Last night Flexport brought a taco truck to the Port of Long Beach as a big thank you to the ILWU laborers there working like crazy to clear this container backlog. A thread on what we learned! /1
First off, they told us that Flexport is the first outside company in the history of the port to send in a food truck as a sign of gratitude. They loved it. /2
During our evening at the port only one truck showed up. The 24/7 gates don't matter if nobody comes to pick up the containers. Big opportunity for companies that can operate their receiving facilities at night and send trucks to the port when there is no line. /3
For all of second shift they are seeing 50 trucks or less on most nights. Trucks aren’t even coming in after midnights. They have had nights with zero trucks. Despite that, appointments are “full.” They have so many no-shows they don’t know how to plan the yard. /4
No pulls mean a full yard. Between dwelling imports and empties, there is no room to place new containers in the yard. A ship they would normally work with 4-6 cranes they have 2 on. /5
Those 2 are still pumping 30+ containers an hour, but they can’t push more because the containers have nowhere to go. /6
They are loading empties out. That isn’t a restriction. But with only 2 cranes they run out of time and have to cut the ship loose. /7
Rail has caught up. They have almost no rail containers left waiting to go out. This is a huge win and freed up additional yard space (which quickly filled). /8
Equipment is an issue. The one spot they are truly short labor is on maintenance. Spare parts are in short supply. So even if they did ramp into full ops they would struggle with yard equipment. *But there are chassis. /9
A lot of them are dedicated to one carrier but they do have chassis. The problem though is as they issue them out, and they break, there is no way to fix them. /10
Those chassis are for an on-wheels premium service but they can’t put the containers onto the chassis because they have nowhere to park the chassis. /11
They are not intentionally slow working. COVID is not an issue. There is no intentional labor slowdown. They want more shifts. They want to work. /12
But also even if they went to 24/7 ops is would just look like more of the above. They don’t have enough skilled labor and management to work full out 24/7. How long would it take to get there? A year or more. Less working, after all, means fewer training opportunities. /13
Quick to note that they blame no one. Really, they don’t. They find it all very interesting but at the end of the day they clock in, do their jobs, and go home to their families. They truly love the work and are proud of what they are doing. /14
Big shoutout to the Flexport LA team that pulled this taco Tuesday together and approached the workers with such empathy that we got this very clear picture of life on the ground right now. It's so easy to point fingers in the midst of a crisis. /15
Super important that we continue to gather the best real time insights (observe), put that information in context with the right people who need to know (orient), make decisions (decide), take decisive action (act). /16
By iterating through this OODA loop with incredible velocity (not just speed, but speed in the right direction), Flexport can work with the entire supply chain ecosystem to fight through the friction that is making the seemingly easy feel impossible right now.
It's a very exciting time to work in supply chain. The pressure is on. Time for us all to step up.
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In the 3 weeks since the tariffs took effect, ocean container bookings from China to the United States are down over 60% industry wide. 🧵
The U.S. imports $600B worth of goods from China every year, 95% of that via ocean freight. Those goods sell at retail for ~$2T.
If the tariffs on China continue at this level w will we see a $2T hit to economic activity in our country, the failure of tens of thousands of American businesses, and the laying off of millions of employees.
Thousands, and then millions, of American small businesses, including many iconic brands, will go bankrupt this year if the tariff policies on China don’t change.
🧵
These small businesses are largely unable to move their manufacturing out of China. They are last in line when they try to go to a new country as those other countries can’t even keep up with the demand from mega corporations.
The manufacturers in Vietnam and elsewhere can’t be bothered with small batch production jobs typical of a small business’s supply chain.
Thousands, and then millions, of American small businesses, including many iconic brands, we’ll go bankrupt this year if the tariff policies on China don’t change. 🧵
These small businesses are largely unable to move their manufacturing out of China. They are last in line when they try to go to a new country as those other countries can’t even keep up with the demand from mega corporations.
The manufacturers in Vietnam and elsewhere can’t be bothered with small batch production jobs typical of a small business’s supply chain.
I created this list of background resources for @Flexport so everyone on our team become an expert on the new tariffs so we can best help our customers navigate this crisis.
Sharing here to since many customers follow me. If you have other great articles and sources, please post in replies.
"Chaos vs Grand Design: Trump 2.0 for investors" fantastic presentation from JP Morgan's Chief Economist Michael Cembalast privatebank.jpmorgan.com/nam/en/insight…
On April 17th the U.S. Trade Representative's office is expected to impose fees of up to $1.5M per port call for ships made in China and for $500k to $1M if the ocean carrier owns a single ship made in China or even has one on order from a Chinese shipyard. 🧵 1/
Ocean carriers have announced that to reduce the fees they will skip the smaller ports like Seattle, Oakland, Boston, Mobile, Baltimore, New Orleans, etc.
Some carriers have said they'll just move the capacity serving the U.S. to other trade lanes altogether. /2
This would be horrible for jobs in and around those ports, and really bad for companies, both importers and exporters, using those ports. Huge extra costs will be incurred as trucks and trains run hundreds of extra miles to the main ports on each cost. 3/
Duty free "de minimis" shipping is being eliminated from ALL countries as soon as the systems are ready. 🧵
Buried in today's Executive Order on tariffs is a bombshell: The program that allows goods to be shipped duty free if they come direct from overseas to final consumers is going away for all countries.