The special voting in Iraqi Kurdistan has been a real surprise both within security forces and the IDPs:

1. The votes of PUK and especially KDP has considerably declined, for instance in Duhok KIU candidate's vote has increased four-fold within security forces compared to 2018.
2. Turnout within the security forces (which're owned by KDP in Duhok, Erbil & by PUK in Sulaimanya) has declined and according to preliminary results, some 10,000 KDP zeravani have intentionally invalidated their votes; a silent opposition within the security forces is growing.
3. According to some reports, the turnout in the Yazidi camps has also been a surprise: only 24,ooo people in the IDP camps voted.

Now, the Yazidi candidates in Sinjar have a more serious chance to take at least one seat, plus the Yazidi quota. We will see tomorrow!
4. Another surprise has been the votes the brother of chief of Bradost tribe has garnered; according to unofficial results published by BwarNews, he's garnered the most votes in north Erbil's electoral zone. He is endorsed by Lahur Talabani & is known for his warm ties with PKK.
FYI, this is all about special voting, the actual general election will take place tomorrow. We will likely know the results later in the night, few hours after ballots close.
In Sulaymaniyah province, the turnout for special voting was 78%, according to unofficial results, among those who voted, PUK has only garnered 38% of the votes.

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More from @abdullahawez

10 Oct
Very preliminary results, Iraq elections:

- Signs of a major surge for opposition candidates across Kurdistan; if the trend continues, the New Generation will easily surpass PUK.
- Extremely low turnout across much of Iraq, including in politically charged cities such as Kirkuk.
According to very preliminary results: in every single ballot box reported in Sulauimani province: New Generation's candidates are far ahead of PUK; meanwhile, in Duhok, the Kurdistan Islamic Union candidate appears to be leading in the Duhok/Amedi electoral zone, for now.
Still early but the trend continues so far: New Generation appears to be doing exceptionally well in Sulimania but also in Erbil and Kirkuk.

PUK is doing very poorly but even KDP appears to be doing much more poorly than expected both in Duhok and Erbil.

Read 22 tweets
7 Aug
Aug 4: Erbil court convicted five culprits in the assassination case of an Iranian Kurdish opposition leader (the very first ever such trial.)

Aug 5: Nechirvan Barzani attends Ebrahim Raisi’s inauguration.

Aug 6: another Iranian opposition leader assassinated in Erbil.
To put the significance of the August 4 convictions into context: since 1991, 380 Iranian Kurdish opposition members have been assassinated in KRI and this was the very first time anyone was put on trial in KRI for the assassinations.
And while everyone was so busy with Kurdistan flag being hoisted in Tehran on Thursday, the very same day an Iranian opposition leader was kidnapped in Erbil and found dead the next day on Friday evening. His assassination was confirmed this morning:
Read 4 tweets
14 Apr
Iran-backed militia simultaneously targets Erbil airport, where US troops stationed and a Turkish base in Bashiqa near Mosul tonight; at least one rocket landed near the airport and three rockets landed near the Turkish base, a 12-year-old civilian girl is reportedly injured.
The Turkish defence ministry says one Turkish soldier has been killed in the rocket attack on their base in Bashiqa near Mosul in northern Iraq.
Quick notes:

- KDP's increasingly public anti-Iran stance & PMF, esp following the Iranian movie about Masoud Barzani, is a huge mistake that KRG can ill-afford.

- US is unlikely to effectively respond to Iran's increasing attacks judging by their response to the other attack.
Read 5 tweets
26 Mar
There is only one article, as far as I can tell, about KDP-PKK dynamics in the mainstream US media and it is full of inaccurate and very biased reporting that makes it hard to take anything they say re: Kurds seriously. I will spell it some of them:…
1. Here, @shellykittleson cites my tweet to say PKK has 37 bases in Iraqi Kurdistan while the tweet actually says TURKEY has 37 bases in Iraqi Kurdistan. How can one make such a basic mistake?
2. @shellykittleson claims Iraq had deployed 6000 additional soldiers to Sinjar citing AKP’s Daily Sabah which is again outright inaccurate. Iraq has never had more than 2500 soldiers in Sinjar since 2017. After Sinjar Agreement, Iraq only deployed 1000 troops (+ had 1500 there):
Read 10 tweets
22 Mar
Syrian Kurdish National Council (KNC) said in a statement they’ve celebrated Newroz in several areas in Afrin.

1. Barzani appears to have agreed to legitimise the status quo in Afrin in return for KNC opening offices there
2. PYD-KNC talks practically dead.

Sharran in NW Afrin:
Here is more background on the meeting between Barzani and head of Syrian opposition in early March:
PYD leader Aldar Khelil appears to refer to the normalisation by KNC in Afrin:
“It is not possible to agree given what happened to Afrin. We cannot accept it.”
Read 4 tweets
21 Mar
Massive HDP-led Newroz celebrations in Diyarbakir/Amed amid Turkish government’s attempt to limit the party’s legal politics:

Thousands of the party’s members, leaders, MPs and mayors are already in prison.
HDP-led Newroz celebrations in the city of Wan:

HDP-led Newroz celebrations in the city of Cizre:

Read 4 tweets

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