Kids and youth and COVID - an unofficial look at AB data (from the weekend)
< 20 are about 24% of the population, about 23% of COVID-19 cases, and about 3% of COVID hospitalizations. Looking at the last two waves with reopening Jan 11 and May 25th (or 29th?) can't remember
So far OVERALL about 4% (1 in 25) <10 years and 6% (1 in 16) of 10-20 year olds have tested positive, with 0.02% (1 in 4434) and .03% (1 in 2860) hospitalized in those age ranges. (Of the ~10,000 Albertans who have died of COVID, none have been <20).
There definitely were lots of outbreaks in the last wave while case # were ridiculously high. The average number of cases per documented outbreak in schools really is lower than most other settings, with often under a handful of cases, with some big exceptions...
where some educational settings had really big numbers- identified risks/ circumstances would be good to know - from here it really looks like schools that did the recommended things were generally amazing (and did better than many "adult" settings).
It will be great to be able to vaccinate <12s once the vaccine efficacy and safety are proven in that group - as they are at low risk of severe COVID we need to set a v high bar for safety to balance risk-benefit. For now, to protect kids we need to VACCINATE THEIR ADULTS...
and control community transmission. Next, keep up the symptom screening, isolation, and handwashing (this will help when COLDS COME BACK), assess /optimize the ventilation, and I suspect masking will depend on what's going down just before school start, like the ON guidance.
Our children and teens deserve stability and safety this fall after going through so much.
Talk to any family members and friends in "wait and see mode" about vaccination: if they wait til fall and we have a big surge, we will be collectively failing the kids, who deserve better.
Adding a good point brought up- even if small numbers and not “clinically significant”, school outbreaks are hugely disruptive to all the hardworking staff, all the affected students and their families: again- protect them, keep transmission low, get vaccinated.
I crossed wires and was tired / not processing well- that’s about 10,000 HOSPITALIZATIONS in AB and DEATHS are over 2300. (There have been kids-youth hospitalized and COVID19 positive, and some in ICU but no documented deaths.)

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