Mostly Borrowed Ideas Profile picture
Aug 6, 2021 18 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ $IAC/ $ANGI 2Q’21 Update

I always enjoy reading IAC shareholder letter and this was no exception. Q&A, however, gets a bit too lengthy and repetitive.

Here are my notes.
2/ ANGI
“They say home improvement projects usually take twice as long and cost twice as much relative to expectations going in, and one of our goals at Angi is to prove that axiom false. Ironically, delivering that proof appears to be, well, taking us longer and costing us more"
3/ “Exercising options creates the most attention, but creating options builds the most value.”

This was classic.
4/ While the brand change led to more severe impact than expected, management believes this was indeed the right strategy. They shared more data in Q&A and explained why HomeAdvisor brand was just too generic.
5/ “A more conservative approach might have staged some of these changes over time, but we are plowing
ahead with all at once under the belief that we know and like our destination, so let’s not waste time getting there.”
6/ “Building a brand takes time and capital as does building a disruptive start up, which we’re doing in Angi Services. We will likely operate the business in and around breakeven for the balance of 2021 at least”
7/ “If other shareholders lose patience during this phase for Angi, we at IAC are happy to own more through continued share repurchases at Angi.”

Love how IAC communicates with the shareholders.
8/ Angi services have three components: retail business, book now, and managed services.

Angi payments +70% QoQ, now $3 mn/week
Financing tripled, although on low volume.
Also bought a roofing business to increase supply.
9/ Lots of things to be excited about, but the fact remains Angi has been a perennial “work-in-progress” for a long time.

It’s a very difficult business, but do believe it remains a very convex bet.
10/ Dotdash

Four big segments: finance, health, lifestyle, and beauty (smaller than the other three which are roughly equivalent in size)

“our content investment's up 50% year-over-year this year, and I hope to continue to grow that faster than revenue for a while.”
11/ “From 2019 to 2021, the top 25 advertisers, those same 25 names are spending 139% in 2021 of what they were spending in 2019 and I think 123% or something like that of what they were spending in 2020.”
12/ IAC is pitching Dotdash from the data privacy angle.

Dotdash has indeed a great advertising product, but I’m sorry Joey, I think advertisers are the last group in the world who would find data privacy pitch compelling.
13/ Great growth momentum for Dotdash in the last 3 years, but “tough comps” now.
14/ Care

Enterprise segment continues to be the shining light whereas consumer segment still faces headwinds.
15/ Care is not about just child care, but senior care is also big part of it which enjoys demographic tailwind.
16/ “When mobile apps became a thing that we launched an incubator very early which was entirely focused on building mobile apps. And that's where Tinder came out of.”

New incubator’s focus on blockchain, but the first 2 biz on incubation have nothing to do with blockchain
17/ “we’re building options everywhere. The process is rarely easy or fast, but one of the most important elements of an option’s value is duration, and the structure of IAC allows us to take the time to build to win.”
End/ June monthly metrics

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More from @borrowed_ideas

Sep 23
Just published my Deep Dive on $VEEV
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read the full Deep Dive here: mbi-deepdives.com/veev/
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Aug 20
Notes from $TXN Capital Management Call today

"Market environment remains weak, with shipments below 2019 levels." Image
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"I would be extremely disappointed if it ends up at $20 billion. That's not my expectation. That's not the signature I see as we compete for market share today."Image
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Aug 5
I received a couple of DMs asking about "hey, what's going on in Bangladesh"

While I left Bangladesh in 2017, my almost entire family still lives there. So I'm keenly aware of what's going on. I'll briefly cover what happened and the implications.
let's start with the end result. The Prime Minister (PM) Sheikh Hasina or SH (who's the Head of State in Bangladesh) fled the country after facing intense protest from Bangladeshi students. Her exact location doesn't seem to be confirmed yet (rumored to be India or EU).
Let's back up a little and give some brief historical context.

SH came to power in 2008. Her father- Mujib was the architect in mobilizing people in Bangladesh to gain independence from Pakistan in 1971. Following independence, Mujib became the first PM of Bangladesh.
Read 24 tweets
Aug 5
Incredibly lucky to have bought these puts exactly a month ago. +130%.

Made several (but slight) changes in the portfolio today. More below.
closed my $AMZN Jan 2025 $160 calls that I wrote. 43% gain in this trade, but feels like just another lucky trade as I now think AMZN is undervalued (and I was likely too cautious to hedge it at $160 back then). Kept the $55 calls unhedged now.

sold ~1% $BRO to add to $CNSWF.

CSU's organic growth for recurring revenue will probably more or less mimic $BRO's organic growth. But CSU has ~20% ROIC vs BRO's ~10% but they trade at *almost* similar multiple. So I decided to buyback what I trimmed.



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Jul 26
Going through insurance brokers earnings now. $AON and $MMC finally growing in tandem after AON lagged MMC consistently since 2Q'21.

$BRO is the clear winner in organic growth for this quarter. (disc: long $BRO and $AON) Image
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will add to this thread later as I go through the transcript.

In the meantime, here's my Deep Dive on $BRO (also explains why I love this industry and would like to own probably most of these companies over time at "right" valuation):

mbi-deepdives.com/bro/
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Jul 26
Notes on $TXN 2Q'24 Call

After sequential revenue decline in China for 7 consecutive quarters, this quarter experienced ~15-20% growth across all segments in China. Europe and Japan are also in early phase of the upcycle. Image
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expect incremental margin to be ~75-85% (ex depreciation)

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