BowTiedTom Profile picture
Aug 1, 2021 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/

Y'all asked, so here it is.

This is a thread on finding successful trades - example provided!

I cover -
1. What a good technical set up is,
2. Setting an entry, and
3. Setting a target.

👇
2/

What technical set up is likely to work?

We're looking for ONLY one thing - time frame continuity. This means that the higher time frames should be in your favor when taking a trade.

i.e. the day, week, and month are all green if bullish or red if bearish.
3/

Ex: $CCIV / $LCID from my 6/28 - 7/2 watchlist.

My thesis = bullish. Why?
The month was bright green in June (bottom right chart).
The options flow via @unusual_whales was also bullish.

Once we know the chart and options flow are both in our favor, we then plan the trade. ImageImage
4/

When to enter the trade?

When the price crosses the previous week's high. Why? The new WEEK will then be GREEN, and in CONTINUITY with the MONTH.

i.e. we enter the trade on the DAY (small time frame), the WEEK and MONTH are both green (large time frames).
5/

When to exit the trade?

Since our entry is based on the weekly time frame, our exit will be based on it as well.

The weekly chart on the right shows the entry in blue, and target in red.

Entry = above previous week's high
Target = next "high" price Image
6/

The result?

$CCIV / $LCID was up +13% that week, and the options had great returns.

The principles outlined apply to ALL time frames. If you day-trade, ensure the hourly, daily, and weekly are in continuity instead of focusing on the monthly.

Time frame continuity is key!
7/

Is there a part you didn't understand or want more clarity on?

Comment or vote below. I'll provide more information on the topic.

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More from @BowTiedTom

Feb 6, 2023
$DXY / $UUP

🐂 bias
🎯 103.490, 103.869, 105.697, 105.873

would like to see a pullback before going long Image
Accumulation -
consolidation above a key liquidity level (101.297) + daily FVG (100.761-101.040)

Manipulation -
move down that takes out liquidity before a quick reversal to shake out uninformed participants

Distribution -
move up to sell the previously accumulated longs
$DXY / $UUP

Continuation higher today. Target 1 tagged. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 23, 2022
An introduction to Liquidity.

What is it? How do you spot it? How do you use it?

This will help you understand where price wants to go.

Let's dive in.
What is it?

1. Liquidity is resting buy and sell orders in the marketplace.

2. These orders reside in the form of -
> Buyside liquidity (commonly thought of as resistance), and
> Sellside liquidity (commonly thought of as support).
How do you spot buyside liquidity?

1. Buyside liquidity resides at relative equal highs or swing highs.

2. A swing high is a 3 candle pattern where the middle candle has a lower high on each side of it.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 22, 2022
$TSLA

173.33c 12/16
Size > OI = new position being opened
$13M in premium

FOMC tomorrow - size accordingly if swinging these or wait until it's over to tail this whale.
These contracts have high premium. In order to minimize risk from theta and premium decay, consider making this position a debit spread.
If you're following this $TSLA whale, go in with small size. It's been very weak relative to the market recently. It isn't even at HOD right now despite SPY / QQQ being there. Just seems like a whale betting on a short-term bounce.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 21, 2022
$HD

317.5c 12/16
Size > OI = new position being opened
$450k+ in premium ImageImage
These $HD contracts are very expensive. Instead of following the whale in with naked puts, consider making this a debit spread to reduce downside risk and minimize the capital required to open a position.
$HD winner winner, chicken dinner 🍗 Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 21, 2022
$PYPL

📅 Daily timeframe
🐻 Bias
🎯 83, 80.25 Image
$PYPL

83 tagged and bagged.

This is a good place to scale out of puts, and reduce your risk.

Hold runners with breakeven stops for a move lower if you've got any. Image
$PYPL

Now, aren't you glad you held those breakeven runners?

One direction only, and that's DOWN. Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 17, 2022
An introduction to Fair Value Gaps.

What is it? How do you identify it? How do you use it?

Let's dive in. Image
What is a Fair Value Gap?

1️⃣ It is an imbalance in price.

2️⃣ It indicates aggressiveness - created when price leaves an range quickly.

3️⃣ Price will seek to return to the FVG to rebalance and pick up unfilled orders. Image
How do you identify a Fair Value Gap?

1️⃣ It is a 3 candle pattern.

2️⃣ It is identified as the area where the wicks of the first and third candle DON'T overlap.

3️⃣ It can be found on any timeframe. Image
Read 5 tweets

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