Delphi Labs presents: a Dynamic Interest Rate Model Using Control Theory
In this piece, we explore an alternative pricing solution which we believe to be more capital efficient and better suited to the dynamic crypto market. delphidigital.io/reports/dynami…
Lending OGs such as @compoundfinance and @AaveAave typically use a fixed price curve where the interest rate (IR) is determined according to the utilization rate of each money market.
While this model has proved useful and was a clever initial approach to the pricing problem, it has some limitations.
Specifically, it can be too rigid for the constantly evolving crypto market and cannot adjust to changes in external market conditions.
This rigidity can translate into 2 undesirable outcomes:
1⃣ Illiquidity in money markets where the IR doesn’t adjust quickly enough (i.e. when new yield farms pop up)
2⃣ underutilization of certain markets
So, how do we propose to solve this?
By incorporating control theory into the pricing mechanism.
Specifically, we propose using a PID controller that dynamically adjusts interest rates to target an optimal utilization within each money market. Let’s explore 👇
Simply put, the PID controller works as follows:
1⃣ It calculates the difference btwn the optimal utilization + the current utilization
2⃣ It adjusts the IR accordingly. All else being equal, the higher the difference, the higher the IR adjustment
3⃣ It repeats 1⃣ periodically
In contrast to the prevalent pricing model across DeFi, the PID model dynamically adjusts to market conditions.
Given that it doesn’t depend on a fixed curve, IRs within this model will keep adjusting whenever the current state is different than the desired one.
This model will be implemented by @mars_protocol, a lending protocol on top of @terra_money that’s currently being incubated by Delphi Labs.
If you’re a DeFi builder or part of a protocol and are interested in experimenting with this model, please reach out to us; we want to hear from you!
Special thanks to @euler_mab from @euler_xyz for his valuable help revising this report. The initial idea of using a PID Controller within the lending context came from his work in Euler XYZ.
- BTC continues to be in line with Delphi’s cycle playbook that predicted that BTC would reach new highs Q4 2024.
- So far each new ATH for BTC coincided with a monthly RSI breakout >70. Previous bull markets didn’t stop until the monthly RSI broke above 90.
- Based on the monthly price regression channel, BTC is still below 1-2 standard deviation moves that signal tops.
- Institutional interest and easing regulatory climate could be the driver for this bull run.
2/ Solana is just getting started
- Solana will continue outperforming Ethereum due to two simple reasons, Superior UX & better content. No token approvals or wrapping tokens. On Solana it just works.
- SVM is the fastest growing alt-vm eco which helps bolster network effects. Also Anza, Firedancer, & improved wallet infra will continue to improve on the user experience.
- @aeyakovenko vision of increasing bandwidth reducing latency could help Solana maintain its edge despite more competition.
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