Rafael Shimunov ✡️ 🍉 Profile picture
Sep 24, 2021 20 tweets 5 min read Read on X
One of the challenges of showing up to close places like Rikers Island or enact bail reform is simply that most people just don't understand what bail is.

I didn't either, so we have to keep explaining it because every time we do, people are hearing it for the first time.
Cash bail is simply a financial incentive you're able and willing to put up as a pretrial defendant. You get the money back if you show up to court so the argument is that it will incentivize you to show up.

However...
However, in practice, cash bail is abused by prosecutors and judges. Bail is set at rates that are unaffordable on purpose, and set at even higher rates for Black and brown people for same types of cases as whites...

Why? Because...
Because it is no longer used as a tool to incentivize return from home to court (while it still is for the rich), it is used to incentivize someone accused of a crime to simply drop their case and plead guilty.

How?
Prosecutors employ vicious tactics while someone is in a pretrial cage because they can't afford bail. They'll bring you pictures of your kids. Tell you that if you plead guilty, you won't miss their graduation, or their birthday.

It gets worse...
Every single day in a pretrial cage is extremely dangerous. Half of all jail deaths, including suicides, occur within the very first week. And about a third of sexual violence by jail staff happens within the first three days of pretrial detention.

So people really want out...
And it's not only dangerous inside jail, while you're in pretrial incarceration, the lives of those you love are falling apart. So is whatever you were able to build...

Some examples of what happens while you're in pretrial jail because you can't afford bail?
You and/or family are evicted from affordable housing because you're in jail. Your job fires you. You go into debt for missing payments. Your car is taken by the bank from you. Your home is foreclosed. Custody of your child is raised. Your immigration status is in danger...
Prosecutors and judges know about these dual dangers. In fact, judges routinely and openly admit that they aim to send you to pretrial jail as punishment for things like "not speaking proper english" to them, not being dressed up enough for court....
So this gives prosectors a LOT of leverage to play with when compelling someone accused of a crime to just give up and plead guilty.

Why would a prosecutor want to squeeze someone to plead guilty? Well,
We're back at incentives again. Prosecutors are in competition with each other to rack up as many convictions as possible. They want to be judges. They want glory. And our system rewards them for it.

The fastest way to get their numbers up? Guilty pleas.

But crime is down....
Crime being at historic lows is a threat to their careers, and prosecutors have watched how easy it is to get a guilty plea, even with a weak case with no evidence.

So now they encourage police to bring in the weakest of cases, knowing, guilty or not, their stats will go up...
How do we know this? We know this with science and research.

For 10 years in The Bronx, bail was paid by charity for those who couldn't afford it. What happened when the bail was paid?

HALF the cases were dismissed.

Wait for it...
And of the cases that continued, that prosecutors were forced to fight?

Less than 2% of the convictions resulted in any jail sentence by a judge whatsoever!

This research proved cash bail is a tool designed not to keep us safe, but to fill jails with Black and brown people.
And what happened to those same type of cases where bail was not paid for by charity?

90% took terrible plea deals by prosecutors. Fed into a machine. Tortured by daily threats, mind games, and harm to their families until they gave that prosecutor their points.
The numbers show that those caged simply for not being able to afford bail, are 4 times more likely to be sentenced. And after they are sentenced, the sentence is 4 times longer.

Cash bail is the mouth of the prison industrial complex.
The scale of this?

On any given night 400,000 are in cages because they are short some cash. 4 Michigan stadiums.

2.5M people move through these cages every year because they can't afford cash bail, with most taking deals in cases they would have won.

23 Michigan stadiums. ImageImage
Then each person in each of stadium is no longer an active parent, spouse, breadwinner, voter, worker, caretaker, neighbor, student, uncle, advisor, mentor or child of a hundred more.

2,300 Michigan stadiums. One for each dot here.

Then exponentially more impacted generations. ImageImage
Here's a hopeful piece for the end. There is no other donation you can give where your donation is returned after its used (when the person shows up to court), then used again forever to free countless people.

Donate to @NationalBailOut

nationalbailout.org
Adding an example.

This just happened to an immunocompromised unhoused man accused of stealing blankets. His assessment for likelihood to return to court is near perfect. Judge didn't wanna hear anything and refused to say why he set unaffordable bail.

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More from @rafaelshimunov

Nov 8
Since Maccabi Tel Aviv is trending, come and get to know its soccer/football fans who ignited anti-Arab hate and violence in Amsterdam, leading to reprisals from Arabs who were attacked (and who are universally being smeared as antisemites engaging in pogroms).

🧵
Here is a report from an Israeli agency, who sent observers to every match to find 190 incidents of racist chants, calling 2022-2023 "the most racist and violent" soccer season in Israel's history. Including routinely chanting "monkey" at Black players.

