Wow. I have no idea how this paper made it past the censors but there it is! It confirms what we’ve been saying for months now: the vaccines have not stopped and likely will not stop the pandemic.…
1/ 🧵
Back in July we tweeted that the CDC data mapping vax rates to COVID-19 case rates shows ZERO impact of the former on the latter:
Yesterday, Dr. Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford tweeted:
Now from Harvard: "At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days (Fig. 1).
"In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people."
When they got down to the U.S. county level the relation was even less discernible:
They conclude: "The sole reliance on vaccination as a primary strategy to mitigate COVID-19 and its adverse consequences needs to be re-examined, especially considering the Delta variant and the likelihood of future variants."

Feel some vindication folks. We were right.
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More from @justin_hart

15 Oct
They're hiding the data - again!
- They chose 15 places to grab their data
>>> (which ones? I dunno)
- They figured out vaxxed vs. unvaxxed pops
>>> (how? I dunno)

Thread. 🧵…
One of my BIG complaints against the CDC is that they are legitimately hiding the MOST IMPORTANT data around vaccines. The only clue we got was a leaked deck to the Washington Post back in July showing the 15% of all COVID-19 deaths in MAY 2021 were fully vaccinated:
2/ Image
Silence since then.

We have our go-to slides which show vaccinate rates along with case rates (something anyone with basic Excel knowledge can map out). By the way the correlation between cases and vax rates is NON-EXISTENT.…
Read 9 tweets
11 Oct
Propaganda posters! The public pressure surrounding the pandemic is undeniable but these tactics are nothing new. During the 1930s and 40s the Works Progress Administration subsidized an entire army of artists and writers to push propaganda
1/ Image
After the great depression Harry Hopkins headed up the massively budgeted newly created WPA (garnering 6% of the GDP in 1935). Labor jobs was the focus but the program also recruited artists who created 1000s of posters touting local theater and warning against tuberculosis!
2/ ImageImageImageImage
First, let's admit that some of these posters are wonderfully nostalgic. There were some font creatives (hardly a serif anywhere!), perspective, stylization (if you can stomach the message to digest the art part of it). This will trigger some of you mightily!
3/ ImageImage
Read 10 tweets
7 Oct
Every so often the CDC puts out a dataset entitled: “Weekly Provisional Counts of Deaths by State and Select Causes” They typically have only published data for 2020-2021 but if you search hard enough you can get it back to 2014. The select causes are as follows:
It’s this last one that I’m interested in. Way back in May 2020 I did some investigating into signs that COVID might have been here previously.
In May 2020, we used that data to show that the rise in deaths attributed to this category (R00-R99) had risen considerably.

Now, once again, we are seeing a MASSIVE rise in this classification for 2021:
Read 5 tweets
27 Sep
Our health overlords spend an inordinate amount of time squeezing out the last vaccinations among the hesitant - but their own surveys suggest that age is probably the main factor - and when you think about it - that makes sense to ANYONE with 2 brain cells to rub together!
As you can see from the previous chart - the vaccine hesitant (those who answer "Probably or Definitely Will Not Get Vaccinated") have a ratio to age that mirrors that of the impact of the virus (the median age of death is 80 for #COVID19). Next, let's look at race and sex.
Asians as a culture have very few reservations getting vaccinated. Note that the shift among Whites, Blacks and Hispanics is within MOE of this survey for sure and that the movement from April is pretty modest or even low frankly. Next - other factors from the survey:
Read 4 tweets
24 Sep
Do vax rates impact the course of the virus? Note: this is a diff. question than "do vaccines work?" I believe vaccines can reduce severity of #COVID19 for individuals - but do they stop the overall virus from its course? Do lower county vax rates mean higher virus stats?
🧵 1/
The prev chart (via @Hold2LLC) shows the incredible synchronized waves of hospitalizations per million for southern states AL, FL, GA, MS, LA, TX. These have different demographics, NPIs, mask mandates, vax rates... and all moving in synchrony! Let's map these to county level
We're looking for correlation. Almost all data originates with counties... so let's
1) map ALL the counties from these 6 states
2) narrow the timeframe to the big recent wave
3) compare cases per 100K over that time period with the average vax rates for 65+ and 12+
Read 7 tweets
21 Sep
Surveys are out! The NIS-ACM survey on vaccine hesitancy has been updated once again DEMOLISHING the notion that hold outs are middle-age red state Trumpers.
- Key stat: young Americans are more hesitant. They're smart - the risk for healthy people under 45 is essentially ZERO
Blacks still lag behind other ethnicities for vaccine hesitancy but note that the hold outs ("Probably or Definitely Will Not Get Vaccinated") is almost uniform across White, Blacks and Hispanics - but has come down a bit since July. Asians have no qualms with the vaccine.
Rural folks are more hesitant but their populations are nowhere near the majority in these ranks. I wish I had the cross-tabs - alas - they don't provide them.
Read 6 tweets

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