The penalty shootout in football is the essence of performing under pressure. I spent 5 years of my life studying the Psychology of this event. Here's what I learned, which can also help understanding it in the current Euros/Copa America. Thread based on 10 of our studies. (1/13)
We analyzed videos of EVERY SINGLE SHOOTOUT in the World Cup, Euro, and Champions League from 1976 to today, interviewed 25 players who were there, and personally tested predictions in practice with 15 elite teams. The unsurprising conclusion: This is a psychological game! (2/13)
Players in the World Cup, Euros, and Copa America miss more shots when pressure is high (late in the shootout), have lower shooting skill (defenders), are older than 23 yrs (younger players score more), and are fatigued (played 120 min). (3/13) Article: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17127587/
"Superstars" can be a liability in a penalty shootout. AFTER receiving a prestigious individual award, players score 65% of their shots. PRIOR to receiving an award, they score 89%. Status adds pressure to an already high-pressure event! (4/13) tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…
Positive mind helps! Players who need to score to not instantly lose score 62% of their shots, while 92% of shots where goals instantly give a win are scored. Players also prepare quicker and turn gaze away more on high-stress instantly-lose shots. (5/13) journals.humankinetics.com/view/journals/…
Players from different countries historically respond differently to the stress of penalties. English players, more than others, have turned their gaze away from the goalkeeper AND responded quicker to whistle. Probably to get relief from stress. (6/13) tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…
Ghosts from the past play a role for performance today. If your team lost in preceding shootout(s), you’re more likely to miss your current shot; if your team won, you’re more likely to score. Valid also if not personally involved in past events. (7/13) bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.111…
Quick preparation (ball placement/reaction to whistle) associated with fewer goals. Grounded and composed is smarter. However, short wait (for the referee's signal) is linked to more goals, suggesting goalkeepers are wise to delay the referee. (8/13) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Interviews with 10 players who participated in a 2004 Euros penalty shootout showed they faced an intense explosion of different emotions - both helpful and harmful, positive and negative. The ONE emotion absolutely everyone experienced was ANXIETY. (9/13) researchgate.net/publication/35…
Taking a shot in a shootout is a dynamic and intense stress experience. Across time phases (after extra-time, mid circle, the walk, the shot), the most anxiety is experienced in the mid circle. From starting the walk, primary focus is on the shot. (10/13) psycnet.apa.org/record/2011-30…
Many believe penalties is all about luck. True or not; we found that the more players believe the outcome of penalties are down to chance/lottery the more likely they are to experience destructive anxiety. Perception of control is key. (11/13) researchgate.net/publication/28…
Each kick is an individual act, but the shootout is a team event. Players' communication (verbal/non-verbal) is critical for the outcome! Expansively or intensely celebrating an individual goal increases the chance of the team ultimately winning. (12/13) pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20544488/
Knowledge about success factors is only the beginning to mastering the penalty shootout in practice. Smart teams approach this holistically, transfer the insights to concrete action, and practice with quality. The best teams in 2021 are committed, clever, and clandestine. (13/13)
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A subtle England penalty shootout innovation (since 2021) is their deliberate, structured & functional use of social psychology.
Here, Saka is picked up by John Stones after his penalty, to swiftly welcome him back in the team.
What did England do and why did they do it? 1/7
Against the Swiss, each English penalty taker had a buddy assigned, who would leave the mid circle and greet the penalty taker back into the group after each kick.
This is consistent with a new trend that teams now not only assign penalty takers, but also assign protectors. 2/7
I assume this buddy would also support their assigned penalty taker if he were to fail.
This was was painfully lacking in 2021, when Rashford walked 50 m alone after his missed shot, while facing a wall of teammates in an interlocked formation as if communicating US vs YOU. 3/7
The last minutes before penalty shootouts can teach us about managing under pressure.
France's Deschamps doesn't buy into penalty training. This can be spotted.
In the World Cup final, he seemed clueless about who would shoot. Tchouaméni was picked after intensely scanning. 1/8
Argentina's manager Scaloni has a different view: "We always practice penalties."
Ahead of the penalty shootout vs the Netherlands, Scaloni took less than 15 sec to pick 5 penalty takers (Messi was a given).
The swift process communicates confidence and that he has a plan. 2/8
Each of the 5 penalty shootouts in the 2022 World Cup was won by teams whose managers spent the shortest time communicating their tactical/logistical instructions after extra time.
To be brief under pressure could indicate that important decisions were made in advance. 3/8
A penalty shootout is a psychological battle. In the 2023 Women’s World Cup, players on Sweden & USA tried to cope with stress in very different ways.
We cannot see inside their heads, but we can observe micro behaviors & try to infer what they mean.
Here are my best guesses.
The two goalkeepers handed the ball to their penalty takers ahead of each penalty kick. This is a, by now, well-known strategy to give each penalty taker a friendly start to their pre-shot routine.
However, the two teams substantially differed in HOW this hand-off took place.
Naeher, the US GK, did a quick & focused hand-off.
Then, for the first 3 US penalties, Sullivan, Horan & Mewis had a nearly identical pre-shot routine.
✔️Eyes focused on the ball
✔️A 3 sec pause after the whistle
✔️A deep breath prior to run-up
Alexis Mac Allister’s penalty kick against Manchester United s a pure test of performance under pressure.
Penalty at 0-0.
8 minutes into overtime.
One way to maintain calm here is to proactively take control over yourself & the situation.
How did Mac Allister do this? 1/5
First, Mac Allister grabbed the ball early, then moved away from the commotion and chaos around the referee and the penalty spot.
This is likely helpful to keep a clear focus on the task - the imminent shot, and avoid opponents' attempts to disturb and distract. 2/5
When the penalty area is cleared, Mac Allister moves towards the penalty mark, places the ball & takes up a waiting position by the ball – instead of immediately walking back.
I like the composed, step-by-step routine, where HE (and not others) decides when he does what. 3/5
Was this the moment that decided the United v Brighton FA Cup Semifinal?
Wout Weghorst scored his kick, then got the ball and handed it over to Brighton’s Solly March with his own “kiss of death”.
March proceeded to deliver the only miss in the shootout.
Here the details: 1/6
Up until this point, Brighton goalkeeper Sanchez had given the ball to the Brighton players.
This is a routine many teams have employed since England successfully did it at the 2018 World Cup.
The do it to give the penalty taker a “friendly” beginning to their kick routine. 2/6
When Weghorst spotted the ball and handed it over with his personal greeting, he also attracted attention from the referee, who carefully monitored the situation.
While the referee then had his back to De Gea, the United GK started brushing his foot along the penalty mark. 3/6
Lionel Messi has an extraordinary ability to perceive & act appropriately upon critical information on the pitch.
Here is a breakdown of his perceptual, cognitive & emotional performance in key moments of the 2022 World Cup final - starting with his 3-2 goal.
Thread 1/12
For this goal in the 109th minute, Messi scans extensively towards areas off the ball prior to receiving the ball.
In the last 10 seconds before scoring, he has 7 scans (0.7 scans/sec). Initially, his scans are long, allowing him to gather more information from each scan.
2/12
Right before Messi gets the ball the first time, he swiftly redirects his gaze when the ball moves right to left.
A head-to-head gaze comparison with Upamecano shows Messi moving his gaze to imminent ball locations a few 1/10s of a second earlier than the French defender.
3/12