very lack of testing!
It's been widely assumed that many deaths in care homes in the first wave were caused by patients being discharged from hospital without being tested. A policy that continued until April 15th.

This issue was raised by Cummings in his testimony yesterday.

dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
The study looks at this issue and claims it only caused 286 deaths.

It was conveniently published today, just in time for Jenny Harries to reference in a press conference.

But it's dated April 2021.

And it's clear it was actually written last autumn!

gov.uk/government/pub…
Read 11 tweets
26 May
Assuming any of this is true (it is Dominic Cummings, after all), it paints a pretty damning picture of a government hopelessly unprepared and woefully unsuited to dealing with a serious emergency.

dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
For starters, apparently the Prime Minister and others were convinced the whole thing was overblown, and that the economic damage from acting would be worse than the death toll from doing nothing.

They saw it as another Swine Flu.

They were wrong.
Once they got past that, herd immunity WAS the initial policy, because they didn't see any alternative. Either 260,000 people die in the spring (the "optimal" strategy!) or even more die in the winter.

He claims there was even talk of asking people to intentionally get infected!
Read 11 tweets
23 May
PHE's study on vaccine effectiveness against the Indian B.1.617.2 variant is out, clarifying figures leaked to the FT yesterday.

It confirms the 1st dose is less effective against B.1.617.2, but the 2nd dose still gives similar protection. However...

gov.uk/government/new…
As @fascinatorfun pointed out, the FT figures mixed data from both Pfizer and AstraZeneca jabs.

The study breaks it down by vaccine and, on the face of it, isn't good news for AstraZeneca (ChAdOx1).

But they do say this may be partly due to 2nd jabs starting later for AZ.
Data for both vaccines on preventing symptomatic cases is similar 21+ days after the first dose -

Pfizer:
49% protection vs B.1.1.7
33% protection vs B.1.617.2

AstraZeneca:
51% protection vs B.1.1.7
33% protection vs B.1.617.2

So about a third less effective against B.1.617.2
Read 9 tweets
22 May
Handy thread on vaccine protection against variants.

First dose seems to be significantly less effective against the B.1.617.2 (Indian) variant.

Second dose still provides excellent protection against both the B.1.1.7 (Kent) and B.1.617.2 variants though.
Looking at how effective vaccines are at stopping you from catching covid and developing symptoms -

1st dose:
51% protection against B.1.1.7
33% protection against B.1.617.2

2nd dose:
87% protection against B.1.1.7
81% protection against B.1.617.2

But it's worth remembering that the vaccines also make you less likely to die or become severely ill if you *do* catch covid.

While we don't have data yet on how this translates to B.1.617.2, there's no evidence it's more deadly than other strains.

Read 5 tweets

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