YTD (Jan-Jun):
📊Index: 17%; Overall market returns: 20%
📈Industrials, Power &Commodities best performers - old school capex heavy sectors
↔️ Asset light & new age has underperformed
🕺The rally has shifted to small & micro caps (YTD returns of 38% vs 17% for large caps)
3/11
Cash volumes have dried out on NSE in the last few weeks, indicating some tiredness in the rally:
4/11
Enough jokes have been made lately on Value investing.
@ckaiwu's memo explains that value investing has been underperforming due to sole focus on tangible assets and failure to incorporate intangible assets in Intrinsic Value.
P/E and P/B only measure tangible aspects: Book value and accounting earnings fail to account for intangibles.
They rely on backward looking measures and mostly ignore the future value of intangible investments such as patents and R&D.
6/11
Key takeaways from RBI's FSR:
✍️NPA stress is lesser than anticipated
✍️Worst case scenario now (GNPA of 11.2%) is better than Best case (GNPA of 12.5%) an year back
✍️RBI has managed the yield curve via GSAP & OMOs- low MTM impact for Banks
✍️High Covid Insurance settlement
7/11
Discussions around green and clean energy are increasing globally. But that doesn't mean Thermal power is fading out soon.
Mr. Aswath Ram, MD of Cummins India shared relevant insights in Q4 call on why renewables will take time to scale and why Green Hydrogen matters:
8/11
Jefferies India Long-Only Portfolio:
💹Created by Christopher Wood (Global head of equity strategy) and Mahesh (India Head of Research)
💹 16 stocks (Financials: 40%; Energy: 20%; RE: 17%)
💹 Preference for ICICI group over HDFC & Kotak
💹 Bullish on Housing and RE recovery
9/11
Travel is back in US with a bang. With almost half the population fully vaccinated, US saw highest air traffic in two years on June 24th: 47,000 flights/24hr period
Cab rentals are 140% of 2019 levels.
10/11
Quote of the week: Investment returns versus investor returns.
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We looked at every company with promoter buying for the period from April 1st to June 30th (Q1 FY23).
A thread.
Please like and retweet to help more investors
1/n Total 178 names - Part 1 of top 64 here 👇
2/n
Total 178 names - Part 2 of top 64 buying here 👇
Note: Top promoter selling at the end of the thread
3/n Sectors that saw the highest level of promoter buying: 1. Cements (mainly) and metals 2. Chemicals and API 3. Auto and auto components 4. Capital Goods 5. Financials
As Philip Fisher said: Getting a reality check directly from people associated with co. gives us "much deeper" insights☝️v/s just reading reports & financials
Russia controls ~17% of Nickel’s total supply & obviously with that amount of supply going out of system, one would assume prices to rise
But someone expected prices to fall!
A🧵on how the 2.3x surge in Nickel prices was triggered by a short trade & not due to supply crunch
What happened exactly?
A Chinese tycoon "Xiang Guangda" who owns the Tsingshan Group, the largest nickel mining group in China had placed huge short bets on London Metal Exchange (LME), expecting the nickel prices would fall.
We wonder why he held that view👀
1/n
This bet went horribly wrong when Russia banned commodity exports & Nickel prices started surging
To cover a big short position, someone had to buy equivalent long positions.
This created a short squeeze & Nickel reached $1lakh/ton & inturn led to notional loss of $8 Bn+!😱 2/n