In the short term, I think the Metaverse is unlikely. But in the long term, it's a bet that affluent consumers are going to spend more and more time at home rather than out in the world where A/R use would be dangerous and alienating. This seems like a pretty reasonable bet.
And the fact that it hasn't shown up, 30 years after Stephenson described it ... well, Robert Heinlein predicted ubiquitous cell phones in 1948. When I graduated college in 1995, this still seemed like a pipe dream. Yet check your pockets.
Maybe V/R will never really take off because of the nausea problems. But maybe kids will embrace it first, as with all new tech, and eventually we fogies will either die off or belatedly climb on board the virtual train. I wouldn't dare try to predict from my own preferences.
I will say that even five years ago I would not have thought that my 77 year old mother, a broad-spectrum technophobe, would be texting and playing scrabble on her phone.

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More from @asymmetricinfo

3 Nov
Completely anecdotal data point on whatever we want to call the thing that Republicans are calling CRT in schools: I have a dear college friend sufficiently far to the left that she refuses to read my columns, lest it impact our friendship.
She's also a suburban mom in a super-liberal suburb.
Nonetheless, the last time I visited, I got an earful about what her kids were hearing in school, because she's not super politically engaged, and had missed the shift that labels the race-blind ideals she learned from her (now deceased) mother as racist.
Read 6 tweets
3 Nov
Reupping my column from a few weeks back: liberal media bias may end up hurting Democrats rather than helping them if it keeps Democrats from processing this loss. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
The lens media prefers--Republicans are bigots, Trump is a fascist, the long dark night of authoritarianism is but a few inches from descending o'er the land, every Dem with a narrow majority is the next FDR--isn't a good way to run a race, or govern if you want to win another.
But of course media figures have their own incentives which are somewhat different from those of people who want to win elections (v. much including me!)
Read 6 tweets
25 Oct
So today I wrote for the first time about something weird that happened to me a while back: I got a chronic mystery ailment that made me dizzy and nauseated.
I'm not even sure exactly how many years I was sick for, because it crept up so slowly. At first I was just a little--off. Tightness in my chest, slightly faint, nauseated. Easily confused with low blood sugar or silent migraines, both of which I'd suffered from time to time.
Over the years, it steadily got worse: I never passed out but I came about as close as you can without losing consciousness, including sometimes falling to the ground.
Read 39 tweets
14 Oct
I gather from the response to this that many on the left are unaware that California reduced all theft below $950 to a misdemeanor, and San Francisco went farther, essentially decriminalizing shoplifting. hoover.org/research/why-s…
This makes them understandably suspicious that Walgreens is lying about the reason for the store closures, but no, really, it's basically impossible to stop thieves from ransacking your stores. CA rolled back a bit by making it a felony for participants in organized rings...
... but that doesn't necessarily help if you're just being ransacked by ordinary drug addicts or petty thieves, and also, proving that thieves are part of an organized shoplifting ring is a lot harder than catching someone shoplifting and turning them over to the cops.
Read 4 tweets
9 Oct
I appreciate the shift clothes retailers have made towards showing a wide variety of body types, but why can't you input your BMI and have the system choose the photo closest to you?
I recently went to browse for jeans and found maybe 70% of the images shown were on plus sized models, leaving me completely unable to choose from the dozens of options, since what the jeans look like hugging ample curves bears no resemblance to what they'll look like on me.
Obviously, it wasn't better when people with curves were equally puzzled about what jeans shown a size four would look like translated to their figure. But it seems like we now have the technological tools to solve this!
Read 4 tweets
7 Oct
Independent of any current political issues, this qualified defense of ethnic retail politics--or as we've now branded them, "identity politics"--is one of my favorite pieces I ever wrote, so I'm resurfacing it.

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
tl;dr: Liberal proceduralism often ends up as IDpol for educated elites, and tends towards sclerosis. IDpol endures b/c it delivers respect, revenge for past discrimination, and even some kinds of public goods that LP struggles with--at the cost of corruption and slower growth.
Unmentioned in the piece, but implied: Roosevelt remains such a hero to Democrats because he and LBJ were the only Democratic presidents who successfully married these two warring strains within the party--and unlike LBJ, FDR chose a good war to join.
Read 5 tweets

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