The NYTimes coverage of covid and children has sensationalized the risk, & lacked numerical perspective.
As such the coverage torpedoed 1 year of in person school, and now is leading anxious parents to push for off-label vaccine &. going to extremes....
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I believe that people should ALWAYS enroll in randomized controlled trials, but one should do so from a neutral emotional state with knowledge of potential risks and benefits.
Pushing for off-label use is not good.
This is a direct result of NYtimes & others fearmongering 👇
This part puzzles me. Even without a covid vaccine, isn't it totally safe for a kid to go camping -- aka OUTSIDE?-- with their family? Were they holding off on going outside?
Yes, the rate is higher than it has been, but the rate is still.. very very low compared to risks we take all the time in life
Why won't the time put the risks in perspective?
These are UK data:
A bigger risk to kids than sars-cov-2 are adults who lack the ability to weigh those risks against prolonged school closure.
Here is one solution:
We can just increase the sample size of these trials... more slots & more power for rare AEs
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There's not a single randomized controlled trial that shows people who undergo a coronary artery calcium test live longer than those who do not undergo it. Everyone will benefit from increasing exercise and eating better and the score is irrelevant
Maybe the only cancer screening test that has any utility under 35 is the pap smear. Mammography doesn't improve survival at any age, and has no data in this age group. Totally crazy recommendation
Glad that we @vkprasadlab have published over 20++ peer reviewed papers on COVID19 policy to date & many more to come
I will share them here & a free link to all of them at end
We see policy failure
#1 visitor restriction
It was sad to separate family from dying people, & had no data
Cloth masking 2 year olds was an unforced error by @cdcgov and @AmerAcadPeds, who pushed this policy with no credible data, and despite its obvious silliness
Long COVID is an evidence based disaster
There is a strong narrative that is not well supported by the evidence.
To date, besides anosmia, there is no evidence COVID has any more long symptoms than being equally ill with any other respiratory virus. period.
A new 22 page essay by Mariana Barosa, @ID_ethics and me!
"We argue that high-quality research, namely by means of well-designed randomized trials, is ethically obligatory before, during, and after implementing policies in public health emergencies"
🧵 link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Our essay reimagines the status quo. Instead of implementing and deimplementing and never knowing the answer, Public health must work to reduce uncertainty.
Shown nicely in Figure 2
We discuss many Non pharmacologic interventions tried and their limited evidence
This table represents an evidence based disaster. Nearly none of these were tested with proper trials
Forget beach closures and taking the swings out of parks
When I read an #ASH23 abstract that asks whether PFS or MRD is a surrogate endpoint in FL (L) or CLL (R), I know instantly the person on the left did it right and the person on the right messed up
Small cell lung cancer is a horrible diagnosis, and I feel sadness for anyone who has it
A double lung transplant for small cell lung cancer is complete nonsense. @VUMChealth is just making things up. This story is so sad bc doctors want to practice on the island of Dr Moreau
Just OUT! By @DavidBenjaminMD
We discuss evidence for STARTING & STOPPING cancer drugs!
What do I mean?
Currently in cancer med, we ~always start treatment at first sign of metastatic disease, and stop at progression, but....
🧵 (follow)
free link authors.elsevier.com/a/1i2MQ7tJEDS6…
... does this make sense?
The table shows trials testing early starting vs. delayed starting of systemic Rx.
For many diseases, there is no advantage to treating even widespread, asymptomatic disease
For most disease, however, there is no study at all!!
We truly don't know
But generally we assume. In many tumor types, we treat even asx or mildly symptomatic metastatic diseases (denovo or recurrent)
Now, lets consider the flip side of the coin. When should we stop treatment....