- Manufactures complex and critical precision engineered components
2 Segments -
- Automotive - 2W, PV, and CVs (88.5% of total revenue)
- Non-Automotive - aerospace, off-road, agriculture, engineering, and capital goods (11.5% of total revenue)
2/n
Products -
Automotive - Connecting rods, rocker arm, crankshaft, gear shifter fork, etc that are critical for engine, transmission, suspension etc
Non-Automotive - range of precision components, supplying directly to OEMs in finished (forged and machined) condition
3/n
Note - 83% of revenue (Top 4 products in the table) comes from components are used in an Internal combustion engine (ICE)
EV is a headwind for them (Mgmt said they will shift focus to EVs on a BQ interview. So this is a key monitorable)
Image 2 shows a connecting rod
4/n
Geographic Revenue break up - (Img 1)
65% from India, 35% from abroad (Europe, US, etc)
Manufacturing - (Img 2)
15 plants in India and 1 in Sweden
Capacity Utilization - (Img 3)
5/n
About the Issue -
Dates – 14 to 16 September
Price – Rs 734 to Rs 744
Issue Size – Rs 1283 Cr
Pure OFS, no fresh money being raised
MCap post listing – Rs 3773 Cr (34% of the company being sold)
6/n
Quick Facts on Sansera (Img 1)
New products (Img 2) -
Some of their new products included components for both ICE and E-2Ws.
They sold components across 69 product families in FY21 v/s 51 in FY19.
7/n
Customers -
In India – 9 of the top 10 2W OEMs + the leading PV OEM
Globally – 6 of the top 10 Light Vehicle OEMs + 3 of the top 10 global MHCV OEMs
Suppliers to 71 customers in FY21 v/s 64 in FY19
Bajaj is the biggest customer | Long-standing relationships (Img 2 & 3)
8/n
Financials (Img 1)
Valuation -
Price to sales =2.4x
PE = 36.2x
9/n
Conclusion -
The company derives major revenue from components related to the Internal combustion engine of a car.
As more and more EVs start to come, engines will be replaced by an electric motor and components will change drastically.
10/n
This is a classic example of a company that will undergo major disruption - Let's see how they adapt to the change!
Valuations seem priced in with 2.4x P/S as many ancillaries are available at 1x price to sales or below it even!
Thanks for reading! Happy weekend :)
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Korean car maker Hyundai Motor wants to sell around 17% of its Indian arm through an IPO.
This will be India’s biggest IPO ever!
Here are some thoughts on why this will be an important one to watch -
1/n
The Big daddy of all Indian IPOs -
- This will be India’s biggest IPO after LIC’s Rs 21008 Cr IPO
- They are planning to raise Rs 25,000 Cr (around $3 billion) at a valuation of Rs 1.5 Lakh Cr/18 Bn $ (as per reports even 20-25 Bn $ valuation on cards)
2/n
This IPO is the first by an automaker after over 20 years since Maruti Suzuki went public in 2003
Hyundai is the country's second-biggest carmaker after Maruti Suzuki India
With this, 4 major PV makers in India will be listed - Maruti, M&M, TaMo and now Hyundai India
Eldercare is an exciting theme playing out in India
India’s elderly population (aged 60 Yrs and above) of ~14.5 Cr people is growing - both in population size and wallet size!
A thread on the sector's attractiveness, do retweet -
1/n
- Fastest growing age group in India – from 14 Cr (8% of the population) to 20% by 2050
- Expected demand for senior residences is expected to be 12X of current supply
- Elderly population to grow by 40% in 2021-31 v/s 8% growth for the General population
2/n
- More than 1 Cr older adults aged 60 or over in India may have dementia (many lifestyle changes led to this)
– Significant underreporting also (cultural and societal issues)
- Memory care is also underdiagnosed and underreported – 17% of the population by some estimates
India generates ~20% of the global data but in terms of Data Center capacity, it has a share of just 3% 💾
The Indian Data Centre (DC) opportunity and stocks + a summary of around 7 Data Centre reports that I read 📚
A thread, do retweet 🧵👇
1/n
Some Facts -
- India now has the highest DC capacity in the APAC region, surpassing major countries like Australia, Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, and Korea
- In 2023, there was an addition of 255 MW of new supply, resulting in a total stock of 1,030 MW
2/n
- India is expected to record the highest capacity addition of 850 MW during the 2024-2026 period, higher than major APAC countries
- India generates ~20% of the global data but in terms of Data Center capacity, it has a share of just 3%
100 Years ago, life expectancy in India was 25 Yrs and in US around 50 Yrs
Today it is 70 yrs and 78 yrs respectively
Good news - We will live longer
Bad news - Folks want to retire early so the risk is not having enough income during old age!
How to combat this? A thread -
1/n
People will retire at the age of 50-55 and then need a portfolio to help them survive for the next 20-30 years atleast
3 important things in my view
A good Sized corpus, Margin of Safety and Medical Insurance
2/n
A Good Corpus -
- Assume you are aged 45 today
- Your yearly expenses are 10L a year (in today's value)
- You want to retire in 10 Years (Age 55)
- Assuming 7% inflation, this will double in 10 years, so you will need Rs 20L a year
- You will need Rs 3.2 Cr