Kwasi Kwarteng on Sky has tried to play down claims millions of people will be told to self-isolate before August 16.

"I don't think you can necessarily conclude there'll be millions", he said.

But that's not what the simple maths based on the government's own figures says...
Attached table shows the ratio of positive cases recorded by Test and Trace vs the number of NHS Covid-19 app contact tracing alerts. (Excludes Test and Trace telling people to isolate).

Sajid Javid says we could reach 350,000 cases a week by July 19 and 700,000 by August 16...
... If we're running at a ratio of almost 3:1 then never millions pinged overall this summer, you could have a million people pinged *per week* by July 19
(*Never MIND millions pinged over summer)

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More from @danbloom1

7 Jul
Boris Johnson defending the £20-a-week Universal Credit cut at the Liaison Committee just now: “The answer is to get people into work”.

Sigh… louder for those at the back… 37% OF PEOPLE ON UNIVERSAL CREDIT ARE ALREADY IN A JOB
PM says "If you asked my to make a choice between more welfare or better higher-paid jobs, I’ll go for better higher-paid jobs." I mean... does it have to be a choice... ?
Boris Johnson all but confirms there is no way back for the Universal Credit cut.

Asked if he'll review it, he says: "Of course we keep everything under constant review but I’ve given you a pretty clear steer of what my instincts are."
Read 4 tweets
7 Jul
SNP's Ian Blackford on voter ID crackdown: "This is a British PM seeking to make it harder to vote, because it’s easier to get re-elected if the government can choose the voters, rather than letting the voters choosing the government.”
Shouts of protest from Tory benches as Blackford continues: "Will the PM withdraw these vote rigging proposals immediately, or he will continue down the path of being a tinpot dictator."
Interesting choice of words by PM which doesn't contest the fact that in-person voter fraud allegations are practically non-existent:

“I do think it reasonable to protect the public in our elections from the *idea* of voter fraud. Nobody wants to see it...
Read 6 tweets
25 Jun
Did Hancock break guidance or Covid laws? Mini thread:

On May 6, indoor gatherings between people from different households or bubbles were against the law - unless they fell under an exemption such as being “reasonably necessary” for work.
A person would “commit an offence” if they broke this  without an exemption, and could be fined £200 on the spot.
Separately, official guidance at the time - which was not a legal restriction - also urged people to stay apart.
Read 7 tweets
9 Apr
Government is to more or less enter a media blackout during the period of mourning for Prince Philip - no Covid press conferences, no press releases other than for essential public health reasons, no ministers on media interviews, including the usual political shows this Sunday.
Covid reopenings will still go ahead as planned on Monday - though Boris Johnson has changed his plans to raise a pint in a newly-reopened pub.
Government scraps all Covid press conferences and interviews in wake of Prince Philip's death…
Read 5 tweets
7 Apr
BREAKING Under-30s to be offered alternative to AstraZeneca vaccine amid blood clot review

BUT... if there is no alternative available in your area you'll still be offered the AZ vaccine.

Rollout of the AZ jab is NOT being halted in the UK.…
MHRA chief Dr June Raine: “The evidence is firming up and our review has concluded that while it’s a strong possibility, more work is needed to establish beyond all doubt that the vaccine has caused these side effects.”
Prof Jonathan Van-Tam: "Because of our supply situation in relation to alternative vaccines, the effect on the timing of our overall programme should be zero or negligible."
Read 8 tweets
4 Mar
BREAKING: IFS think tank has accused "honest" Rishi Sunak of failing to level with the British people over a £4bn-a-year public services cut in the small print of the Budget…
IFS analyst Carl Emmerson warned this autumn’s Spending Review will be “particularly tough” for unprotected areas of government like the Home Office, Ministry of Justice, and local government which includes social care.
IFS: “There’s going to be something that feels a bit like austerity for at least some public services if we are going to keep to these spending plans."…
Read 4 tweets

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