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Eric Rauchway Profile picture
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15 Sep, 6 tweets, 2 min read
Saying Elder got 47% is misleading; he got 47% of people who answered the second question (who should replace). Remember, Newsom asked that you vote “no-and-go”—no on the recall and nothing on the second question. Looks like about 45% of the total voters did that. Which means…
About 4m voters didn’t vote on the second question. Elder got 2.4m votes. So he lost overwhelmingly to the nonvotes. And he didn’t get 47%, he got 47% of 55%, or about 26%.
(Those of you who are screaming at your monitors that @jonrog1 has been proved right again, I hear you.)
Those of you more seriously suggesting to your monitors that this is yet another illustration of how poorly framed the California recall system is—we don’t even know how to report results—I hear you too.
Recall results: electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/govern…

electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/govern…
I don’t really agree with my UC colleague Thad Kousser that this is “shocking”; it’s a natural result of a badly designed system. But that was my starting point for thinking about this:
latimes.com/california/sto…

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More from @rauchway

Eric Rauchway Profile picture
29 Aug
"Gov. Ron DeSantis has crisscrossed the state…promoting a treatment for people who already have COVID-19. But the last time he held an event specifically to encourage getting vaccinated was four months ago. Instead, he’s downplayed the vaccines…"

orlandosentinel.com/politics/os-ne…
If you wanted a test case for a large state that made a strong push to vaccinate people, you should look elsewhere.
"Florida shows that even a state that made a major push for vaccinations — Florida ranks 21st among states and Washington, D.C., in giving people of all ages at least one shot — can be crushed by the Delta variant"

that's in the NYT article

what is 21st, a participation trophy?
Read 11 tweets
Eric Rauchway Profile picture
17 Aug
People often say this, and I know where they’re coming from, but:

a) those majorities were largely illusory; white Southern Democrats were often hostile to the New Deal—even within the first 100 days;

b) the 1930s press was super hostile to the New Deal.
So I’m not trying to dunk on you, Doug Lakey, but I do want to address this point; the distinction is nowhere near that clear.
Just briefly, on the media point, this is an entirely representative bit of work from a Hearst paper. Image
Read 4 tweets
Eric Rauchway Profile picture
7 Jul
When he was asked while running what differentiated his policies from Hitler's, he said, "you tell me."
"Kelly “told the president that he was wrong, but Trump was undeterred”, emphasizing German economic recovery under Hitler during the 1930s.
“Kelly pushed back again…and argued that the German people would have been better off poor than subjected to the Nazi genocide.”"
I see there is a denial of this in the article.
Read 8 tweets
Eric Rauchway Profile picture
8 May
What history should you read about the New Deal to inform the present moment?
With the caveat that I *will* forget something, so forgive me now: I would skew toward more recent work, reflecting as it does the most thorough reading and scholarship …
So first I’ll return the favor: @JasonScottSmit6 ’s essay, “triumph of the mixed economy,” in @huret_romain , @NelsonLichtens1 , and @JCVINEL ’s 2020 collection, which pushes (appropriately) hard on the “triumph” theme: jstor.org/stable/j.ctv16…
@JasonScottSmit6 @huret_romain @NelsonLichtens1 @JCVINEL Lots of older work on the New Deal inexplicably misses this point, and I think it’s good for us to get used to reframing our understanding of the 1930s in light of the data.
Read 20 tweets
Eric Rauchway Profile picture
13 Apr
Several people have passed this to me, asking some version of “isn’t this stupid?” I don’t know if it is; it’s obviously ignorant, though. tabletmag.com/sections/news/…
First of all, did FDR do “cancellable” things? Sure.
(honestly, it’s trivializing that to call it “cancellable”)
Read 29 tweets
Eric Rauchway Profile picture
10 Mar
A great teacher and scholar
Walt taught immensely popular, yet rigorous, classes on the history of U.S. foreign policy.

They gave him a giant Chemistry theater for lectures and students filled for a class that met at 10am TRS.

Yes, that’s Tuesday-Thursday-Saturday.
He would walk in, write three points he wanted to make on the chalkboard, lean up against the soapstone island with the Bunsen burners and sinks, and talk through them—no notes, no slides. But riveting and incisive.
Read 5 tweets

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