Alina Chan Profile picture
Jun 22, 2021 24 tweets 9 min read Read on X
On Singapore’s recent delta variant covid cluster: “The cluster’s index case, Case 62873, is an 88-year-old cleaner who worked at Changi Airport Terminal 3. He tested positive on May 5 despite being fully vaccinated.”
channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore…
Another delta cluster in Singapore at a hospital: “A fully vaccinated 46-year-old female nurse at TTSH, or case 62541, became the first case linked to the cluster after she tested positive on Apr 27.”
“In the Delta variant clusters, Prof Leo has seen vaccinated cases with family members who have tested positive. This means it could still be possible for vaccinated people to spread the virus.”
“The experts stressed that new variant strains arise when viruses evolve to adapt and evade human defences”

“Disorganised, half-hearted attempts are exactly the prescription for viral mutants.”
Singapore’s tracking of covid cases is incredible. It’s only when you can clearly follow the chains of transmission that you can understand whether a new variant can infect and be spread by vaccinated individuals (only Pfizer and Moderna in Singapore btw).
The good thing is that full vaccination still confers protection against new variants, even if efficacy is slightly reduced. So it’s very important for people in high risk groups to get vaccinated, especially in places where there are low vax rates and new variants circulating.
For example, did any of the fully vaccinated airport workers who still got infected with the Delta end up transmitting it to other people?
In India:
“from his experience, he said patients with “reinfections have not landed in the Intensive Care Unit.”
vice.com/en/article/epn…
Very useful covid tracking app for Singaporean cases
h/t @romeo_ph20
covid.viz.sg
@romeo_ph20 Looking at the Bukit Merah market cluster, you can see (if the data is indeed correct) that some vaccinated people are transmitting covid / SARS2 to other people.

Green = fully vaccinated (pfizer/moderna)
Yellow = 1 dose

The selected (blue) vaccinated person is 23 years old. Image
@romeo_ph20 The selected vaccinated person in this cluster is 39 years old. A chef working at Changi prison. Image
36 year old dealer at Marina Bays Sands Casino Image
18 year old national service man at the Civil Defence Academy Image
The site also tells you who was asymptomatic or symptomatic when they tested positive for covid-19.
For example, in this mini-cluster of 3 fully vaccinated people, the connector person was asymptomatic. Image
The purpose of getting vaccinated is preventing severe disease/death. And when your community has high vaccination rates, the likelihood of clusters is diminished. This protects the elderly/vulnerable who may not be fully protected even after vaccination.
This Covid-tracking app in Singapore is super useful for understanding how transmissible the virus is among vaccinated individuals.
Green = 2 doses
Yellow = 1 dose
The central person is 35 years old. This looks like a workplace cluster. 3 fully vaxed people transmitted to others. Image
I'm not too worried about vax'ed people being infected because ideally the vaccine would've protective effect. But I'm worried about the people who distrust the healthcare system and refuse to get vax'ed. The virus can spread via vax'ed people. covid.viz.sg
Wanted to give a shoutout to our own site @CovidCg covidcg.org you can track the lineages and variants in each country over time.

For example, Singapore, delta / B.1.617.2 is shown in light blue.
covidcg.org/?tab=group&gro… Image
In the USA you can see the % of sequenced SARS-CoV-2 that are the delta / B.1.617.2 / Indian (light blue) have also been growing, displacing the alpha / B.1.1.7 / UK (dark blue) over time. Gamma / P.1 / Brazilian is in green. Image
Not as striking as the UK. Delta has completely overtaken Alpha. Image
Plotting similar data for other countries, but measured in counts (like for Singapore above) as opposed to % (US and UK above).

Australia, Japan, S Korea, S Africa. ImageImageImageImage
Another way to use covidcg.org is to plot the new % of sequences that are delta variant per month in each country of interest.

For example, in Singapore, 94% of the June sequences were the delta variant. UK 92%, Australia 60%, Japan 46%, USA 23% etc. Image
Switching the plot to show the new % of sequences that are the alpha variant per month. Image
The beta variant. Image

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More from @Ayjchan

Jul 26
After publishing Proximal Origin in 2020 to dismiss all lab origin scenarios of Covid - under advice from major funders Jeremy Farrar (Wellcome), Anthony Fauci (NIAID) & Francis Collins (NIH) - the first author celebrated:

"WE RUUUUUUULE. That's tenure secured, right there." Image
In 2022, these scientists wrote this about multimillion dollar awards from NIAID:

Ed Holmes: "You mean you have to write grants? I thought they were awarded automatically?"

Kristian Andersen: "I thought so too - that's what Der Fauci said, but I haven't seen the check yet." Image
They were (maybe still are) on cold-calling basis with Anthony Fauci.

