Thread by @GBGabBrunner

New data from Spain suggests an interesting phenomenon. While so far, "case" numbers and deaths have varied from region to region, depending on climate and temperature (Spain has very different regions) the "case" numbers now no longer seem to care about that.

The summer "delta" wave of positive tests is synchronized across regions. This would suggest the current version of the virus pays no attention to seasonality, climate, geographical position. This supports the "more contagious" story.

But it is JUST THAT, because almost all of the cases have NO SYMPTOMS. There is no a tiny percentage of diagnosed "cases" where the "patient" actually has a symptom. And where there are, they are usually those of a cold. All this supports my theory:

Which is: nature knows what's it's doing. When we arrive at an almost harmless, endemic version of the virus, it is then made to spread very, very quickly in order to give immunity to everyone far and wide. It no longer pays attention to previous conditions like climate.

It really is a kind of natural medicine which provides immunity. That we are now developing "boosters" to stop THAT from happening, cannot be a good idea. And to conclude, let's look at excess mortality across Spain to see if we really have an emergency still.

There has been some excess death in Andalucia, which we'll have to analyze - might well be the heat wave, not covid. Nothing at all in Balearic Islands (where they like to quarantine healthy kids). Nothing in Cantabria (where they like vax passports). Nothing in Asturias.

Nothing in Catalunya, where they have closed restaurants indoors. No signal in Galicia, where they also like vax passports. No action at all in Valencia (where 99% STILL wear masks).

Nothing to write home about in Madrid, where they're also thinking about vax passports. The only region with significant excess death this summer is Andalucia, and we don't know right now if it is because of Covid or the heat wave.

Where is that health emergency again? Let us look once again at this image: Percentage of positive tests with symptoms. It's really getting tiny, isn't it. Which begs the question. If this delta wave is moving so fast and so many "catch" it, but have NO SYMPTOMS, then ...

on balance, what's more important? - STOP THE WAVE AT ALL COSTS to prevent one or two deaths? or - let if immunize our population for free, without the need for expensive meds, with unknown side effects?

Let me stress that this is only my idea and I probably know less than the Spanish government. Right?
They just bought another 136 million doses of vaccines. Repeat that with me. One-hundred-thirty-six doses. efesalud.com/sanchez-vacuna…

The population of Spain is 47 million and almost everyone has had their two doses already.

Did the Spanish government shop wisely?
Let me know your opinions or if you can see anything in the graphs which I might have missed.
@FatEmperor
@B33Mello @NickHudsonCT @MichaelPSenger @FLMIRONES @ElSanticabreao @sanchezcastejon @abirballan @TB_TB_TB_TB_TB

More on the absurd panic about Delta here :

https://twitter.com/GBGabBrunner/status/1414582991347757056?s=19