We always knew this day was coming.

But I didn’t expect it so soon.

I would say this marks the end of the beginning - the end of the web’s first form.
Here’s what comes next, from my perspective:

- more aggressive use of ML to minimize the effectiveness of centralized web-based platforms for heterodox thinkers/doers.

- endpoint monitoring (your android phone is next)

- possibly even at the chip level
Will be interesting to see what @Apple does here. They have been playing with iCloud encryption, which would prevent this type of thing so far as I understand. But given the pressures, I’m only 50/50 on them not caving as well.
h/t for all of this to @aginnt - give him a follow to track this, and similar tech developments!

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More from @AreDangerousMen

18 Jul
Some thoughts on 5G…

From the guy who coordinated the entire USG strategy on it, from the national security council.

1/5
Telecom equipment today is like a TI-83 calculator.

Custom built hardware.

Works really well. But is expensive to build and only works at scale.

2/5
At some point in the future, that hardware will turn into a .exe file downloaded into millions of servers worldwide, sitting in data centers, and at the base of cellphone towers.

In other words: @pmarca‘s prediction continues its long march down the stack.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
18 Jul
The Four Horsemen of the New Golden Age:
1: Ubiquitous and unhindered communications
2: Low cost compute
Read 5 tweets
17 Jul
It’s like math - you can infer it from raw facts:

- make a list of ten quantifiable things you care about (“access to water” “days of snow per year” “close to…” etc)

1/4
next:

- pick out twenty places you *might* want to live, spread out across the country or world and rank them 1-10 for their qualities per your ten factors.

2/4
Finally:

- see which places score the best. Backwards extrapolate generalizable features of those best-scoring places and look for other similar locations.

3/4
Read 5 tweets
25 Jun
It’s Friday afternoon and I’m thinking a lot about our upcoming fundraising round.

Surprisingly enough, my mind keeps returning to a lesson I learned the first time (of three) I almost got myself killed.

A short thread…
I was on a three month @NOLSedu desert survival course; one month of backpacking, one month of open-water sailing, then finally one month of sea kayaking down the West coast of the Sea of Cortez.

Ten students. Two instructors.

We were about two weeks from course end.
The an old soldier’s tale = you make a big mistake after ~200 hrs of practice. You’re getting comfortable, think you have the hang of it, and drop your guard.

So it makes perfect sense that after three weeks of sea kayaking for 8-10 hours a day, I was due for a royal f-up.
Read 21 tweets
4 Jun
1/ The West is at a disadvantage in 4th Generation Warfare (“4GW”).

We see the world through the lens of category, for example, “friend” and “enemy.”

“War” is a state. It must be declared. Mutually agreed upon. Understood by all.

But others think differently…
2/ The legacy of Aristotle exhorts us to use words to describe reality.

Other cultural forms teach other things, like “use words to deceive.”
3/ In 4GW one must be able to ignoring the words, and look at intent, action, and result.

Ask: what actually happened, then search for facts.
Think: what will result from this.

Then: keep in your mind the range of possibilities. Because we may never know the truth.
Read 5 tweets
2 Jun
1/ Noting for the record that were it not for @HarveyMultani I would not be #BuildingInPublic at steinman.substack.com

For those that don’t know Harvey - you should - for the many years I’ve known him he has been about 18-24 months in the future at any given time.
2/ I was skeptical, but post #1 had 400+ views within 48 hours. Not “huge,” but a strong signal that Harvey was on to something.

Second post, similar numbers (300 views). Third post, even better (750 views) helped by $$ RT’s by infosec 👑 @0xAlexei and legend @davereaboi.
3/ Two weeks in and I’m getting regular emails/messages/DM’s - “The suspense is killing me” and “just tell us what you are building already!”

Alas, if you think the “big reveal” is coming in the next few days, I hate to break it to you: we have a long way to go.
Read 13 tweets

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