Alec Stapp Profile picture
Jul 12, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
I'm gonna stop you right there
wtf does "ultra, ultra low" even mean
"Interests at 1% were good for economic growth but interest rates at 0% caused GameStop"

got it, makes total sense
basically what this op-ed is arguing for
According to this NYT op-ed, if the Fed raises interest rates, then companies will borrow less money to do share buybacks and more money to build new plants/products because........ ?

In what model of the economy does this make sense??
This paragraph claims that price indexes miss the "cost increases obscuring a household-to-debt buildup for all but the wealthiest"

But thanks to an easy money/low interest rate/dovish Fed, household debt service costs are at an all-time low.

Did anyone fact check this op-ed?
This paragraph reminds of that famous quote: "If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey it, he is obligated to do so."

We shouldn't immiserate ourselves just because an old statute calls for "moderate" interest rates
Also the author gets the "moderate" interest rates thing backward. Interest rates were high at that time the law was passed, so a call for "moderate" interest rates is asking for lower interest rates

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More from @AlecStapp

Aug 15
This is what’s wrong with our permitting system:

A single NIMBY retiree can spend all her time suing to block wind & transmission projects from being built.

Activists used these same rules to block nuclear projects in the 1970s.

Now they’re being used against all clean energy. Image
She’s filed more lawsuits against clean energy projects than anyone in else in her state.

And while she doesn’t always win, that’s not the point:

The process is the punishment for project developers.

She is harassing them until they give up and go away. Image
Say goodbye to your net zero goals if you make it this easy for one person to block new clean energy from being built. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 11
THE LAUNCH SEQUENCE

A new collection of 16 essays on how to accelerate AI for science & security: ifp.org/launch

The AI revolution is already delivering enormous consumer benefits. But AI progress won't automatically solve humanity's most important problems first. To get the future we want, we need to shape the trajectory of AI progress.

This series is a step toward that future…Image
1. @fiiiiiist, @taoburr, and @timhwang have an intro essay on how to actually shape AI progress: ifp.org/preparing-for-…
2. @AdamMarblestone & @Andrew_C_Payne on how to map the mammalian brain’s connectome to solve fundamental problems in neuroscience, psychology, and AI robustness: ifp.org/mapping-the-br…
Read 22 tweets
May 6
🚨 THE TECHNO-INDUSTRIAL POLICY PLAYBOOK

Is the United States still the world’s leading techno-industrial power?

The answer is no longer obvious — and that should worry us.

To restore our lead, we need to act.

A new joint project from @IFP @JoinFAI @AmerCompass and @newindustrials offers 27 actionable policy proposals to rebuild American industry.

Check it out at rebuilding.tech

Our organizations don’t agree on everything (e.g., tariffs), but we do agree there are immediate steps we can take to boost industrialization & innovation.

We shouldn’t imitate Beijing’s playbook — America succeeds by leveraging our own advantages.

US innovation does not rely on top-down economic mandates, forced tech transfers, or intellectual property theft.

What we do need is the same level of seriousness that China brings to its techno-industrial agenda.

A serious country wouldn't allow red tape to delay critical investments worth hundreds of billions.

A serious country wouldn’t educate the world's brightest minds only to send them away.

A serious country wouldn't cut core investments in science — but would instead target them toward high-risk, high-reward opportunities.

We can make different choices.

We can revitalize our industrial base, scale up our scientific capabilities, and build a military to deter emerging threats.

Here are the 27 proposals to make it happen… 🧵Image
We have 8 proposals on frontier science & technology:

1. @calebwatney on launching x-labs for science

2. @timhwang and @JoshuaTLevine on foreign data flows for AI

3. @sophiabrownh and @r_zwetsloot on reforming federal hiring

4. @LarsESchonander on reforming the SBIR program Image
5. @fiiiiiist on special compute zones

6. Brady Helwig and @arrian_ebrahimi on the national semiconductor technology center

7. @stuartbuck1 experimenting with NIH funding

8. @JacobSwett and Aman Patel on bio threats Image
Read 9 tweets
May 5
This is the best one-paragraph explanation for what's gone wrong with our institutions: Image
The incentives here are so bad.

astralcodexten.com/p/book-review-…Image
“Adversarial legalism” is the source of many of our problems.

nytimes.com/2022/05/29/opi…Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 28
Short thread of my favorite charts showing the efficacy of vaccines...

(1/6) Measles Image
(2/6) Polio Image
(3/6) HPV vaccine and cervical cancer Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 21
Most people are still drastically underestimating the potential of solar + storage.

Here are the 6 key charts you need to know.

1/ The world is adding new solar capacity at a breakneck pace: Image
2/ Solar PV costs have fallen by more than 50% in just the last 10 years: Image
3/ More than 50% of the capacity waiting to connect to the grid are some type of solar PV project. Image
Read 7 tweets

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