- Manufactures complex and critical precision engineered components
2 Segments -
- Automotive - 2W, PV, and CVs (88.5% of total revenue)
- Non-Automotive - aerospace, off-road, agriculture, engineering, and capital goods (11.5% of total revenue)
2/n
Products -
Automotive - Connecting rods, rocker arm, crankshaft, gear shifter fork, etc that are critical for engine, transmission, suspension etc
Non-Automotive - range of precision components, supplying directly to OEMs in finished (forged and machined) condition
3/n
Note - 83% of revenue (Top 4 products in the table) comes from components are used in an Internal combustion engine (ICE)
EV is a headwind for them (Mgmt said they will shift focus to EVs on a BQ interview. So this is a key monitorable)
Image 2 shows a connecting rod
4/n
Geographic Revenue break up - (Img 1)
65% from India, 35% from abroad (Europe, US, etc)
Manufacturing - (Img 2)
15 plants in India and 1 in Sweden
Capacity Utilization - (Img 3)
5/n
About the Issue -
Dates – 14 to 16 September
Price – Rs 734 to Rs 744
Issue Size – Rs 1283 Cr
Pure OFS, no fresh money being raised
MCap post listing – Rs 3773 Cr (34% of the company being sold)
6/n
Quick Facts on Sansera (Img 1)
New products (Img 2) -
Some of their new products included components for both ICE and E-2Ws.
They sold components across 69 product families in FY21 v/s 51 in FY19.
7/n
Customers -
In India – 9 of the top 10 2W OEMs + the leading PV OEM
Globally – 6 of the top 10 Light Vehicle OEMs + 3 of the top 10 global MHCV OEMs
Suppliers to 71 customers in FY21 v/s 64 in FY19
Bajaj is the biggest customer | Long-standing relationships (Img 2 & 3)
8/n
Financials (Img 1)
Valuation -
Price to sales =2.4x
PE = 36.2x
9/n
Conclusion -
The company derives major revenue from components related to the Internal combustion engine of a car.
As more and more EVs start to come, engines will be replaced by an electric motor and components will change drastically.
10/n
This is a classic example of a company that will undergo major disruption - Let's see how they adapt to the change!
Valuations seem priced in with 2.4x P/S as many ancillaries are available at 1x price to sales or below it even!
Thanks for reading! Happy weekend :)
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100 Years ago, life expectancy in India was 25 Yrs and in US around 50 Yrs
Today it is 70 yrs and 78 yrs respectively
Good news - We will live longer
Bad news - Folks want to retire early so the risk is not having enough income during old age!
How to combat this? A thread -
1/n
People will retire at the age of 50-55 and then need a portfolio to help them survive for the next 20-30 years atleast
3 important things in my view
A good Sized corpus, Margin of Safety and Medical Insurance
2/n
A Good Corpus -
- Assume you are aged 45 today
- Your yearly expenses are 10L a year (in today's value)
- You want to retire in 10 Years (Age 55)
- Assuming 7% inflation, this will double in 10 years, so you will need Rs 20L a year
- You will need Rs 3.2 Cr
Bajaj Finance Board is meeting on April 24 to discuss the same
Valuation of $10 billion with a tentative IPO size $1 billion is said to be on the cards
A thread on the company and the IPO -
1/n
Why the IPO?
The RBI classified Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF) in the category of NBFC - Upper Layer.
The company said it is mandated to list on or before September 30, 2025, as per the regulatory framework
2/n
History of BHF -
- BAF launched its mortgage business in 2009 with LAP
- In subsequent years, it entered into home loans for self-employed and salaried customers, LRD, and CF
- BHF was hived off separately in FY18.
A historic moment in the World Markets - The Bank of Japan ends 8 years of negative interest rates, making a historic shift with the first rate hike in 17 years!
This has officially ended the world’s only negative rates regime
A quick explainer on why this happened -
1/n
Some backdrop-
- If you deposit money in an Indian Bank today u get 6% interest yearly, so if you Deposit Rs 100, you get Rs 6 as interest
- But not in Japan! They had negative interest rates!
2/n
- They had -0.1% rate, so if u kept 100 Yen, after 1 year you would get back 99.90 Yen
- You are paying money to the bank basically to park money!
Founded in 1999 and Dubbed as the Gathiya King, it sold 81.7L packets of its snacks everyday in 6MFY24!
This is my 100th thread since Feb 2023, so show some love :)
Everything you need to know about the company -
1/n
About Gopal Snacks -
- A FMCG Snacks company with a major presence in Gujarat
- Sells ethnic snacks - namkeen and gathiya | western snacks - wafers, snack pellets | Others - papad, spices, gram flour or besan, noodles, rusk and soan papdi
- 84 products | 276 SKUs
2/n
Manufacturing – 6 plants – 3 primary and 3 ancillary Units (producing besan/raw snack pellets/seasoning/spices which is used in captive consumption)| 617 distributors
Distribution - 3 Depots , 617 distributors, and 263 logistics vehicles
Renting V/s Buying a property - What to do? How to decide?
If you are buying a property - how to make the entire Loan amount free via SIPs (or) the entire interest on the Loan free via SIPs!
A practical case study , retweet so that more people can learn this!
Let's go -
1/n
Rent V/s Buy Debate -
- Renting doesn't give u a peace of Mind (personal view)
- Your owner can ask you to leave or throw you out anytime (have multiple friends who faced this in major and minor cities of India)
- If you are doing a temporary stay, then rent is good
2/n
- Jacking up of rents and deposits(Bangalore and Mumbai prime examples | The hassle of taking back deposits | senseless deductions of deposits while taking it back)
- The differentiation that happens (Clubhouse/guest rights, Tenant treatment + other stupid rules)