A story of how the AAP destroyed its credibility on COVID in 3 headlines:
6/30/20: "Why a Pediatric Group Is Pushing to Reopen Schools This Fall"
7/7/20: "Trump pushes state, local leaders to reopen schools in fall"
7/11/20: "AAP Walks Back Support For In-Person Schooling"
AAP has no more credibility on if schools should require masks than your local elected official does, which is to say, none whatsoever.
Adults have had ample opportunity to receive a highly effective vaccine.
Kids are not at substantial risk from COVID-19.
At some point, we have to make a paradigm shift from "safety from COVID at all costs" to "the comprehensive wellbeing of children at all costs" -- and we have to acknowledge that the many schools which operated pretty close to normally last year did not invite disaster.
Links to articles in the initial tweet:
6/30/20 New York Times: nytimes.com/2020/06/30/us/…
7/7/20 Associated Press: apnews.com/article/virus-…
7/11/20 Yahoo: yahoo.com/lifestyle/aap-…

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More from @malkusm

13 Jun
One year ago, a study was released claiming that the use of face masks prevented 77,000 infections in Italy and 66,000 infections in NYC in a one-month period.

CNN, of course, was quick to publish an article, as were many outlets:

cnn.com/2020/06/12/hea…
How did they arrive at these conclusions? They performed a linear extrapolation of the case curves in each location and assumed those extrapolations would have been materialized in the absence of masking.

Seems legit!
Here is the study, which now has TWO associated letters dated October 6 and October 13, both of which roundly criticize this paper for its lack of scientific rigor.

pnas.org/content/117/26…
Read 5 tweets
11 Jun
"[O]n Dec. 21, MNPS announced the testing plan and MMCV Inc. was formed. Meharry did not announce the formation of the subsidiary for five more months. In January, the Metro Board of Education unanimously approved the $18 million contract with MMCV Inc. without discussion."
Here's that announcement, carefully fed to the Nashville Post and Nashville Business Journal. Remarkably, the press release neglects to mention that this entity had invoiced for $10 million in services **before announcing their formation or naming a CEO.**
nashvillepost.com/business/educa…
The entire article deserves a read though - $1.16M of the $10M *actually* went to testing students, & many line items were for materials that were donated or received by Meharry/Metro for free.

This money was blatantly passed through to MMCV under the guise of emergency.
Read 4 tweets
14 Apr
The @ACLU has been conspicuously absent with respect to governmental overreach and our authoritative approach to public health during the COVID-19 pandemic.

But they had an awful lot to say about how a pandemic should be handled in 2008: aclu.org/sites/default/…
"Coercion and brute force are rarely necessary. In fact they are generally counterproductive - they gratuitously breed public distrust...
...
Minorities and other socially disadvantaged populations tend to bear the brunt of tough public health measures."
"This report calls for a new paradigm for pandemic preparedness...
Everyone, including ... government agencies and officials, should be accountable for their actions before, during and after an emergency.
..
Emphasiz[e] community engagement rather than individual responsibility."
Read 11 tweets
26 Mar
Nearly one year ago today, @PublicHealthUMN released a COVID-19 model which projected COVID-19 hospitalizations in Minnesota under a variety of scenarios - from prolonged stay-at-home orders to no mitigation - for the next year.

Here is how their model did against actual data.
As a reminder: @GovTimWalz specifically cited this model as rationale for implementing his initial stay-at-home orders, and by extension, all of the restrictions which have impeded the lives and livelihoods of Minnesotans ever since.
mn.gov/governor/news/…
Would Gov. Walz do it over again if he was given a model that produced the correct result? Or would he still rely on a model that was originally built by grad students in a single weekend?
cse.umn.edu/college/featur…
Read 4 tweets
25 Mar
Tonight's comparison of European excess mortality.

Which country:
- Has had mask mandates since April 2020?
- Closed schools repeatedly?

Which one's health minister said: "We could have achieved the same effects and avoided some of the unfortunate impacts by not locking down"?
Left: Czech Republic
Earliest mask mandate in all of Europe (3/18/20)
Less than two months of in-person learning in many places

Right: Norway
Second-lowest compliance rate in Europe
Schools open since 4/27/20
Here is @USATODAY taking a victory lap on Czech Republic's early masking and high compliance in July. Their subsequent wave produced excess deaths which exceeded those in France and Italy, and fell just short of the UK.
usatoday.com/story/opinion/…
Read 6 tweets
28 Feb
On Jan 5, Dr. William Schaffner, infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt & adviser to Mayor John Cooper's office, told the Tennessean that there would be a post-holiday "infection surge [which] will trigger an increase of hospitalizations and deaths."

The opposite happened.
Link to article: tennessean.com/story/news/hea…

Link to Tennessee hospitalization data: tn.gov/health/cedep/n…
I'm no journalist, but a good question for Dr. Schaffner might be: "Why do you think the post-holiday surge you predicted never came, and what have you learned since you made that prediction?"

While we're at it, we can ask about the statements he gave to TIME on masks in March!
Read 4 tweets

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