Or, what I learned from watching @elonmusk and @drrollergator use social media at the Grandmaster level.
Both Elon and Gator come across as effortless, because they are. This doesn't mean they are not refined or purposeful. It means they're doing something else than trying to succeed at social media. Their success is coming En Passant, much like JS Mills described finding happiness:
While it can be tempting to over think what will preserve or maximize your social power, social media is reflexive, and the result of politics is more politics.
The way to exit the maze of complex interrelationships is to exit the maze of complex interrelationships.
And while those who hatch complex plans think they look like this:
To everyone else they look more like this:
Because complex systems are complex, for every friendship you know you might lose, you don't have the counterfactual of the friendships you didn't know you didn't make. Journos (and @SamHarrisOrg) make the same mistake when they bring up "responsibility":
Allright everyone, let's do this. Send me all the various reasons that have been cited by the US government, or the broader regime, for the US operation on Venezuela. Ideally with quotes or video attached to your replies so we can put them all together.
The EU has sanctioned Jaques Baud, one of the most lucid and evidence based analysts of the war. Apparently, this means that as a Swiss citizen, he cannot even fly over EU territory, which means he cannot leave his country. This is just one of many consequences the penalty, imposed with no due process or any kind of court hearing, has for this former Swiss intelligence analyst and former NATO advisor.
His crime? Quoting the words of Ukranian officials verbatim. Read on.
This is the entirety of the accusations against Colonel Jaques Baud, as written by the EU: ""Jacques Baud, former colonel of the Swiss army and strategic analyst, is a regular guest on pro-Russian television and radio programs. He acts as a mouthpiece for pro-Russian propaganda and spreads conspiracy theories, for example by accusing Ukraine of having orchestrated its own invasion in order to join NATO. Therefore, Jacques Baud is responsible for actions or political measures attributable to the government of the Russian Federation that undermine or threaten the stability or security in a third country (Ukraine) through participation in the use of information manipulation and influence operations, implements them, or supports them.""
You will note that they accuse him of SPEECH CRIMES only. Now lets dig into the specifics a little because the insanity of the situation is off the charts.
Did you now that the PRINCIPLE trial out of the UK found that IVM was superior to the usual care in practically every subgroup it tested, but it sat on the results for ~600 days? When it finally published, it buried these results in page 346 of the appendix.
The main body of the paper they published is even more bizarre --
1. They claim that "clinically meaningful" meant 1.5 days improvement in median time to recovery. 2. They admit that ivermectin showed >2 days to recovery. 3. Their main conclusion is that ivermectin is unlikely to provide clinically meaningful improvement in recovery.
The secret sauce in their conclusion is that their target metric of HR 1.2 is based on 9 days of recovery needed (after randomization). Even though they had ran many hundreds of patients by the time they started the ivm arm they knew the days needed for recovery were >14.
Let's do a thread doing a close reading of Douglas Murray's article in the NY Post, in which he writes about his encounter with Dave Smith on Joe Rogan's podcast.
If you care about facts and truth and stuff, I promise this will be highly illuminating. π§΅
"Having not spoken to Joe since the wars in Ukraine and Israel started, I had become increasingly irked that the guests he has had on have been almost entirely anti-Ukraine and anti-Israel."
As many have demonstrated, this is false.
Since late 2023, at the very least these guests with strong pro-israel views have appeared at least once on the podcast.
Gad Saad
Mike Baker
Peter Zeihan
Douglas Murray
Coleman Hughes
Konstantin Kisin (3 times)
So, the Ukranian constitution gives the president the power to declare martial law, and explicitly says that parliamentary elections can be delayed until after martial law is lifted. For presidential elections it says they must happen every 5 years with no martial law exception.