A few quick thoughts about the Biden administration's recent legal argument in the Fifth Circuit (link below), in defense of the OSHA vaccine mandate.

In short, it's...unconvincing. Time for a thread. 🧵
politico.com/f/?id=0000017d…
Statutorily, OSHA can issue an "emergency temporary standard" if it determines that "employees are exposed to grave danger from exposure to substances or agents determined to be toxic or physically harmful."

The key words here are "employees" (i.e., plural) and "grave danger."
The use of "employees" indicates Congress had in mind the sort of ubiquitous workplace hazards that affect, well, everyone. Think of asbestos, lead in water pipes, that sort of thing.

The point is the statute does not say, "some high-risk employees." It simply says "employees."
But we know COVID does not equally affect all "employees." First, mitigating the risk of getting COVID and mitigating the effects of COVID even if getting it is the entire point of the vax. Second, we know COVID disproportionately affects the elderly, the immunocompromised, etc.
It defies both basic logic and basic reading comprehension to pretend that all workplace "employees," in the abstract, are equally affected by the risk of catching COVID as they are by asbestos or lead in water pipes. That is nonsense.
The Biden administration tries to get around this, in part, by ignoring that basic linguistic point and instead focusing on the "grave danger" COVID allegedly poses to unvaccinated workers, specifically.

This is also problematic.
It is problematic for the very simple reason that we can *conservatively* estimate the national survival rate for COVID to be 98-99%.

(It is orders of magnitude higher for those who are vaccinated.) cnn.com/2021/07/31/hea…
But even holding aside the vaxxed and focusing simply on the unvaxxed, as the Biden administration purports to do, implementing a sweeping policy of this nature to address an alleged "grave danger" with a 98-99% survival rate simply does not pass the laugh test.
The overarching idea here is to unilaterally implement a national policy, affecting all large-employer "employees," to mitigate what is truly a "grave danger" for a fractionally tiny proportion of the populace.
To make a crass torts law analogy, it's treating everyone as an "eggshell skull" plaintiff. It's massively over-inclusive. law.cornell.edu/wex/eggshell_s…
Most people for whom COVID truly is a "grave danger"—i.e., the elderly, the immunocompromised, etc.—have the self-awareness to know that it is a danger to them. They take prudent and reasonable risk-mitigation measures, accordingly—as they should.
We can analogize to a peanut allergy (mixed data, but roughly 1-2% of U.S. population), which can also be deadly. Those with peanut allergies also take prudent risk-mitigation measures: They avoid peanuts, they carry EpiPens, etc.

Should OSHA ban all peanuts from the workplace?
In summary, the Fifth Circuit's staying of the OSHA mandate was correct. And the Biden administration's legal logic here should unnerve us all.
Quick addendum.

In my @theammind piece from September, I speculated as to what is really going on here: COVID hysteria as anti-“deplorable” political and legal warfare. americanmind.org/features/the-s…

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More from @josh_hammer

22 Aug
I finally finished @jackbutler4815's interminable slog of an essay purporting to take aim at me on @SohrabAhmari on foreign policy.

It is candidly not worth responding to in full, but here are a few quick thoughts. nationalreview.com/2021/08/reflex…
First, on a personal note, I'd like to thank @NRO (some employees of whom I certainly consider friends) for apparently living rent-free in their heads this week. There was also @baseballcrank's fusillade against common good originalism. nationalreview.com/2021/08/explai…
(I responded to that piece with this thread.)
Read 13 tweets
20 Aug
It's been a busy week. Here's a little recap.

1. On Tuesday, we released a really fun episode of @NewsweekOpinion's "The Debate" podcast: "Vaccine Mandates: Public Necessity or Government Tyranny?" art19.com/shows/the-deba…
2. On Tuesday night, I wrote my first piece on the Afghanistan withdrawal debacle, for @nypost, focusing on the great-power competition angle: "China outflanking US in the wake of Biden’s Afghan debacle." nypost.com/2021/08/17/chi…
3. On Wednesday, I published my latest piece with @CityJournal, this time looking at problems with using "public-nuisance" litigation as a way to hold Big Pharma accountable for the opioid crisis. city-journal.org/opioid-lawsuit…
Read 8 tweets
19 Aug
I appreciate @baseballcrank's continued engagement with common good originalism. I won't write another new essay defending CGO (I recently did something similar in response to @JohnGGrove1: thepublicdiscourse.com/2021/07/76917/), so here is just a quick thread. nationalreview.com/2021/08/explai…
Most of this essay is fair, but there are some obvious misreadings. For example, I'm faulted for taking a hatchet to Founding-era federalism (e.g., Madison in Federalist No. 45), but my underlying article expressly raises possibility that Bill of Rights "incorporation" was wrong.
Also, a leitmotif in this essay, as with other CGO criticisms, is a rudimentary misunderstanding of what the "common good" is.

There are some "gotcha" attempts at alleged inconsistencies with respect to deference, modesty, expanding v. narrowing democratic majoritarianism, etc.
Read 10 tweets
18 Aug
"China outflanking US in the wake of Biden’s Afghan debacle.”

My piece in tomorrow’s @nypost. nypost.com/2021/08/17/chi…
@nypost Great-power competition is back—just when America happens to be an overstretched, and now-humiliated, empire.

Xi Jinping and his CCP henchmen saw an opportunity to add salt to the wounds of the reeling American tiger—and they acted upon it.

My latest. nypost.com/2021/08/17/chi…
The importance of the current geopolitical moment can’t be overstated. China senses a weak rival.

Secure the national interest, bolster longtime allies, and stop exporting effete Western liberalism: How hard is that for our failed ruling class to grasp? nypost.com/2021/08/17/chi…
Read 4 tweets
19 Jul
Thanks so much to my friend @JennaEllisEsq for having me on @RealAmVoice tonight to discuss conservatism versus libertarianism and what I mean when I propose a jurisprudence of "common good originalism."

Part 1. americasvoice.news/video/zRtbyndQ…
Read 4 tweets
11 Jun
A brief thread.

I've been baffled by a lot of @DavidAFrench's writings on efforts to combat critical race theory, but perhaps never more so than here. frenchpress.thedispatch.com/p/the-conserva…
It has *long* been conservative orthodoxy that states possess near-plenary power over their curricula. Many on the Right have supported abolishing the Department of Education for decades on precisely these grounds. It's a federalism argument right out of Madison in Federalist 45.
What is the issue here? If blue states like California can mandate ethnic studies in their curricula (aside: have "principled" right-liberals objected to that on proceduralist grounds?), then how can red states not ban racially discriminatory pedagogy that's anathema to Title VI?
Read 8 tweets

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