Loretta Torrago Profile picture
Aug 10, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
No, @TracyBethHoeg, the article you point to does not claim delta is not "resulting in increased rates of in-school transmission”. In fact, it says the opposite. 🧵 Image
Speaking of the 12 presumed cases of in-school transmission for the summer, the article offers this: "By way of comparison, the district reported 2 cases of apparant transmission during the regular school year."
latimes.com/california/sto…
In fact, the article very explicitly implicates Delta in the rise of infections. Image
Regarding infections generally, the article reports 20 infections for the first week, increasing to 59 the final week for a total of 174 infections over the 5 weeks summer period. Image
In terms of rates, the article states that over the summer, general infection rates went from 1 in 1,000 to 6 in 1,000. Image
What's more, the article makes clear the involvement of mitigation in the somewhat surprising containment of Delta. Image
Yet despite the article, despite the preponderance of evidence pointing to the importance of mitigation, when @TracyBethHoeg is confronted in the replies about the role of mitigation in the summer program's control of Delta she says, "just can't say what amount if any they made" Image
A line which itself is almost straight out of "Merchants of Doubt" because the strategy of the denier is not to offer evidence but to raise doubt as if you "just can't say" whether mitigation makes a difference.
But of course, we can say, there's endless evidence mitigation makes a difference yet here @KrugAlli and @tracyhoeg go on as if none of it makes a difference because, why not just ignore everything else and make you case based on an outlier, Denmark? Image
Which Denmark, by the way, currently has five times as many cases as Germany and is the leader in cases amongst its neighbors. But sure, that's the way to go. Image

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More from @Loretta_Torrago

Dec 30, 2023
.@ShiraDoronMD et al argue against universal masking in healthcare based on 2 claims:
1) transmission risk from HCWs w/out symptoms is low
2) vaccination is sufficienly protective against hospital-acquired infection.
These claims are both knowably, provably wrong.
@AnnalsofIM
🧵
Universal masking initially was adopted to target 2 potential risks. The first was transmission by asymptomatic but infectious persons. Killingley and colleagues (3) recently found minimal presymptomatic shedding after closely monitoring the trajectory of early infection among immune-naive human volunteers who were directly inoculated with SARS-CoV-2. Tayyar and colleagues (4) found that among asymptomatic hospitalized patients with positive results for SARS-CoV-2 on polymerase chain reaction testing, only 9% had potentially infectious virus. The second risk was mitigating poor health outco...
To establish their first claim, that the risk of transmission from HCWs without symptoms is low, the authors cite two sources: a) Killingley and b) Tayyar. Image
But a) Killingley does NOT show presymptomatic transmission risk is small. What Killingley actually shows is that, what the authors pass off as "minimal presymptomatic shedding," is consistent with **44% of transmission occuring presymptomatically**.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 28, 2023
In honor of @TracyBethHoeg’s new anti-mask propaganda/preprint, I compiled her Tweets on mask studies into a textbook I’m calling, “Confounders: A Matter of Convenience.” It’s an expose of Hoeg’s bad faith hypocrisy. 🧵 Hoeg Tweet announcing her new preprint.
Here’s the title page with a table of contents. CONFOUNDERS: A MATTER OF CONVENIENCE! A Pseudoscience Textbook by @TracyBethHoeg  CHAPTER I: HOW TO PROTEST PRO-MASK STUDIES USING CONFOUNDERS CHAPTER 2: HOW TO TURN A PRO-MASK STUDY INTO AN ANTI-MASK STUDY USING CONFOUNDERS
CHAPTER I:
HOW TO PROTEST PRO-MASK STUDIES
It's easy! Just complain the conclusion doesn’t hold because the data is confounded!
1. Eg. The Boston Mask Study Hoeg complaining the study "didn't consider confounders."
Read 14 tweets
Jul 20, 2023
The moral panic over school closures has left us with problems more intractable than they were pre-pandemic because now, to solve those problems, we first have to dispel lies. That school is a preventative to suicide is a reprehensible distortion, but it is not the only one. 🧵
There is the hysteria over how closures hurt minorities the most which obscures that, for minorities, school is the source of a problem: the school-to-prison pipeline. nytimes.com/2020/10/28/opi…
There is the hysteria that closures are causing obesity which obscures the problem of fatty, nutritionally bankrupt cafeteria food.
nypost.com/2019/11/16/the…
Read 7 tweets
May 27, 2023
Following a lead in @mehdirhasan's receipt-riddled expose, I looked into FL's deadly summers but in terms of excess deaths (Hasan uses C0VID deaths) in the 10 US states with the highest percentage of seniors. Tl;dr: DeSantis won't be using these stats on the campaign trail. 🧵
Using June to end September (to account for reporting delays), here is how FL's summer of 2020 ranks in terms of the 10 oldest states. 💀 Florida is 2nd highest behi...
Summer 2021. Florida has the highest exc...
Read 7 tweets
May 26, 2023
The long list of concerns downplayers coopted for the sake of opening schools and then quickly abandoned: learning loss that didn't carry over to C0VID related cognitive declines,
newsinfo.inquirer.net/1639956/omicro…
School absences that didn't carry over to absences due to illness. edweek.org/leadership/res…
Read 6 tweets
Apr 22, 2023
Shenoy et al urge abandoning universal masking on the grounds masks have little benefit & some harm. Yesterday I showed they're wrong about benefits. Today I show they're wrong about harms. Their strongest evidence favors masks. The rest has little relation to their ambitions. 🧵 Title: "Universal Mask...
In making the case that masks harm, the authors use three sources.  Lee E, Cormier K, Sharma A...
In Cormier et al patients & providers rate their masked & unmasked encounters in terms of communication difficulties. Using scales from 1-5 (patients) or from 1-6 (providers) participants are asked about eg. listening effort, ability to connect, understand & recall. Face mask use in healthcare...
Read 16 tweets

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