2
nif.org/stories/shared…Image
This predominant fan culture in Israeli soccer isn't only home calling foreign team bigoted things, but also veers into going after each other. The study found 20 matches where fans would call for "Shoah" of the opposing Israeli team.

3 Image
Read 12 tweets
Aug 28
As we go into new campus actions for Gaza across the world, you're going to see a lot of our legacy Jewish orgs using polls to tell you how antisemitic our universities are.

The problem with these polls?

🧵
Nearly all of these polls assume that when a student is asked about antisemitism, they have a good analysis of what it means.

One way to examine the polls that are coming, is to look up their methodology, which is rarely reported in articles that mention the polls.

2/
So @BrandeisU's new poll will be used in media, talks & emails to politicians, agencies, parents etc saying students are swimming in antisemitism.

Who/how they "fixed" the poll won't be reported.

Here's fine print admitting they only polled kids who went on trips to Israel.

3 Note: See Table B3 in Technical Appendix B for 95% confidence intervals and significance tests. The 2023 data on Jewish students were drawn from applicants to Birthright Israel.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 28
We’ve been told as Jews that the slightest micro aggressions by individuals births antisemitism so dangerous we must have zero tolerance.

Today we’re told that open genocide, apartheid & ethnic cleansing in co-opting our name, faith, history & even synagogues doesn’t fuel antisemitism & we should tolerate it for our survival. 🧵
If some among us can’t navigate through hasbara engineered to rob us of our humanity for Palestinians and Arabs, and instead favor an often outsized moral panic over our daily safety, one would think maybe at least you can attempt to see our own self interest in ending this. This which will fuel antisemitism for decades to come, putting our lives in danger.

2
A common reply to this idea has been a smear. That this frames Jews for our own antisemitism. Yet, if you stay beyond the sound bites you’ll learn that many of us who look deeply into antisemitism history know that it’s invented by right wing Europeans and utilized by white supremacy as a middle man, a steam valve, to offer the poor a target.

3
Read 4 tweets
Aug 20
From a booklet distributed by @DemMaj4Israel at the DNC today, touting 22 years of Kamala Harris' support for Israel, including this bit of her backing the criminal prosecution of Muslim students who interrupted an Israeli government speaker at their school. 62. 5/8/11: As 11 UC Irvine students “accused of conspiring to, then successfully executing, a disruption of Israel Ambassador Michael Oren's speech in February 2010” sought to evade prosecution, Harris said in court documents that “Orange County prosecutors should remain on the case.” [Daily Pilot, 05/08/11] - Democratic Majority for Israel
@DemMaj4Israel The students prosecuted are referred to as the Irvine 11, who were moved by Israel's 2008-2009 massacres inside Gaza which killed 1500 Palestinians and left 100,000 homeless.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irvine_11…
@DemMaj4Israel Here's the amicus brief from lawyers at @theCCR and @jvplive on discriminatory enforcement on the Muslim students, such that had not been seen for other protestors first amendment rights and those who had interrupted even longer.

ccrjustice.org/files/Irvine%2…
Read 8 tweets
Aug 3
9 reasons Josh Shapiro could sink Kamala Harris ‘ campaign. 🧵 Image
1. Josh Shapiro is racist 1 Josh Shapiro is racist.  In college, alongside his classmate’s pro-peace article, Shapiro wrote an opinion titled “Peace not possible”, opposing a two-state solution, claiming Palestinians are “too battle-minded to be able to establish a peaceful homeland of their own.” and the Palestinian president who aimed for peace would be killed “by his fellow belligerent Arabs.”
2 Josh Shapiro volunteered with the IDF 2 Shapiro volunteered with the IDF  Josh Shapiro isn’t Israeli, and has lived as an American all his life, but volunteered with the Israeli Defense Forces. The IDF was implicated then with supporting apartheid and ethnic cleansing of Palestinians, and today with genocide.  During this period, Palestinians embarked on the “First Intifada”, a largely non violent protest movement for freedom, while IDF’s leader promised to “break their bones” and Israel’s Prime Minister promised to have their “heads smashed against the boulders and walls” and “crushed like grasshoppers.”
Read 11 tweets
Jul 29
Kamala's entry to the race affords Democrats not a reset in swing state voter excitement but an opportunity to reset.

An opportunity she can throw away, in whole, by selecting PA Governor Josh Shapiro as her VP.

Here's why. 🧵
White nationalist aligned Republicans use Gaza protests to do what they've dreamt of doing for generations: delegitimize secular higher learning in favor of far right religious dogma.

Democrats have an opportunity to position themselves in contrast by choosing freedom of speech.

2/
Josh Shapiro did the opposite, and collaborated with GOP strategies to vilify and criminalize free speech by students, even repeating far right talking points against those students, and against the freedom of speech we'll need to fight for democracy.

3/
Read 9 tweets

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