The transport sector accounts for 24% of global energy related CO2 emissions and is the fastest growing emission source. Yet, a clear-cut transformation path is missing. To close this gap @TUMInitiative and @UTSEngage developed a robust scenario: the #TUMIOutlook 1.5˚C. ➡️🧵1/9
Only urgent climate action today will limit global warming: We have 99 months from 2021 to 2030 to take significant action. The TUMI Transport Outlook 1.5˚C provides concrete pathways of action towards a transport sector in line with the Paris Agreement.
For the first time we map out a global roadmap to a transport sector in line with the 1.5˚ C threshold. The recommendations build around 3 pillars:
1 Avoiding the need to travel 2. Shifting to more efficient modes of transport 3. Improving efficiency through vehicle technology
➡️To remain within 1.5°C we need to phase out sales of internal combustion engine vehicles by 2030.
➡️Electric mobility 🔋⚡powered by renewable energy is the future. We can’t achieve global decarbonization of transport without it.
🚶♀️🚲Investment in walking and cycling infrastructure is needed. Cities from Amsterdam to Bogota show how to curb passenger vehicle usage & increase livability.
➡️50% active mobility modal shift should be targeted for 2030.
➡️Double public transport capacity by 2030 👇
🚌🚇🚋Public Transport is the backbone of low-carbon transportation. To leverage its potential, the capacity of public transport needs to be doubled, with attention paid to service quality and convenience.
➡️By 2030 at least 70% of rail needs to be electrified. The 1.5°C pathway assumes a 30% shift of freight transported via trucks to rail. Complete global diesel locomotive phase out is assumed by 2050. Full electrification via overhead / battery electric trains needs to be pursued
➡️Prioritize electricity⚡as the primary fuel for transport. 👇
No matter the scenario, to limit greenhouse gas emissions, all transport fuels need to be carbon free by 2050. Renewables in transport are the only way to meet the 1.5°C pathway.