Andrew Prokop Profile picture
Nov 4, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Durham tries to get to the bottom of where the pee tape allegation came from. He seems to imply what he thinks is the answer without actually proving it.

This is a bit complicated so needs some decoding (cont'd)...

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Much of the Steele dossier relied on information provided by Igor Danchenko, who is the subject of this indictment.

Per indictment, Danchenko was close to an unnamed Democratic PR Executive who worked in Russia and had associations with many key figures named in dossier
This Democratic PR Executive told Danchenko that he had inside information on the downfall of Paul Manafort, from "a GOP friend". Danchenko wrote up his info and put it into the dossier.

But the PR exec actually just made that up, had no "friend" who gave him inside info
The PR Exec also stayed at the Moscow Ritz Carlton in June 2016 and heard about Trump's visit. The PR exec admitted to FBI that no sexual or salacious activity was mentioned.

After that, Danchenko (who had not actually visited the hotel) wrote up the pee tape stuff for Steele
Durham seems to want to imply that either the PR exec or Danchenko made up the pee tape claim. Similarly to how the PR exec fabricated the Manafort claim.

He doesn't actually prove that. He says, if not for Danchenko's false statements, FBI could have questioned the PR exec more
Like Durham's last indictment was mainly about establishing a narrative about Alfa Bank, this indictment means to establish a narrative about Steele Dossier.

That narrative: lots of its info came from someone close to the Clintons, a guy who tended to make stuff up
Fewer indictments so far but Durham's investigation is mirroring Mueller's in some ways.

A big sweeping topic being investigated, but the cases coming out of it are false statements with the bigger narrative not being definitively established

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More from @awprokop

Feb 3
Key source of Musk’s power in government: he seems to have the ability to put career staffers who resist his team on administrative leave.

Essentially, bulldozing over whoever defies him Image
Whether this use of administrative leave is actually legal seems like an important question.
Read 7 tweets
Nov 20, 2024
A key reason Biden blundered on inflation is that there was an effective, well-funded, years-long effort to sideline mainstream economists — the people most inclined to warn about inflation— from Democratic policymaking.

So by 2021 no one on his team took the threat seriously
So far as we know, the only Biden official who internally expressed concerns that the American Rescue Plan might be too big was Joe Biden (whose reasoning was, “seems too big to pass”). But when Schumer told him it wasn’t too big to pass he went along. Image
Was there an internal debate in which some key appointees said “I don’t know, Mr. President, seems a lot bigger than the output gap merits, could be real inflationary risks”?

If there was, word of it has never leaked.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 13, 2024
Here’s how I think about Project 2025’s policies - in 3 groups.

1.) Centralizing presidential authority over the executive branch
2.) Longtime conservative priorities
3.) A very aggressive religious right agenda, especially on abortion
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The Heritage Foundation has been doing Project 2025-esque stuff for decades but there are some different dynamics this cycle due to Trump’s close ties with Heritage, and his own former appointees lying in wait to return to office and correct his first term mistakes

Image
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That’s particularly evident in the Project’s focus on amping up the number and power of political appointees (relative to career civil servants) throughout the executive branch, especially at the Justice Department
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Read 7 tweets
Mar 20, 2023
The tangled, nearly 7-year saga of the Stormy Daniels hush money scandal and investigations that has resulted in Trump now being on the verge of indictment, explained

vox.com/policy-and-pol…
THE PAYOFF: The month before the 2016 election, Stormy Daniels prepared to come forward alleging a consensual sexual encounter with Trump 10 years prior — but let it be known she'd accept payment for her silent.

Michael Cohen sent the payment, $130,000, on October 27, 2016. Image
INVESTIGATION 1 (FEDS): When SDNY prosecutors investigated Cohen, they argued the $130,000 payment violated federal campaign finance laws, since it was meant to help Trump win the election.

Cohen pleaded guilty to this and other charges. But the theory was never tested in court Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 17, 2023
Hunter Biden has filed a countersuit against the computer repair store owner who provided his emails and files to Trump allies.

It's interesting to look very closely at which claims Hunter explicitly denies and which he claims not to have knowledge sufficient to confirm or deny
Hunter denies he was referred to the repair store.

Hunter says he lacks the knowledge to confirm or deny whether he asked the repairman to recover info from damaged computers and whether he himself returned to the shop the next day
So this is not an outright denial that Hunter dropped his laptops off at the repair store. Instead it seems to point to a "I don't remember" (implicitly: "I was too wasted" defense)
Read 5 tweets
Mar 16, 2023
This seems in very poor taste to me.

Its roots however go back much further than the Great Awokening!

The first version of this exercise I can find online is from the year 1998 (thread cont'd)
Here we have the same exercise, "Whom to Leave Behind," but with different identities. Race is only explicitly mentioned for one person on the list. It's dated 1998 at the bottom.

home.snu.edu/~jsmith/librar…
The version with the rather absurd identities list shows up in a "Diversity Activities" packet uploaded in 2015.

The only instructions given are to talk about it. It seems like a kinda ridiculous, Michael Scott-esque poor taste team-building exercise

solarev.org/migration/wp-c…
Read 5 tweets

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