David Roberts Profile picture
Oct 10, 2021 15 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Apparently everyone has to have an opinion on "popularism" now, so lemme just say what I think is the single most important point in Ezra's excellent review of the debate: nytimes.com/2021/10/08/opi…
Namely this, from @anatosaurus. What voters hear about Democrats is only tenuously related to what Democrats say & do. Image
Fully half the media -- inc. the top-rated cable channel & the most influential FB pages -- is propaganda *specifically designed* to make Democrats look horrible. It's a little wild to me that this ongoing discussion about Dem strategy takes so little note of this fact.
The other half of the media ("MSM") devotes itself to defending against accusations of bias from the right. What reaches voters is both-sides stories of partisan dysfunction. So one half the media is saying "Dems are broken." The other half is saying "Washington is broken."
GOP messages blast, coordinated, across a whole giant multimedia propaganda machine. Dems toss messages out into the media swamp & then cross their fingers, hoping those messages reach the right voters. Of course they don't.
Take "defund the police." Sure, not a great slogan. But very few D officeholders seriously echoed it. It was mostly left activists. Nevertheless, RW media amplified it to the sky. RW media made sure it was center stage & as usual bullied the MSM into talking about it as well.
You might say, "nobody should have ever said defund the police." How would you enforce that? But whatever, OK, fine. Nobody ever said "ban cows." But guess what? That's what every single con -- & I bet quite a few normies as well -- think Dems want to do!
"Ban cows" is a real bad message for Ds. They definitely shouldn't campaign on that. But they didn't! No one ever said it. It's invented out of whole cloth. But it *still shaped voter views toward Ds*. What conceivable "message discipline" could counter that?
It just makes me pull my hair out that these discussions so often proceed as if the relationship between Ds & voters is created by Ds saying things & voters reacting, as though they are in direct conversation. They're not!
Between Ds & voters is a giant mediating layer, & right now, transmitting messages through that layer, such that they arrive at voters with original intent & meaning intact, is virtually impossible. For all intents & purposes, the layer is *devoted to preventing that*.
Progressives are devoted to exposing the corruption & structural discrimination & cruelty that keep society's powerful incumbents on top. Society's powerful incumbents ... own all the media, have most of the influence & voice, and actively want to squash that message.
TBC, I have no idea how to solve this problem -- it's one reason I'm so despondent about the future of US politics. But I know there's no amount of message discipline that would ensure voters actually *hear Dems clearly*. You can't say "ban cows" fewer than zero times.
The really thrilling part of this debate is that everyone on all sides of it seems to agree that Dems are screwed in coming years because the US WWC is too deeply racist to accept multiethnic democracy & too widely distributed to overcome via greater numbers. Whee!
Extra coda: I'm contractually obliged to note that I've written about this before: vox.com/policy-and-pol…

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More from @drvolts

May 9
When elites like the publisher of the NYT call something "partisan," they mean something very specific by it. To them, to be partisan, to choose a side & fight for it, is by definition unsophisticated. Brutish. To be on a side is to surrender your rational judgment.
The smart, sophisticated thing to do is to see both sides, to grasp all the contrasting points & nuances, to understand the big picture in a way that mere partisans, down in the ditches, never can.
Now obviously, there's an element of truth there. Partisans often *can* be irrational & they often *do* use motivated reasoning to support their positions. But if you take this nugget of insight & amplify it into a full life philosophy, you end up in an odd place ...
Read 6 tweets
May 6
I've vowed not to rant about Kahn & the NYT all day, but one thing I'll say: Kahn sets up a false dichotomy b/t what he says NYT is doing (fair coverage) vs. what libs want (cheerleading for Biden). But even if you accept that dichotomy, *NYT isn't doing what it says it's doing.*
It's *not* fairly covering all issues based on what voters care about. That is simply not an accurate discussion of its current practice.
Put it this way: just because partisanship *isn't* your motivation doesn't mean that laudable journalistic values *are* your motivation. There are plenty of motivations more venal, petty, & misleading than partisanship!
Read 9 tweets
Apr 15
Polls & surveys found that most Americans were amenable to civil rights back in the early 60s, but thought that *other* Americans *weren't*. Sociologists call this "pluralistic ignorance" -- ignorance about other people's views. Now pluralistic ignorance is back ...
... around climate change. A new study found that most people are willing to act to address climate change, but believe that *other* people *aren't* willing. "Respondents vastly underestimate the prevalence of climate-friendly behaviors and norms." papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Now here's the good news: "Correcting these misperceptions in an experiment causally raises individual willingness to act against climate change as well as individual support for climate policies."

When people find out other people are on board, it strengthens their resolve!
Read 8 tweets
Apr 14
One of the main reasons renewable energy is going to triumph in the end is, IMO, not well understood by the general populace, so here's a quick 🧵on it.

Over time, the price of fossil fuels is determined by two forces pulling in opposite directions. On one hand ...
... there's the physical resource itself (oil, gas, or coal), which, all things being equal, will drive costs up. Why? Simple: it is finite and we harvest the easy stuff first. As time passes, we have to dig or drill deeper & exploit lower quality deposits.
This is why "peak oil" has been such a persistent concern over the years -- it's based on the (true) notion that oil is getting harder to reach & refine. But it keeps not happening. Why? Because of the other force: the advancement of the technology used to exploit the resource.
Read 14 tweets
Apr 13
Right-wing men: women will not stay with us voluntarily, because we are emotionally illiterate, violent assholes, so as a society we must force them.
I do feel sorry for RW men raised in RW households because at some point they conclude that becoming an interesting, thoughtful, kind person that people *want* to be with is impossible, so they start thinking about how to force themselves on people.
But of course, even if you can force a woman to stay with you, even if you can force social media sites to promote you, even if you can buy up media & force yourself into homes, you can't force people to *like* you & ultimately that's what humans want/need -- to love & be loved.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 11
The authors of White Rural Rage respond to critics: "scholars of rural politics bend over backward to avoid saying anything that might reflect poorly on rural whites—even when it means downplaying their own research."

newrepublic.com/article/180570…
I could thread on this subject forever but I just want to make one point: whenever this subject comes up, people who criticize the attitudes & behaviors of rural whites are accused of "looking down" on them. I think this gets it backward in important ways.
What does it mean NOT to look down on someone? Well, to me that means: taking the person seriously, treating them like a peer, an autonomous agent capable of making decisions & being responsible for them.

That's what it means to treat someone respectfully, as an adult.
Read 8 tweets

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