Ryan Watkins Profile picture
Jun 15, 2021 13 tweets 4 min read Read on X
We live in a multichain world.

Today there are 10 blockchains storing more than $10 billion in assets, as well as several ecosystems with meaningful development and activity.

THORChain is vying to sit at the center of this world as infrastructure for cross-chain finance.

1/ Image
For nearly a decade people have speculated about the potential for decentralized exchange between blockchains with some conceptualizing it as the “holy grail”.

Today it’s still largely an unsolved problem at scale. Image
THORChain is an attempt at fulfilling this vision.

It is a cross-chain liquidity protocol built using the Cosmos SDK that aims to provide a variety of cross-chain financial services including exchange, lending and borrowing, and synthetic assets.

messari.io/article/thorch…
At a high level THORChain is a network of nodes and liquidity providers.

It recently launched Mainnet in April with caps on liquidity pools.

The community progressively raises these caps as the network proves out its security and works through bugs. medium.com/electric-capit…
THORChain currently supports 5 blockchains including:

- Bitcoin
- Ethereum
- Litecoin
- Bitcoin Cash
- Binance Chain

Traction though limited by its self-imposed caps has been promising, with liquidity pools quickly hitting their new limits each time they are raised. Image
At the core of THORChain is its native token RUNE which plays an essential role in both liquidity provisioning and network security.
1. All assets in THORChain’s liquidity pools are paired with RUNE, which is the settlement asset of the network.

This allows THORChain to aggregate liquidity more efficiently and prevent liquidity from fragmenting across pools. Image
2. THORChain nodes must bond RUNE in order to become active.

These nodes process transactions and guarantee security for all assets stored in its liquidity pools.

THORChain is secure so long as the RUNE bonded by nodes is >2x the value of external assets in liquidity pools.
With each liquidity pool also being half RUNE the network is designed to incentivize a balance of $3 of RUNE for every $1 of external assets in the network.

It ensures this ratio through the use of a mechanism called the incentive pendulum. Image
The incentive pendulum is a mechanism that dynamically allocates system income (trading fees and RUNE rewards) between nodes and liquidity providers.

It aims to ensure nodes always are bonding two times more than the value of external assets (non-RUNE) in its liquidity pools. Image
At its core THORChain is a vault manager.

It observes incoming user deposits to vaults, executes business logic (swap, add/remove liquidity), and processes outbound transactions.

The second graphic attached here is an example of a BTC to ETH swap. ImageImage
These THORChain vaults provide the foundation for what it calls “THOFi” - the aforementioned suite of financial services enabled by THORChain’s liquidity pools.
In our latest Enterprise research piece we provide a detailed dive into THORChain that includes:

- THORChain Overview
- THORFi Overview
- Competitive Analysis
- Risk Analysis

...and more 🤔 messari.io/article/thorch…

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More from @RyanWatkins_

Jan 27
The most reliable thesis for compounding capital this cycle has been to own fast-growing projects that people actually use.

Everything else is a game of musical chairs, with the dominant narrative changing every couple months, and Burj Khalifa charts that rarely bounce back.

This supposed shift to fundamentals everyone is talking about isn’t coming… it’s already here, but it can only be observed over the course of many quarters and years in the assets that actually compound.
The fast-growing part is key here.

Plenty of value traps in the cryptoeconomy or projects whose fundamentals are solid but don’t support the valuations.

Often times the strongest fundamental names tap into speculative activity for growth which many write off as “not real”
Have fallen prey to some of these situations before as we all have.

Takes introspection to realize you’re being too prescriptive about what should be driving growth rather than accepting what is.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 18
Regardless of whether the Trump coin is real or not, at $9 billion in 3 hours, it is already the largest onchain wealth creation event in the history crypto.
Goes without saying what this means for Solana if real
Will say though, I have mixed feelings about this.

Simultaneously a potential mass onboarding event and a huge risk that it makes the entire industry look like a scam.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 12, 2024
Solana now rivals Ethereum across nearly every key metric.

Yet $SOL trades at just 33% the valuation of $ETH.

Our Solana Thesis Part II: The Data-Driven Case for $SOL.

1/ Image
In Q4’23 Syncracy released a Solana thesis arguing that SOL was severely mispriced at 13% of Ethereum’s valuation.

Today we explore how the thesis has progressed, unpack Solana’s growing network effects, and make the case for parity with ETH.

syncracy.io/writing/solana…Image
Solana’s growing ecosystem of assets, applications, businesses, and users is becoming a compounding superstructure, positioning Solana to be a secular winner of the cryptoeconomy.

This is becoming evident in the data which shows Solana rivaling Ethereum in value creation. Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 8, 2024
Applications on Ethereum and Solana are on the verge of flipping their underlying infrastructure in revenue.

What does this mean for the future of value capture in the cryptoeconomy? Image
Contrary to popular belief, the age of the applications is upon us.

There are now plenty of apps generating 8-9 figures in revenue.

Still, apps continue to trade at huge discounts to infrastructure, which on average trade at ~300x higher multiples.

syncracy.io/writing/applic…
Will infrastructure multiples compress over time and app multiples rise?

We at Syncracy believe that apps capturing a greater share of the global blockchain fee pool and outearning most infrastructure is likely an inflection point for the reckoning that’s to come. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 19, 2024
The era of brain dead private → public token arbitrage is coming to an end.

We simply don’t need more useless infra + tokens while there’s clear secular winners emerging across the cryptoeconomy.

In time the market structure will shift to reflect this.

The frontier is liquid.
Venture strategies will still thrive, but returns will be harder won.

The dispersion of returns between the best and worst will likely increase from here.
Similarly early stage infrastructure investments could still perform well, but will likely require more selectiveness on the part of managers.

You can no longer buy random L1/L2s at 9 figure valuations and expect to dump on retail.

Perhaps applications are next up.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 25, 2024
Over the past year Syncracy accumulated a large position in MKR.

We believe Maker could command a $40+ billion valuation this cycle given its vital role in financing Ethereum’s economy — a multi-billion dollar fee opportunity.

Our thesis on Maker in the Endgame Era.

1/ Image
Maker is the leading decentralized bank in the cryptoeconomy.

At ~2x 2025E revenue, we believe Maker is one of the best risk / reward opportunities today given its industry leading earnings, best-in-class unit economics, and growing market dominance. 

syncracy.io/writing/makerd…
Maker is a leviathan amongst the leaders, capturing nearly 40% of all DeFi profits on Ethereum.

Its competitive advantage is centered around its currency Dai —the most widely used decentralized stablecoin in the industry with its deep liquidity, integrations, and track record. Image
Read 12 tweets

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