Todd Zywicki Profile picture
Jul 25, 2021 11 tweets 2 min read Read on X
GMU's mandatory vaccination policy recognizes any vaccine approved by the World Health Organization. But not natural immunity. Which probably makes you wonder--what does the WHO think about natural immunity?
Well it turns out that the WHO has a "Scientific Brief" from May 10, 2021 entitled "COVID-19 natural immunity": who.int/publications/i…
"Within 4 weeks following infection, 90-99% of individuals infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus develop detectable neutralizing antibodies."
" Available scientific data suggests that in most people
immune responses remain robust and protective against reinfection for at least 6-8 months after infection (the longest follow up with strong scientific evidence is currently approximately 8 months)." (Now longer)
"Studies aimed to detect immunological memory including the assessment of cellular immunity by testing for the presence of memory B cells, and CD4+ and CD8+ T cells, observed robust immunity at 6 months post-infection in 95% of subjects under study..."
"which included individuals with asymptomatic, mild, moderate and severe infections."
"For other human coronaviruses (hCoV), hCoV-OC43, hCoV-229E, hCoV-NL63 and hCoV-HKU-1, which cause
the common cold, antibodies last for at least a year after infection..."
"while antibodies to more closely related MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV-1, which cause, respectively, middle east respiratory syndrome and severe acute respiratory syndrome, can be detected for years."
Conclusions: "Current evidence points to most individuals developing strong protective immune responses following natural infection with SARSCoV-2."
"To conclude, available tests and current knowledge do not tell us about the duration of immunity and protection against reinfection, but recent evidence suggests that natural infection may provide similar protection against symptomatic disease as vaccination...."
As for the conclusion, new data from Israel indicate that vaccine protection from infection wanes almost completely within 6 months while natural immunity now has been found to be robust for the entire duration of follow-up periods, now closing in on a year.

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More from @ToddZywicki

Feb 6, 2023
You gotta be kidding me—Anthony Fauci just published an article pointing out viruses that replicate in mucosal passages cannot be effectively controlled by vaccines that create systemic immunity? After 3 years he just announces this obvious point? cell.com/cell-host-micr…
“Viruses that replicate in the human respiratory mucosa without infecting systemically, including influenza A, SARS-CoV-2, endemic coronaviruses, RSV, and many other “common cold” viruses, cause significant mortality and morbidity and are important public health concerns….
“Because these viruses generally do not elicit complete and durable protective immunity by themselves, they have not to date been effectively controlled by licensed or experimental vaccines.”
Read 9 tweets
Feb 4, 2023
Mandatory masking rules are an extraordinary accomplishment in one sense— it is hard to think of any other social policy that has zero benefits but positive costs (ie, increased severe illness in terms of re-inhalation of virus from a contaminated mask (the Foegen Effect)).
Most policies have at least some benefit, even if small. Or at least minor costs. But it takes a diabolical genius to design a policy with zero benefits and non-trivial costs.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 24, 2022
A thread to collect the multiple studies that report negative VE vs omicron. The pattern is consistent: VE starts off low and turns negative around 5-6 months. Boosters follow same trajectory. realclearmarkets.com/articles/2022/…
Read 27 tweets
Nov 22, 2022
Fat people are a Covid risk to everyone else, not just themselves. Time for bariatric surgery mandates. nature.com/articles/s4136…
“These findings indicate that the increased BMI and obesity convey an increased risk of infection for their contacts,@. It is known that patients with obesity and influenza shed the virus for a significantly longer period of time than people who are lean…
“and that obesity creates a state of chronic inflammation which impairs the immune response and favors the emergence of new, more virulent influenza strains.” So turns out fat people are also more likely to create new more virulent variants as well.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 17, 2022
There is a great column by Jay Hart on Yahoo Sports today "Following the Science?" I received it via email and can't find it on the website. It discusses the appalling behavior of Washington State U toward its football coach Nick Rolovich. Here's the money line in the article...
"Back in the fall of 2021, Washington Governor Jay Inslee declared all state employees would be required to be vaccinated, unless they had exemptions. Rolovich, as the head football coach at WSU drew attention when he stated he would not get the jab based on religious reasons.
"The determination on whether he would receive a religious exemption first turned to the university’s Human Resources Services (HRS) which, via a blind examination, approved Rolovich’s exemption, according to the lawsuit.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 16, 2022
This is a very precise paper. Conclusion: “The overall adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for SARS-CoV-2 infection was 0·47 after previous natural infection versus BNT162b2 vaccination, and 0·51 after previous natural infection versus mRNA-1273 vaccination.” thelancet.com/journals/lanmi…
That’s right—you were half as likely to be infected if you had natural immunity than the shot. Yet still no legal recognition for NI.
overall adjusted HR for severe (acute care hospitalisations), critical (intensive care hospitalisations), or fatal COVID-19 cases was 0·24 (0·08–0·72) after previous natural infection versus BNT162b2 vax, and 0·24 (0·05–1·19) after previous natural infection versus mRNA-1273.”
Read 10 tweets

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