Look for stocks with big catalyst everyday (Episodic Pivots). You may not find them everyday, but once in a while they show up and just few of these big trades can make your year or sometime can change your life.
In order to find big winners you need a daily process that you follow to find them. If you follow the process day in and day out , luck will favor you and you will not miss a big opportunity.
Episodic Pivots is a very specific pattern post earnings that shows up on stocks with years of neglect. It is a very powerful pattern which results in stock going up 100 to 500% in few weeks or months , if they are small caps.
Episodic Pivots is not limited to earnings only. Many other news catalyst can lead to big moves. In drugs and biotech stocks news of drug trial results is EP catalyst. New orders, govt policy changes, Redditt Pumps, shortages, calamities, management change , etc can be other EP
Best Episodic Pivots are on low priced stocks with months or years of neglect and that have very low volume leading in to EP. The catalyst leads to buying frenzy and then it goes vertical. If you have small account focus on these kind of lower capitalization stocks.
When looking for EP catalyst always look for situation that is likely to result in explosive move in short period of time. During peak earnings season there is always a temptation to look at every earnings, many of them are not real game changers.
Look for a game changing earnings surprise announced after hours or before market open. For this look at pre market gainers and last night after close gainers. Set up a bullet proof process to track all of these. I have process for this and do it daily.
Best EP have very little mutual fund sponsorship. Best ones have less than 50 funds owners on EP days. Typically less than 300 fund is good for explosive moves.
Funds buy based on such news catalyst and you will see in few months fund ownership will explode. Your objective is to buy before funds buy on earnings day.
Once you identify a good EP candidate in pre or post market buying it early without waiting for volume or price confirmation is key. I buy either in after hours or with Market On open order.
Many EP will go up 30 to 50% on first day itself. many will make extremely fast move in few days or weeks. Look at GRWG in August 2020. In 5 days it made 131% move from Earnings EP.
To profit from EP do a deep dive on hundreds of big winners from last few years, you will get good idea of how this setup works and he profit potential.
I discovered this setup in 2002 and since then have perfected it and trade it every earnings season.
It works best on neglected stocks. Here is a past example of that.
FSLY was good example of EP last year.
So far in this earnings season many stocks are breaking out on earnings EP . $UPST $EXPI $OPEN $U $LC $PLTR $SONo are some recent winners on EP.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The choice for traders is between Magnitude moves and duration moves. Each of them is a profitable way to trade but requires different methods.
Magnitude moves are moves where a stock makes a very big move in a short period of time. The magnitude and speed of the move are critical in this kind of move.
Duration moves are when stock keeps going up for a long period of time. But speed may not be very rapid. Trend-following approaches work best for these.
Many years ago I worked for a FedEx franchise in India that operated cargo flights daily, and observed the importance of Situational Awareness (SA). It is essential skill for pilots.
SA skill for pilots involves:
extracting information from the environment;
integrating with relevant internal knowledge to create a mental picture of the current situation; using this picture to direct further perceptual exploration and
anticipating future events.
Similarly in trading SA skill helps you read market conditions and adjust your trading and anticipate likely scenarios. Every day starting the day with SA and adjusting tactics avoids surprise.
All growth companies at some stage runs out of growth. That is happening to some long term growth stocks. But at same time new industries, new segments go on to grow big. Has been happening since commerce started.
Focus more on finding the next big runners. The companies that are dramatically growing revenues and profits while market is focused on old leaders like $AMZN, $FB, $NFLX
Some growth stocks daily to live up to their potential and flame out early and quickly fade. That is happening to many last few years winners.
Momentum is stocks tendency to move in the direction of prevalent trend. You can use momentum to select stocks to swing trade or position trade. 🧵
Momentum can be calculated in many ways and the period and specific method used to calculate momentum depends on your goals and holding periods.
Momentum is often used to rank stocks and then top 25 or top 50 or top 200 stocks are selected for swing or position trades. This kind of momentum is relative momentum or relative strength.
Understanding structural tendencies is the foundation to becoming profitable. A good understanding of them can help you build enduring edge.
There are many well known structural tendencies of the market that have historically proven to work and if you understand them in depth and build your trading around them , chances of you becoming profitable improve dramatically.
PEADS or Post Earnings Announcement Drift or SUE is a structural tendency of the market where stock with surprisingly good or bad earnings move in the direction of that earnings for next few months or quarters.