- Manufactures complex and critical precision engineered components
2 Segments -
- Automotive - 2W, PV, and CVs (88.5% of total revenue)
- Non-Automotive - aerospace, off-road, agriculture, engineering, and capital goods (11.5% of total revenue)
2/n
Products -
Automotive - Connecting rods, rocker arm, crankshaft, gear shifter fork, etc that are critical for engine, transmission, suspension etc
Non-Automotive - range of precision components, supplying directly to OEMs in finished (forged and machined) condition
3/n
Note - 83% of revenue (Top 4 products in the table) comes from components are used in an Internal combustion engine (ICE)
EV is a headwind for them (Mgmt said they will shift focus to EVs on a BQ interview. So this is a key monitorable)
Image 2 shows a connecting rod
4/n
Geographic Revenue break up - (Img 1)
65% from India, 35% from abroad (Europe, US, etc)
Manufacturing - (Img 2)
15 plants in India and 1 in Sweden
Capacity Utilization - (Img 3)
5/n
About the Issue -
Dates – 14 to 16 September
Price – Rs 734 to Rs 744
Issue Size – Rs 1283 Cr
Pure OFS, no fresh money being raised
MCap post listing – Rs 3773 Cr (34% of the company being sold)
6/n
Quick Facts on Sansera (Img 1)
New products (Img 2) -
Some of their new products included components for both ICE and E-2Ws.
They sold components across 69 product families in FY21 v/s 51 in FY19.
7/n
Customers -
In India – 9 of the top 10 2W OEMs + the leading PV OEM
Globally – 6 of the top 10 Light Vehicle OEMs + 3 of the top 10 global MHCV OEMs
Suppliers to 71 customers in FY21 v/s 64 in FY19
Bajaj is the biggest customer | Long-standing relationships (Img 2 & 3)
8/n
Financials (Img 1)
Valuation -
Price to sales =2.4x
PE = 36.2x
9/n
Conclusion -
The company derives major revenue from components related to the Internal combustion engine of a car.
As more and more EVs start to come, engines will be replaced by an electric motor and components will change drastically.
10/n
This is a classic example of a company that will undergo major disruption - Let's see how they adapt to the change!
Valuations seem priced in with 2.4x P/S as many ancillaries are available at 1x price to sales or below it even!
Thanks for reading! Happy weekend :)
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Ather IPO opened today - I read the DRHP over the weekend
Capex when it's not needed, bad numbers, losing market share, amazing product, and a great team
A thread on Ather and this IPO, do retweet -
1/n
About Ather -
- Sells E-2Ws, software, charging infra, and smart accessories
- Battery packs made in-house
- Portable chargers/motors, Motor controllers, transmissions, DC-DC converters, harnesses, and chassis are designed by Ather, but manufacturing is outsourced
2/n
- Hosur Factory - Annual capacity - 4.2L Units (E2Ws) + 3.8L battery pack units (9MFY25)
- New capex post IPO for Factory 3.0 in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar to take this to 14.2 L Units
- 265 experience & 233 service centres in India, 9 in Nepal, 11 in Sri Lanka
The biggest winner in the Ather IPO is IIT-Madras Incubation Cell (IITMIC)!
IITMIC + IITMS Rural holds 15.58 L shares in Ather, valued at 50 Cr!
Their cost is just 15- 29L (1 Rs considered for IITMIC, but could be lower too)
172x to 333x made in 11 years! That's amazing :)
Forget Shark Tank, the real startup story is unfolding at IIT Madras Incubation Cell (IITMIC) in the IIT Madras Research Park
It has an 80% success rate with Startups!
I was there for an Investing conclave by TIA in Feb 2024 -
Quick History –
- Started with a 400 Cr debt, returned 600 Cr (principal+interest)
- IITMIC didn’t take any grants as they wanted to experience and showcase to startups how to create a sustainable bootstrapped business – they grew from the ground up in a lean way!
Reliance’s Jamnagar Refinery is an engineering marvel
It is the World's most complex and largest integrated, single-site refinery
It was the largest industrial investment made by an Indian enterprise at a single location
Some amazing facts on this Refinery -
1/n
History –
Twenty-five years ago, on December 28, 1999, RIL launched its first refinery at Jamnagar
Overnight, this turned India from a fuel deficit nation to a self-sufficient one and later into a surplus, exporting gasoline and gasoil to Europe and the US
Img - BS
2/n
It wasn’t so easy!
When RIL first spoke of it, experts said that it would be impossible for an Indian company to set up the world's largest grassroots refinery in 3 years. RIL did it in a world-record time of 33 months!
Lack of infra and a severe cyclone also hit Jamnagar
I have read 170 books in the last 5 years – 18 in 2024, 38 books in 2023, 30 books in 2022, 50 in 2021 and 34 in 2020 (List of books of earlier years in the end)
List of all the books that I read in 2024 and my top 6 picks –
Books I read in 2024 –
1/n
1 - Behind Bars in Byculla: My Days in Prison by @JignaVora5 (Scoop series is based on the book)
2 – Cobalt Red: How the Blood of the Congo Powers Our Lives by @siddharthkara
2/n
3 - Spreading Joy: How @Joyalukkas Became the World's Favourite Jeweller by Joy Alukkas, Thomas Scaria and Nidhi Jain
4 – The Winning Way: Learning from Sport Managers by @bhogleharsha and @BhogleAnita
5 - From Oberoi To OYO: Behind The Scenes by Chitra Narayanan
India's biggest Solar PV modules Manufacturer and exporter Waaree Energy has opened up its IPO
With an installed capacity of 13.3 GW, it is more than 3x the size of Adani and bigger than the next 3 players combined!
Everything you need to know about the company and the IPO -
1/n
About the co. -
- Largest manufacturer and exporter of solar PV modules in India
- Total capacity of 13.3 GW (5.4 GW online soon), 21 GWe in FY27
- Has a PLI for 6 GW Ingot, Wafer, cell and Module manufacturing unit
- 5 manufacturing facilities in India (143+ Acres)
2/n
- The best part is they sell the entire setup from solar panels to inverters to batteries (cells also in FY27)
- 39.3% of sales in Q1FY25 were exports – largest export % to US
- It’s not easy to be market leader that too by a huge margin when you have competitors like Adani