Max Koh Profile picture
Nov 15, 2021 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Before going into $SE Q3 earnings...

Here's a review of last quarter's transcript (Q2 2021)

I hope this helps refresh your memory.

Here's 5 things that stood out that's good to keep in mind:
1. Free fire is not affected by competing battle royale mobile games

FF has competitors since some time back.

But they don't see any effect because people don't treat FF just like a shooter game.

It's a place where they go to hangout and socialize, enjoy new content.
2. Much more room for monetization

Shopee still has lots of ad inventory.

Many of their sellers are not educated about ads and promotions.

So penetration is still low, and there's a long runway ahead to monetize.

They don't have to raise commissions and taxes just to make $$.
3. Buying frequency in Indonesia is now 7x a month

This number was 4-5x a month last year.

It's now increased to 7x a month.

Shows the stickiness of the platform, and enduring habits kicking in.
4. Their ads and marketing spend are strategic

It's NOT just a defensive move

Some time back:

There was concern that a key risk for Shopee is if they stop spending on S&M, they will lose share to competitors.

It doesn't seem so now.
It's more of a managed outcome now.

They are spending to capture more users during festive seasons

Example: during Ramadan, where the ROI will be more efficient.

It's more of a strategic play.
5. Consistent thesis: go for scale and dominance, profits come naturally

YJ wang has been repeating this across several earnings calls.

The thesis is still the same.

And they have been consistent in their messaging.

Tells me their priorities are clear and focused:
Go for scale and dominance first...

And profits will take care of itself later.

Evidence of this playbook taking shape:

Malaysia EBITDA positive (before HQ costs), following in footsteps of Taiwan
If you like this, follow me at @heymaxkoh

I share my journey on:

- How I attained financial freedom before 30

- My investing strategies

- How I research companies to buy

Last but not least, always remember:

Buy everything on... (wait for it)...

Shopee - pi - pi - pi - pi!

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More from @heyamaxkoh

Jan 20, 2023
This is value investor, Allan Mecham.

He dropped out of college at age 22 to start his fund, Arlington Value.

From 2008-2016, they did a CAGR of 30% over 8.5 years!

And in his fund letters, he shared his best frameworks for investing in companies.

Here's a breakdown of each:
1. Adopt a mindset for longevity

He focuses on variables that affect a business' durability.

Stuff like valuation doesn't matter if the business quality is misjudged.

Since a company's value is determined by its future cash flows...

Hence evaluating its future is key
2. Stay within your circle of competence

Allan is aware that his CoC is tiny!

Thus, he rarely buys companies that he:

• Hasn't researched
• Hasn't followed for at least a few years.

Because the best way to study a business is to observe its execution overtime.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 17, 2023
One of the great investors of our time: Li Lu

During his talks at CBS and Peking Uni, he’s shared many of his thoughts on:

- Researching a stock
- Thinking like an owner
- Behaviours of a good investor

Here’s a breakdown of 15 of his investing mental models:
1. Think Like a Business Owner

Your fortunes go up and down with the nature of the business.

You don’t think of yourself as a paper shuffler.

But instead, as a real owner.

And because you only own a small piece, you need a margin of safety before buying in.
2. You Are a Researcher More Than an Investor

Most of your time is spent reading.

You operate more like a field detective and journalist.

This helps you understand a business well so you can own it with conviction.
Read 21 tweets
Jan 11, 2023
How to read an Annual Report in 1 hour.

A step by step guide for busy people:

(also for investing newbies)
1. For me, reading a 10k is purely to understand one thing:

A company's business model.

That's it.

This includes:

- what products they sell
- how they make $$
- basic unit economics

Fine tune your antenna to look for that.
2. Limit your time.

I find that 45-60 mins is a typical duration before I start feeling sleepy.

With this in mind, it creates urgency for me to move fast before steam runs out.

I become more selective of what I read in the 10K.

Which helps me remember the best ideas I need.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 6, 2023
17 life-changing lessons from "Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Taleb that gave me a mindf**k.

I hope it does the same for you too:
1. Hard work and work ethic is BS

Those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy.

Work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.
2. Lucky fools do not think they are lucky fools.

Be careful who you listen to or take advice from.
Read 20 tweets
Nov 2, 2022
Secrets on how to find 10-100 baggers

My top 8 tweets:
1. Turning $3.6k into $1M

Someone else shared this, but their account went private.

I don't take any credit for this.

But it's a good lesson.

This guy from Reddit bought 300 shares of $AMZN at $12.50 in 2001. It has now become a 280 bagger.

Read his thought process here:
2. Real life 100 baggers by @mrjivraj

I love this.

What makes it awesome is seeing retail investors like you and me buy shares of $AAPL and $MSFT in the early days.

Is there luck? Yes.

But a good reminder that the real $$ is made in the holding.

Read 13 tweets
Oct 17, 2022
90% of business acquisitions fail.

But there are exceptions:

Mark Leonard, Founder of Constellation Software $CSU, is one of them.

He's acquired over 500 companies in the last 2 decades...

Turning $25 Million into $39 Billion.

Here's his "Growth by Acquisition" playbook: Image
Okay I'm a jerk.

This is the real photo of Mark Leonard.

Now let's get to the serious stuff...

5 lessons from Mark's "Growth by Acquisition" Playbook:

1. Focus on niche players
2. Focus on sticky softwares
3. Buy founder led companies
4. Decentralization
5. Keep teams small Image
To put things in context:

Every $1 you invested in Constellation Software in 2006...

Would have turned into $100 in 2022.

Over the last 16 years, its stock has compounded at over 30% a year.

What's the secret? Image
Read 25 tweets

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