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Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
@jmcrookston
Sep 27, 2021 • 15 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
A few articles about randomized controlled trials (RCTs).
apa.org/monitor/2010/0…
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
About drawing causal claims

academic.oup.com/fampra/article…
p-test thread:

on the requirement for an RCT to prove YOUR thing works, but not the thing we already do

This ENTIRE BOOK

sciencedirect.com/journal/social…
academic.oup.com/jnci/article/1…
Relevant to the ASA statment that I posted first in this thread.

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
Gao, Jian. ‘P-Values – a Chronic Conundrum’. BMC Medical Research Methodology 20, no. 1 (December 2020): 167. doi.org/10.1186/s12874….
from Wikipedia Image
P>0.05 with smaller samples risks missing significant effects.

Honestly if this is the "gold standard" too many people sucked by fools' gold. Image
Related, re quotational accuracy (it's crap) in articles:

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2304213/
Haha, my experience exactly. It's usually (a) crap (b) biased crap. Image

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More from @jmcrookston

Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
May 8
Translation: it's already in humans
Imma help you with this "science speak"
Just remember the ladder of denial and elite panic myth means if you are hearing a 2 it's a 4. If a 4 it's a 6. If a 6 pack your bags. You'll never hear 8 and up the TV will just play static

Read 15 tweets
Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
Apr 25
Has anyone worked up the ladder of denial for bird flu?

- We have not found bird flu.

- We have found bird flu in one bird. There is no evidence of bird to bird transmission.
- We have found bird flu in many birds and there is bird to bird transmission but it has not moved to other mammals.

- We have found bird flu in a cow. However, we have not found evidence of cow to cow transmission.

- We have now found bird flu in many cows.
- We have now found evidence of cow to cow transmission but we do not know how this is happening.

- We found some bird flu in the milk. You should not worry because this might not be live virus. However, for some reason, we now think milk is the vector of transmission.
Read 8 tweets
Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
Apr 20
I'm so fed up with people taking the WHO seriously.

This is from 2014. Image
Image
They already said "airborne" although they had said long-range (throw back to 1910, by the way)

But wait for it Image
Read 8 tweets
Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
Apr 17
Wow they buried the lead.

COVID might be up to an R0 of 24, eating measles for breakfast. Image
Very comparable at median of 11 to measles, which is probably 9 to 12.

Anyway from p. 19 iris.who.int/handle/10665/3…
And measles from much much older reports...

Somewhere I posted an article that looked at how they arrived at 12 to 18 and concluded it was more like 9 to 12. Probably on the low end too.
Read 10 tweets
Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
Mar 18
For anyone reading this, he means "Airborne" as in the three viruses that require Airborne precautions.

Those are _defined_ as TB, measles and chickenpox.

They are "airborne" because they are "Airborne."

It is totally ludicrous, yes.
It means negative pressure rooms and N95s, which is why they desperately do not want COVID to be called "Airborne".
This is why, during SARS, when a roomful of Canadian doctors and nurses got sick even though they were using "Droplet precautions" (I'll capitalize) - that is, medical masks - they invented AGMP, so they could explain how a droplet virus infected people using Droplet Precautions.
Read 14 tweets
Jonathan Mesiano-Crookston's translucent form Profile picture
Jan 25
⚠️Please people.

We are no longer calling it "fire".

It is "potentially harmful chemical combustion energy output".
This of course means the fire department will be renamed as well.

It will be called the "organization for the suppression of potentially harmful chemical combustion energy output situations."
And please do not ask them to get your cat out of your tree. They will not understand.

It is an "affective feline mammal trapped in a heightened potential energy state of arboreal origin."
Read 6 tweets

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