Every week, I track the Economist/YouGov poll which asks a lot of great questions, including how much people approve or disapprove of the Republican and Democratic Parties. Here is how approval of the two major parties has changed since right before the 2020 Election.
Both parties have a lower disapproval today than they had right before last November's election. But the Republicans have lost more ground than the Democrats have.
Dems have an edge with every group listed here with the exception of white men and white women without degrees.
White men without degrees dislike the Democrats as much as they did last November. But, for the moment, they don't like them worse than they did back then. This group has, however, soured a bit on the @GOP although they still favor it.
The one group in which the GOP has gained a bit of ground is, surprisingly to me, with black voters. I've checked around the family and the barber shop and I haven't found these particular voters but the polls say they do exist. But the GOP still loses this group by 49 points.
And the Democrats have lost a lot of ground with latino voters. Not sure exactly why. But this erosion should scare Democrats into trying to figure out why this is happening (one hint: stop calling them "LatinX!").
You can look at the two surveys mentioned, from November and from now and compare how things have changed on a bunch of subjects from these links:
The only reason that the election may even be close is because Donald Trump is singularly held to the most generous grading curve ever applied to any politician in U.S. history.
He is held to a different set of rules. The lowest standard ever applied to an elected leader.
Trump can lie, multiple provable lies every minute he speaks, and it’s not considered news. He’s just being Trump.
But if his opponents mess up even minor details in any statement they make - that becomes a matter of concern to the public.
Donald Trump is a man who cheated on his first wife with his second wife and on his third wife with a porn star and a playmate. The porn star testified under oath and the playmate stated on the record he told them they reminded him of his DAUGHTER.
The choice for President in 2024 is a really easy one when you look at some basic facts. It doesn't matter whether or not you're conservative, moderate or liberal. Republican, Independent or Democrat.
The question is, do you want a criminal who wants to be a dictator?
Suppose that Kamala Harris were to became the nominee.
Let me tell you exactly how that would play out. If it happens, let’s review this thread in a few months to see if I called it right.
In the same way that a canine absolutely cannot resist the smell of chicken, the bastardized mixture of white grievance and overgrown brattiness that makes up the most vocal and energized faction of “conservative” leadership cannot help but attack black women. It’s instinctive.
I think it’s because a lot of these Tucker Carlson/Marjorie Taylor Greene/Matt Gaetz/TPUSA types are both racist and sexist. And entitled. And, in spite of having been dealt a pretty good hand in life, still resentful.
7 of the 9 U.S. Supreme Court Justices Would Not Be on the Court if:
Presidential Elections in 3 or fewer states decided by less than 3% had gone the other way
AND/OR
If U.S. Senate Elections in 3 or fewer states decided by less than 3% had gone the other way.
Vote!
Here's how YOUR votes, just regular people deciding to vote or not vote in Presidential and U.S. Senate elections, affects who gets onto the Supreme Court for life.
Where they no longer have to answer to anybody and make decisions about all of our lives.
Clarence Thomas is currently the ninth longest-tenured Supreme Court Justice in U.S. history.
But if Republicans hadn't narrowly won these three Senate elections in 1988, he would not have gotten confirmed.
Both major political parties have l extreme factions.
I find the Democratic fringe more annoying than scary since they don’t tend to be planning a civil war.
I find the Republican fringe frightening because they seem to be daydreaming about it.
But there’s another difference.
The farthest-left Democrats do not control their party. There have been countless examples over the last few years of a more left-leaning Democrat losing a PRIMARY to a more moderate Democrat.
Ilhan Omar nearly lost the Democratic Primary in Minnesota in 2022.
But on the Republican side, the nuttiest talking, hang-em-high, arrest Fauci, blood of patriots lunatics might not win the General Election. But they’re probably gonna win the Republican Primary.
The Presidential Election, like every other election, is a job interview. We're down to two candidates, exactly one of whom is going to get the job next January.