Thread by @_johnbye

One of HART's central claims is that vaccination drove surges in deaths around the world. But looking at data for England broken down by age and region, it's clear there's absolutely no correlation (let alone causation) between them.

Merely a coincidence in timing.

Here's London (top) and North West (bottom) by age, for example.

Vaccinations in over 60s are spread over several weeks, and jabs in each group peak at the same time in both regions.

But deaths peak simultaneously in all over 60s, and peak in the North West a week after London.

It's even clearer if you look at individual age groups. While vaccination in the over 80s just happens to coincide with deaths, there's no lag. And in every other age group deaths rise and peak BEFORE vaccination.

Here's the South East, for example. Again, no consistent pattern.

Another trick Joel Smalley and HART use is to apply different scales to each graph, to make it look like there's a common pattern when there isn't.

If you use the same scale for every region, there's no consistent pattern in vaccination and death rates.

For example, over 90s:

It's also striking that the sharp drop in vaccinations over Christmas and the New Year has absolutely no visible impact on deaths.

HART members often claim rises and falls in covid deaths around the world are caused by changes in vaccinations. There is zero evidence of this.

In reality, the surge in covid deaths was driven by the Alpha (Kent) variant.

Deaths were already rising in the South and East before vaccinations began.

Deaths rose later in regions further away from Kent.

Deaths peaked before vaccinations even began in most age groups.