An interesting company and a very interesting DRHP for sure!
Loved reading this DRHP!
Do Retweet to help this thread reach more people :)
Ok let's go, let's know everything about the company -
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About Delhivery -
- It is a tech-savvy logistics company
- Professionally managed, no identifiable promoter
- Offers integrated logistics services through a nation-wide network infrastructure
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About their Logistics Infra -
124 gateways, 20 automated sort centres, 83 fulfilment centres, 35 collection points, 24 returns processing centres, 249 service centres, 120 intermediate processing centres and 2,235 direct delivery centres as of June 30, 2021
- Revenue from e-comm customers vertical 60% (FY20 - 70%)
- 12665 permanent employees
- 27313 contracted workers
- 474 in data sciences and product team
- In addition, had 26370 last-mile delivery agents
6/n
About their Infra -
- Asset-light model
- They lease their network infrastructure
- Operated 15.15 mn sq feet
- short-term leases ranging up to 12 months
- leases for mega gateways are long-term (1 year + up to 9 years)
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Technology development centers
- In Gurugram (Haryana), Hyderabad (Telangana), Goa, and Bangalore (Karnataka) and intend to add new centers in India and Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.
8/n
Let's look at the stakeholder map of Delhivery -
Lifecycle of a courier –
- First Mile
- Mid Mile
- Last Mile
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There are 3 tech stacks when it comes to Delhivery -
- Application Layer
- Technology Layer
- Infrastructure Layer (Fixed and Mobile Assets)
Kindly read this in detail :)
10/n
M&A History -
- Company has spent 1545 Cr in the past 5 years on M&A
- excludes the asset purchase from FedEx and TNT India, which is subject to the fulfillment of certain closing conditions, including receipt of the requisite regulatory approval
- Top 5 customer contribution to total revenue was 43% in FY21 (down from 49% in FY19)
- Trade receivables 15.5% of revenue in FY21 (20% in FY20)
- FY21 average outstanding receivable days - 47 (was 79 days in FY19)
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Financials -
Note - Spoton, a subsidiary's FY21 revenue was 800 Cr, a good topline growth is due to M&A (wasn't able to find other revenue figures for other subsidiaries)
14/n
Now the company is said to target a valuation of 5 billion $ or Rs 37500 Cr
Let's look at their peers -
- We see that peers trade at lesser valuations, no surprises here, this is a startup IPO after all, so they are going to milk the Euphoria for sure
15/n
- Topline Growth largely seems M&A led (wasn't able to find subs revenue contribution but Spoton one sub contributed 17.4% to total revenue in FY21)
To conclude, we will know more when the company comes for an IPO and the pricing is known!
16/n
Indian Logistics Sector Overview -
- The Indian logistics sector is one of the largest in the world
- Presents a large addressable opportunity, with a
direct spend of US$216 billion in Fiscal 2020. The sector is expected to grow to US$365 billion by Fiscal 2026
17/n
This growth will come from -
- Improvement in India’s transportation infrastructure, especially highway connectivity
- Growth of the domestic manufacturing sector, driven by favorable policy support and increased domestic and foreign investments
18/n
Comparison between US, China, and India Logistics Markets
Comparison of business models of Logistics Players across the US, China, and India
Structure of the Indian Logistics Market
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Road Transportation - Largest Segment of Indian Logistics
- NH network of 150,000 km
- Second largest road network in the world
- 70-80% of freight movements in India are short-to-medium haulage, where road transportation is the quickest and cheapest alternative.
20/n
The total road transportation market was estimated at US$124 billion in Fiscal 2020 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~8% to reach US$200 billion in Fiscal 2026.
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Delivery sub-segments -
Express Delivery -
- Delivery of parcels weighing < 40 kgs
- typically e-comm orders or business documents, with TAT of 3-4 days
- Estimated to be ~US$2.3 billion in FY20, to reach US$10-12 billion by FY26, CAGR of 28-32%.
22/n
- This segment has been driven by e-comm growth & rising customer expectations for delivery speed.
- E-comm industry in India grew by 31% from FY18 to FY20. Estimated to grow 30-33% from FY20-26.
- E-commerce volume - 1.5 billion shipments in
FY20, to reach 8-9 bn in FY26
23/n
PTL freight -
- Delivery of consignments with weights of between 10-2,000 kgs
- PTL providers operate a network of pick-up and delivery points and terminals where freight from different customers that are traveling in similar directions is consolidated
24/n
This consolidation leads to lower transportation costs for individual customers while providing faster delivery times and greater flexibility.
The PTL market, which was estimated to be US$13 billion in Fiscal 2020 is expected to double to US$26 billion in Fiscal 2026.
