A little discussion on how effective curfews and permits can be in a lockdown.

Thread πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
No Curfews/ Permits
-Can leave home for non essential reasons
-Can visit supermarkets freely
-Crowded locations
-More Queues (which create contact)
-More workplaces open

All which leads to higher transmission.
Introducing Curfews and Permits
-Allocated weekly shopping trip (which manages crowds and prevents social contact in essential shops)
-Making it illegal to leave home after 7pm and at weekends (breaks transmission further)β€¦πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
-Only allowing you to leave home for certain reasons (this reduces social contact in crowded parks and streets as it will effectively be illegal to leave home, also makes T&T easier, only being allowed to leave home for Essentials (Permit grants you permission)).
Curfews and Permits in a lockdown reduce…
-Transmission
-Human Contact
-Unessential reasons to leave home
-Even places limits on essentials (which allow better lockdown management)
-Ensures the public are controlled far better.

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More from @zerocovidzoe

9 Jun
Thread discussing the proposals of #Lockdown4, thread will includeπŸ‘‡

-Intro into rising cases, deaths and hospitalisations
-How we failed with the last 3 lockdowns?
-How we can learn from abroad?
-What #Lockdown 4 should look like?
Introduction to data πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
Cases

The situation with #B16172 (Delta)
-Cases since May have been rising
-Have overtook #B117 (Kent) as the dominant strain in the U.K.
We know that #B1672 has significant resistance to both #AstraZeneca and #Pfizer especially with one dose as it’s only 30% effective.
Second dose is around 70% effective (20% drop from other VOC’s

google.co.uk/amp/s/news.sky…
Read 40 tweets
9 Jun
The situation in the North West is not good and from the looks of things the rest of the U.K. is catching up. The current wave is slowly mirroring to that of the Autumn/ Winter wave. This is quite clear that #COVID19 is not a seasonal virus. This is evidence we need #ZeroCovid
Cases are on an upmost slope to that of the Autumn wave back in 2020. As you can see the surge began to pick up at 2k cases in Autumn. This wave due to #B16172 seems to be picking up a lot faster and catching up to Autumn rates. πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
Hospitalisations are extremely worrying, steady rise in comparison to Autumn. As you can see this wave is rapidly catching up. It’s worrying to take into consideration that many hospitalisations are young and vaccinated individuals too (many fully vaccinated). πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
Read 13 tweets
8 Jun
Tread highlighting
-The situation with #B16172 (Delta)
-21st delay and why the delay is needed
-How we should be locking down going forward (especially over the winter)
πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
The situation with #B16172 (Delta)
-Cases since May have been rising
-Have overtook #B117 (Kent) as the dominant strain in the U.K.
We know that #B1672 has significant resistance to both #AstraZeneca and #Pfizer especially with one dose as it’s only 30% effective.
Second dose is around 70% effective (20% drop from other VOC’s

google.co.uk/amp/s/news.sky…
Read 52 tweets
7 Jun
A thread explaining how the UK’s lockdown approach has failed and IS continuing to fail.
Thread πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
A summary of the UK’s lockdown’s
πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
Lockdown 1
-No masks (indoors or outdoors)
-No restrictions on how often you can leave home
-No restrictions on why you can leave home
-Outdoor exercise should not have been allowed
-No curfews
-No permit system
Read 24 tweets

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