A lot of my political views come out of a stretch about 5-6 years ago where I spent a lot of time on the subreddit "r/tumblrinaction," dedicated to making fun of absurd social justice tumblrs.
And the thing is, those social justice tumblrs were actually absurd! BUT
Eventually you noticed that something else was going on. The subreddit was absolute catnip for a certain kind of red-pilled reddit dudes. It was an OBSESSION for these guys.
And after a while you began to realize that they were in an emotional Skinner box: attacking these silly tumblrs was like pressing a button that gave them a little thrill. They wanted to take shots at these particular targets, all the time, in a frame of plausible deniability.
This was a particularly unsubtle example, but I think you can see a similar dynamic in a lot of politics and society. People have resentments and prejudices looking for a way out. And they're looking for plausibly deniable ways to express those resentments and prejudices.
Anyway, our brains are very good at inventing ways for us to say logical-sounding things that just so happen to target people and groups that bother us for less-logical reasons. There's a massive audience for rationalized resentment and huge economic incentives to engage in it.
And so when there's an explosion of obsessive coverage of some relatively picayune cultural thing, like silly DEI trainings or overwoke college kids or too-radical BLM marchers, I feel like you always have to wonder whether that coverage is supplying someone's Skinner box.
Guys, you really can’t understand this without understanding that they’re junkies taking a hit. Someone gave them words that let them say things they’ve always wanted to say but couldn’t and now they can’t stop pressing that lever
We are living through a reactionary panic among white elites. They have convinced themselves that all this racial inequality talk has gone too far and must be squelched. They’re hiding it (barely) behind a new vocabulary of “wokeness” and claims of political pragmatism.
What’s remarkable about this is that almost every single person complaining about “wokeness,” “cancel culture,” or “left-wing cultural politics” would argue that they are PERSONALLY in favor of an egalitarian, colorblind society in which race is irrelevant.
The reason I feel comfortable identifying what’s happening as reactionary backlash is that, as Perry suggests, there’s no specific left-wing idea that has gained a strong foothold. Instead, the problem is implicitly understood to be the mere EXISTENCE of progressive ideas on race
If the exact same infrastructure bill had passed in June with only Dem votes, something that was totally possible, it would have been regarded as a minor win for Biden and quickly forgotten. But nobody in DC seems capable of keeping perspective on anything.
The reasons this infrastructure started to seem like a big deal are that: 1. Biden hasn't been able to pass anything else, and 2. It got bottled up for ages.
But the reason it got bottled up for ages isn't because this bill is particularly significant! It's because this bill was being held back by people who basically supported it, because they were afraid if they DID pass it, Biden wouldn't be able to pass anything else.
First picture: how most analysis imagines elections work
Second picture: how elections actually seem to work
Think of voters as particles. The main thing affecting them isn't a bunch of little forces, it's just one big vibey main signal.
Why do I think this is how elections seem to work? Because we see consistent kinds of shifts across many groups and geographies. Unless everyone's responding to the same thing, that's very unlikely.
That's not to say the shifts are always in the same direction! For instance, 2016-2020 consistently saw suburbanites move left and white rural areas move right. The key here is that whatever force was causing that change (Trump) was operating on pretty much everyone.
The sustained ideological controversy is "white people mad about race" and the reason it's newly roiling institutions is that people like you have found a new language and pretext to repackage the same resentments that have been around for a century.
You found a new word for X, congratulations. We all know what the X really is, though.
The people who are LEAST confused what the X is, by the way, are the people raging on the ground. It's the intelligentsia who have deluded themselves into thinking that what these people are REALLY angry about is some hard-to-define set of subtle shifts in institutional ideology.
One of the many reasons I get so frustrated with "popularism" and similarly policy-driven electoral proposals is that the solutions they propose are just going to be bugs on the windshield of the main signal.
Trying to parry and feint your way through politics as if it's a fencing match is not going to work when you're caught up in a hurricane-force main signal