One Proximal Origin author wrote: "it is good to have Tony in our corner." Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
Senior advisor to Anthony Fauci, David Morens used his personal email to discuss NIH-related matters and the origin of the Covid pandemic with funding recipients like the EcoHealth Alliance that sent money to Wuhan for risky virus research.

Morens is charged with conspiracy against the US; destruction, alteration, or falsification of records in federal investigations; concealment, removal, or mutilation of records; and aiding and abetting.

From emails released via FOIA or subpoena, there are several co-conspirators and scientists who received communications from Morens' personal gmail, knowing he was attempting to evade FOIA.

"I forgot to say there is no worry about FOIAs. I can either send stuff to Tony on his private gmail, or hand it to him at work or at his house. He is too smart to let colleagues send him stuff that could cause trouble."

"The email somehow fell into the hands of the Congressman, probably via a FOIA of someone who didn't delete it, as I did... mine was erased long ago (I verified that today) and I feel pretty sure Tony's was too. The best way to avoid FOIA hassles is to delete all emails when you learn a subject is getting sensitive..."

"From Tony's numerous recent comments to me, and from what Francis has been vocal about over the past 5 days, they are trying to protect you [Peter Daszak, then president of EcoHealth Alliance], which also protects their own reputations"Image
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Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche: “As alleged in the indictment, Dr. Morens and his co-conspirators deliberately concealed information and falsified records in an effort to suppress alternative theories regarding the origins of COVID-19."
justice.gov/opa/pr/former-…
"The indictment alleges that the conspirators used Morens’s personal Gmail account to... “back-channel” information to Senior NIAID Official 1 [Fauci]. According to the indictment, each of these matters fell within Morens’s role as senior advisor and constituted federal records"
Read 7 tweets
Jul 24
Ralph Baric's interview with @RandPaul shows the dangers of allowing scientists & funders to decide what gain-of-function is permissible.

Baric said Defense Dept announced funding for GOF research & NIH did not consider genetic engineering of animal coronaviruses to be GOF. Image
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@RandPaul Baric claims he does not have unpublished SARS-like virus sequences.

Given that he cannot recall a lot of things like a damning research proposal from 2018 where he was going to put furin cleavage sites into SARS-like viruses, it's better to check his lab records & databases. Image
@RandPaul There were several US scientists on the 2018 Defuse proposal. Apparently, when news of a novel coronavirus in Wuhan broke, none of them thought to check their emails and shared documents with the Wuhan Institute of Virology. They all could not recall.
documentcloud.org/documents/2106…
Read 6 tweets
Jul 23
Reminder: David Morens, who was senior advisor to Anthony Fauci, emailed the Proximal Origin authors and their colleagues in Sep 2021, saying he always tries to use his personal gmail and will delete any emails he doesn't want to see in the New York Times. Image
Morens is facing indictment for evading Freedom of Information Act requests, which is exactly what he described in email to the Proximal Origin authors and their colleagues.

“These allegations represent a profound abuse of trust at a time when the American people needed it most—during the height of a global pandemic... Dr. Morens and his co-conspirators deliberately concealed information and falsified records in an effort to suppress alternative theories regarding the origins of COVID-19."
justice.gov/usao-md/pr/for…
The Proximal Origin authors were working for Fauci on Covid origins. They called David Morens Fauci's right hand man and believed Fauci could convince the Sec of State and CIA to pursue a natural origin of Covid. Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 23
Over the years, several virologists have told me they believe a lab origin of Covid is more likely than a natural origin. I worried it might've been selection bias but it seems even virologists doing gain-of-function experiments told Kristian Andersen the same in 2020.
In 2020, many still thought virus experiments had been conducted at top biosafety (BSL4).

By 2021, it became better understood the work had been done outside high containment (BSL2) and the scientists had a plan to put furin cleavage sites into unidentified SARS-like viruses.
For those who haven't worked in BSL2s, there's a wide range of accidental and even intentional biosafety lapses that occur. Mainly because scientists working at BSL2 don't expect any real risk of causing a deadly outbreak or seriously harming themselves.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 22
New Proximal Origin slack messages (till 2022) show, in late 2021, these influential virologists
1⃣Knew it was plausible Wuhan scientists had created Covid-19 (genetically modified origin)
2⃣Were still talking to Anthony Fauci's people about Covid origins
3⃣Joked they would be awarded grants automaticallyImage
When the 2018 Defuse proposal leaked, showing Wuhan scientists had been given the idea to put furin cleavage sites into SARS-like viruses, the Proximal Origin authors knew the experiments could've gone ahead and they didn't know what genetic engineering strategy and virus backbone the Wuhan scientists would've used.Image
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They hadn't been sufficiently warned by Peter Daszak about these Covid blueprints from 2018.

"I would just like to discuss what our strategy should be so we don't get associated with these f**kers."

"... it is worse than he was suggesting a few days ago. He's a jacka**." Image
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Read 7 tweets

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