- Manufactures complex and critical precision engineered components
2 Segments -
- Automotive - 2W, PV, and CVs (88.5% of total revenue)
- Non-Automotive - aerospace, off-road, agriculture, engineering, and capital goods (11.5% of total revenue)
2/n
Products -
Automotive - Connecting rods, rocker arm, crankshaft, gear shifter fork, etc that are critical for engine, transmission, suspension etc
Non-Automotive - range of precision components, supplying directly to OEMs in finished (forged and machined) condition
3/n
Note - 83% of revenue (Top 4 products in the table) comes from components are used in an Internal combustion engine (ICE)
EV is a headwind for them (Mgmt said they will shift focus to EVs on a BQ interview. So this is a key monitorable)
Image 2 shows a connecting rod
4/n
Geographic Revenue break up - (Img 1)
65% from India, 35% from abroad (Europe, US, etc)
Manufacturing - (Img 2)
15 plants in India and 1 in Sweden
Capacity Utilization - (Img 3)
5/n
About the Issue -
Dates – 14 to 16 September
Price – Rs 734 to Rs 744
Issue Size – Rs 1283 Cr
Pure OFS, no fresh money being raised
MCap post listing – Rs 3773 Cr (34% of the company being sold)
6/n
Quick Facts on Sansera (Img 1)
New products (Img 2) -
Some of their new products included components for both ICE and E-2Ws.
They sold components across 69 product families in FY21 v/s 51 in FY19.
7/n
Customers -
In India – 9 of the top 10 2W OEMs + the leading PV OEM
Globally – 6 of the top 10 Light Vehicle OEMs + 3 of the top 10 global MHCV OEMs
Suppliers to 71 customers in FY21 v/s 64 in FY19
Bajaj is the biggest customer | Long-standing relationships (Img 2 & 3)
8/n
Financials (Img 1)
Valuation -
Price to sales =2.4x
PE = 36.2x
9/n
Conclusion -
The company derives major revenue from components related to the Internal combustion engine of a car.
As more and more EVs start to come, engines will be replaced by an electric motor and components will change drastically.
10/n
This is a classic example of a company that will undergo major disruption - Let's see how they adapt to the change!
Valuations seem priced in with 2.4x P/S as many ancillaries are available at 1x price to sales or below it even!
Thanks for reading! Happy weekend :)
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- GST tax reduction for small cars from 28% to 18% - Made vehicles significantly more affordable
- Effect of Cut - "The response from customers has been phenomenal, something we haven't seen in the last 35 yrs
1/n
- On the very first day, we got 80000 enquiries, and have delivered 25,000+ cars (30,000 shortly)
- Since Sept 18, when they announced additional price reduction (above GST), they have received 75,000 bookings (15,000 bookings coming in every day - 50% higher than usual)
2/n
- "Under 4/4.5 lakhs, you can buy a car. Instead of a 2/3L bike, with an additional 2L, one can buy a car. The GST reduction will be very useful to the users to buy a small car," - Maruti spokesperson
- The S-Presso is the cheapest - entry-level variant at ₹3.5L
- By providing quality products, delivery, and pricing
- Importance of tech in scaling up; In 1996, the company installed its first semi-automatic plant with a capacity of 250 kg of potato chips/hour. By 1999, it was working at full capacity
Polymetallic nodules are considered a future resource due to their high concentrations of valuable metals
A thread on this alternate source that has the power to quench Humanity's material thirst for resources -
1/n
The story goes back to HMS Challenger and some strange-looking potato-sized lumps she dredged up from the bottom of the Pacific a century and a half ago
These dark, slightly crumbly stones, smooth on the top, rough on the bottom, later became known as polymetallic nodules
2/n
The most famous region is the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) in the Pacific Ocean, between Hawaii and Mexico.
It’s estimated to hold: Over 21 billion tonnes of nodules - Enough to supply battery metals for hundreds of millions of EVs
Ather IPO opened today - I read the DRHP over the weekend
Capex when it's not needed, bad numbers, losing market share, amazing product, and a great team
A thread on Ather and this IPO, do retweet -
1/n
About Ather -
- Sells E-2Ws, software, charging infra, and smart accessories
- Battery packs made in-house
- Portable chargers/motors, Motor controllers, transmissions, DC-DC converters, harnesses, and chassis are designed by Ather, but manufacturing is outsourced
2/n
- Hosur Factory - Annual capacity - 4.2L Units (E2Ws) + 3.8L battery pack units (9MFY25)
- New capex post IPO for Factory 3.0 in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar to take this to 14.2 L Units
- 265 experience & 233 service centres in India, 9 in Nepal, 11 in Sri Lanka