MOI Global @manualofideas fosters a community of intelligent investors united by a passion for lifelong learning. They recently did an in-depth interview with me which I enjoyed. Thank you for the same.
If I have one good idea and you have another and if we share both of us land up with two good ideas. So Let me share some key highlights to get the ideas exchange going.
Change is the only constant! The true art of evolving as an Investor is being able to improvise & adapt.
“One is fruitful only at the cost of being rich in contradictions.” ― Friedrich Nietzsche
Well, Bought is half sold. Knowing what to avoid is as important as knowing what to do.
India is a land of opportunity, with a long runway of growth remaining due to under-penetration and demographical advantages. GDP per capita expansion and privatisation will bring about a re-rating of the Indian economy.
Clean and efficient getting bigger and competitively advantaged in a consolidating economy.
Internal and external consideration impacting scalability in Indian business.
In the platform business, the stickiness of customers matters. In a technology business with a high rate of change, the holding period and the terminal value should reflect the probability of those changes.
Growing, sticky customer base and falling unit economic costs- A deadly combination. Only a paradigm shift in consumption can dislodge such a company.
Framework to assess management quality: Part 1
Framework to assess management quality: Part 2
Further reading on understanding attributes driving good leadership.
Investing and business are not still photographs but an unfolding movie with many twists and turns. Watch out for capital allocation, agility, and culture.
The rarest breed of Companies large addressable market and growing market share, Agile and minority friendly management capable of creating optionality, resilience & anti-fragility, deliver the most fructuous gains.
Good businesses have a narrow window of a buy zone, the long window of a holding zone, and a narrow window again of a sell zone. Evaluate companies from the perspective of maturity and reinvention ability.
Ideal portfolio construct blending resilience and optionality courtesy NZS Capital
Your conviction and depth of research and insights into an idea determine the size of the investment. Ideas are meant to be stress-tested not cherished so do seek disconfirming evidence.
"Risk" is a four-letter word and "This time is different" is a four-word sentence defining Investing. Risk warrants additional due diligence and legitimate weighing pre-investment and reactions post-investing.
The essence of Investment management is the management of risk, not the management of returns.
Every accounting fraud had an audited Balance sheet. Don't outsource your due diligence. Trust but verify as caveat emptor is the norm.
An investor has to connect the dots always and reconcile numbers with underlying narratives.
“We worry top-down, but we invest bottom-up.” Seth Klarman
Pandemic & Inflation
The history of the capital market has been a study of cycles and human behavior associated with them.
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Posting Twelve Insights in Forensic Accounting in a textual format
1) Investors should worry if the assets of companies growing faster than reported profits and those in turn are growing faster than underlying operating cashflows.
2) Not comparing the financial numbers of a company across time with its peers and studying major deviations will help investors focus on the underlying secret sauce, accounting or actual which drives earning power and capital intensity of the business.
3) If you can’t connect financial numbers to accounting underlying then tragedies can happen.
4)2) Topline is vanity, Margin is sanity, Profit is an opinion, Cash is king
Ever wondered what is difference between data, information, knowledge, insight, wisdom, content, etc words that at times we use interchangeably? Also, why does it matters to know the difference?
Data is a basic unit: facts, figures, statement, particulars, details, etc. It is a building block of the rest.
Content is a format by which data becomes digestible, consumable, and shareable: file, document, image, video, etc.
Information = Data plus context ( Who, What, Where, When) and boils down to understanding relations: Information is thus Processed Data that conveys some meaning and context
Sharing presentation and key highlights of @FLAMEUniversity webinar on Equity Markets and Real Economy: The current paradox. Link and key highlights from webinar are annexed.