25/n
Truckload Freight (TL)
- delivery of a full truck/trailer load of freight, moving directly from shipper or origin point to consignee or point of destination
- The largest segment of road transportation
26/n
- Market size of US$109 billion in FY20. Expected to reach U$163 billion by FY26.
- Some of the largest end-users of TL freight include the FMCG, agriculture, raw materials, automotive and spare parts, manufacturing, retail, and pharma industries.
27/n
That's it, Folks! End of thread!
Thanks for reading :)
I highly recommend reading the DRHP!
Some rich data is given around logistics market setup in India and abroad, and around their company. The tech-enabled delivery section that shows all images is very cool!
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Ather IPO opened today - I read the DRHP over the weekend
Capex when it's not needed, bad numbers, losing market share, amazing product, and a great team
A thread on Ather and this IPO, do retweet -
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About Ather -
- Sells E-2Ws, software, charging infra, and smart accessories
- Battery packs made in-house
- Portable chargers/motors, Motor controllers, transmissions, DC-DC converters, harnesses, and chassis are designed by Ather, but manufacturing is outsourced
2/n
- Hosur Factory - Annual capacity - 4.2L Units (E2Ws) + 3.8L battery pack units (9MFY25)
- New capex post IPO for Factory 3.0 in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar to take this to 14.2 L Units
- 265 experience & 233 service centres in India, 9 in Nepal, 11 in Sri Lanka
The biggest winner in the Ather IPO is IIT-Madras Incubation Cell (IITMIC)!
IITMIC + IITMS Rural holds 15.58 L shares in Ather, valued at 50 Cr!
Their cost is just 15- 29L (1 Rs considered for IITMIC, but could be lower too)
172x to 333x made in 11 years! That's amazing :)
Forget Shark Tank, the real startup story is unfolding at IIT Madras Incubation Cell (IITMIC) in the IIT Madras Research Park
It has an 80% success rate with Startups!
I was there for an Investing conclave by TIA in Feb 2024 -
Quick History –
- Started with a 400 Cr debt, returned 600 Cr (principal+interest)
- IITMIC didn’t take any grants as they wanted to experience and showcase to startups how to create a sustainable bootstrapped business – they grew from the ground up in a lean way!
Reliance’s Jamnagar Refinery is an engineering marvel
It is the World's most complex and largest integrated, single-site refinery
It was the largest industrial investment made by an Indian enterprise at a single location
Some amazing facts on this Refinery -
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History –
Twenty-five years ago, on December 28, 1999, RIL launched its first refinery at Jamnagar
Overnight, this turned India from a fuel deficit nation to a self-sufficient one and later into a surplus, exporting gasoline and gasoil to Europe and the US
Img - BS
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It wasn’t so easy!
When RIL first spoke of it, experts said that it would be impossible for an Indian company to set up the world's largest grassroots refinery in 3 years. RIL did it in a world-record time of 33 months!
Lack of infra and a severe cyclone also hit Jamnagar
I have read 170 books in the last 5 years – 18 in 2024, 38 books in 2023, 30 books in 2022, 50 in 2021 and 34 in 2020 (List of books of earlier years in the end)
List of all the books that I read in 2024 and my top 6 picks –
Books I read in 2024 –
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1 - Behind Bars in Byculla: My Days in Prison by @JignaVora5 (Scoop series is based on the book)
2 – Cobalt Red: How the Blood of the Congo Powers Our Lives by @siddharthkara
2/n
3 - Spreading Joy: How @Joyalukkas Became the World's Favourite Jeweller by Joy Alukkas, Thomas Scaria and Nidhi Jain
4 – The Winning Way: Learning from Sport Managers by @bhogleharsha and @BhogleAnita
5 - From Oberoi To OYO: Behind The Scenes by Chitra Narayanan
India's biggest Solar PV modules Manufacturer and exporter Waaree Energy has opened up its IPO
With an installed capacity of 13.3 GW, it is more than 3x the size of Adani and bigger than the next 3 players combined!
Everything you need to know about the company and the IPO -
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About the co. -
- Largest manufacturer and exporter of solar PV modules in India
- Total capacity of 13.3 GW (5.4 GW online soon), 21 GWe in FY27
- Has a PLI for 6 GW Ingot, Wafer, cell and Module manufacturing unit
- 5 manufacturing facilities in India (143+ Acres)
2/n
- The best part is they sell the entire setup from solar panels to inverters to batteries (cells also in FY27)
- 39.3% of sales in Q1FY25 were exports – largest export % to US
- It’s not easy to be market leader that too by a huge margin when you have competitors like Adani