Colin Zwirko Profile picture
Jul 7, 2021 10 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Previously unreleased footage of a North Korean missile test released in a new film July 3 on KCTV (of the observation bunker, not test itself)

Most likely one of the failed Hwasong-12 tests at Sinpho in April 2017. How I came to this conclusion below:
First of all, no previously publicized test footage/pics match this particular bunker/scene/attire.

Narrator says it's right after the March 18, 2017 rocket engine test.

Big clue is a missile trajectory map on Kim Jong Un's desk, looked like Wonsan at first but likely Sinpho Image
Here's this map compared to Aug 24 2016 Pukguksong-1 test off Sinpho (top) and May 29 2017 missile test from Wonsan (below). Distortion/angle plays a part, but it's other evidence which also helps pinpoint Sinpho Image
Most obvious was this lighthouse, but I tried and couldn't find ground photos or drawings that matched it. Environmental surroundings match this to east of Sinpho though (40.031422° 128.327790°)
Note lighthouse curving path, tall rocky location of it, permanent roads ImageImageImageImage
Lighthouse resource here helped narrow it down, and it was helpfully mapped by @JacobBogle

I kept finding the famous Yeonpyeong-do lighthouse when searching, and it looks quite similar (but that's South Korea)
ibiblio.org/lighthouse/prk… ImageImage
@nktpnd helped me rule out the failed March 22 2017 missile test from Wonsan-Kalma airport (the soonest after the rocket engine test which the narrator mentioned) since the observation spot was apparently at the airport for that one 38north.org/2017/04/jbermu…
He also pointed me to this previous instance of failed Apr 2017 test pics being released, and these don't really match this new footage either. Those were much more revelatory anyway than this latest
To get weirder down the rabbit hole, I could only spot these same TV stands and KJU's especially ornamental desk in 1 other observation bunker, from the Aug 24 2016 Sinpho test.

However, stranger still, I couldn't find that particular chair anywhere else, it's really unique ImageImageImage
In the end, not sure what value comes of this other than just being able to see which officials were with Kim Jong Un on the day of a failed missile test. Oh and we get to see his 1st gen Volkswagen Touareg SUV up close, didn't see this pointed out before
nknews.org/2021/07/north-… Image
For now I'm not gonna try to ID every official, though we see Ri Pyong Chol who was heading the Hwasong program

(also the VW Touareg, pre-2010 model, was also seen at the March 18 rocket engine test on the opposite coast in Sohae) Image

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More from @ColinZwirko

Jun 30
Today's SRBM test was from Jangyon in South Hwanghae, JCS says. NK fired a Hwasong-11A (KN-23) from there in March 2023, see below thread.

On today's, JCS said 1 SRBM at 5:05am, then saw a ballistic missile "trail" at 5:15 with no further details yet
nknews.org/2024/07/north-…
JCS updated to say
-1 SRBM at 5:05am from Jangyon, flew 600km toward northeast
-1 unspecified ballistic missile from same place at 5:15am, flew 120km

Must be some reason for lack of details on the 2nd missile, might get another JCS update
nknews.org/2024/07/north-…
No detection announcement from Japan military today. Same for the last launch from Jangyon on the west coast, so maybe location is a factor, but Japan also didn't report CRBM launch from east coast in May
Read 5 tweets
Mar 28, 2023
North Korea blurring more faces of officials. This guy seems to have been at a March 2016 nuclear device inspection with KJU (on right), but i'm not sure what his name is nknews.org/2023/03/kim-jo…
@ArmsControlWonk @DaveSchmerler Also not sure what the names of these two are, though they're not blurred and the guy in the first collage is more high-profile (name may be public)
As for the other blurred guys, we've got a 2-star and another 1-star. Unclear if the first guy is the hilariously obscured 2-star from last week (3rd pic)
Read 7 tweets
Oct 12, 2021
Lots of new missile launch footage from the past few years, of tests that were only covered in still photos in state media at the time
Sister and brother Kims watch a parachuter
Read 5 tweets
Oct 11, 2021
Wow. Hwasong-16 on stage behind Kim Jong Un at Defense 2021 meeting, more from @nknewsorg soon
@nknewsorg It's got everything. Hwasong-16, 15, 14, and that new "hypersonic missile"?

A portrait of Kim Jong Un sitting in military uniform with Pak Jong Chon at his shoulder too
Hwasong-12 not 14 at the right, apologies
Read 11 tweets
Oct 10, 2021
I haven't seen such a long yet generic Kim Jong Un speech in years I don't think. Focused on ideology, it's just reminders of things from his speeches since the January Congress. People will nonetheless be busy studying it now, and it seems he thinks they need the reminders
Context: He gave a speech at a "lecture" on Sunday Oct. 10, the 76th party foundation anniversary

Unimportant notes:
-He's exclusively worn a suit and tie (not a Mao suit) in his last 6 formal appearances, since a Sept. 2 politburo meeting
-Stage seating arrangement is awkward
Not sure why, but everyone was apparently instructed not to take any notes and to just listen intently to Kim Jong Un during this speech. Typically, we see everyone taking notes throughout his speeches
Read 7 tweets
Jul 7, 2021
Should have confirmation on North Korea's recent leadership shakeup shortly, state media has reported that Kim Jong Un visited the Kumsusan mausoleum on the death anniversary of Kim Il Sung (July 8), but is being abnormally slow with releasing images. Stay tuned to @nknewsorg
@nknewsorg Oh wow, it appears the replacement for Ri Pyong Chol has not been made yet, or that he was edited out... Image
@nknewsorg In any case, Ri Pyong Chol and Pak Jong Chon remain in the top leadership group despite their respective apparent demotions last week. They're both in the image at Kumsusan with Kim.
Read 10 tweets

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