I would never have guessed that The Spectator would become a "what the North needs is a return to industry not a modern economy with a strong services sector" magazine. But there it is.
There's been quite a lot of that in recent days. The "real people" of the North need to get back in their mines and mills and leave the clever services stuff to London and the clever boffin stuff to Oxford and Cambridge. Wrapped up in the language of equality. From the right. 🤦‍♂️
"Humberside needs more industrial jobs, and connectivity by rail and road" > so the roads bit is done. Humber Bridge plus M62 plus M180. The rail is shocking. Yesterday cancelled* electrification to Hull and any hope of Grimsby, Cleethorpes, Scunthorpe et al. trains to Leeds.
The Northern Powerhouse Rail stuff that was cancelled was about freeing up room for rail freight from Immingham to the West. Currently it shares track with Leeds to Manchester express trains. The HS2 stuff was about freeing room on the East Coast from Immingham to the South.
Transport for the North actually spoke to the people who do the industry. People like @Juergen_Maier who has done more for industry in the North than most. They did the work. Drew up the plans. And we get this "get back in the mines and mills" stuff back after it's cancelled.
The North needs industry and connectivity and brains. Building wind turbines in Hull isn't metal bashing. Making the lipids for the mRNA Covid vaccines in Snaith isn't boiling some wool in a pot. You need Dutch-style connectivity to move goods and people and talent. That was NPR.
The Dutch built a new railway from Rotterdam to Germany to keep Rotterdam as Europe's leading port and to get freight off the passenger railways. They build a new high speed railway from Amsterdam South to get to Antwerp, Brussel, Lille, Paris and free up space within Holland.
They also built a new railway from Holland to the North East as part of adapting to their newest deindutrialisation (end of gas in the North East) and I have quite high confidence they will succeed, as they have in Limburg (capital Maastricht) and North Brabant (Eindhoven).
But maybe the Dutch would be even more more prosperous than us if they paid more attention to British right wing economic thinking. 🙃
Read more about what the people of the Dutch red wall do now. Live from Eindhoven, once their most industrialised city. Probably jobs better left to boffins in London, Cambridge, and Oxford by UK right-wing thinking. economist.com/business/2020/…
"Eindhoven doesn't need improved access to Europe by rail and to the world via Rotterdam and Amsterdam,... it just needs better local buses, free parking, and to bring back the glory days of its light bulb factory" > The Spectatoor in 1978, probably.

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More from @thomasforth

20 Nov
"How has the Government managed to spark a great trainline robbery row despite capital spending rising almost 50 per cent in the early 2020s and transport getting a big share of this rising pie?" ask @TorstenBell in his Top of the Charts. I'll explain. resolutionfoundation.org/comment/happy-…
@TorstenBell This is a "that's your GDP not ours" type story. Capital investment in transport in England (elsewhere is partly devolved) has been rising for two decades now and is at a record high. But it's not risen at all in Yorkshire or North East England. The increase is very London.
@TorstenBell The UK government has tried a few times to cook the books on this stuff. They tried (very quickly smacked down) to not assign Crossrail spending to a region because it was a "national project". They tried (for longer) with HS2 to assign the spending to regions it would benefit.
Read 12 tweets
20 Nov
There is a pretty large group of people in North England who think that we don't need a tram, nor rail of any form, to achieve economic success. We can do it all with cars and buses and still be prosperous and pay more of our own way within the UK.
I've listened to and read their arguments, I think they're nonsense, so I mostly ignore them. But the part I always wonder about is why they think that everywhere else in the whole world has come to a different conclusion to them.
ps. if there were no restrictions on building on the greenbelt and if Leeds was allowed to sprawl like Houston,... I think they might be quite close to being right. For all the other downsides I do believe that a car-based economy can be successful (GDP measure).
Read 4 tweets
19 Nov
No surprise to me. UK central government has always been embarrassed by how much better Transport for the North were at many things than core DfT and the Treasury. So Whitehall and Westminster have been killing it off. manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-m…
If you fail in the North, it's your own fault. If you succeed in the North, changes will be made until you fail. It's a common pattern. Used all the time.
I wrote up how the UK government killed off Tech North because it was too successful here. I have many more examples. tomforth.co.uk/technation2/
Read 4 tweets
19 Nov
They are also all massive double-decker trains that run on electricity. Eindhoven is a city about the size of Hull.
Oh and the Dutch national railways require no operating subsidy*. Zero. Zilch. None. Nada. Not a €. When you invest in infrastructure (almost all Dutch railways are electrified, stations are modern with level boarding and loads of bike parking) you save money over time.
At the risk of sending @GarethDennis into a pit of despair, a Dutch railway person once explained to me why they were doing level boarding at the stations. Just brutally honest in saying it would mean they didn't have to pay staff to help people get on and off trains.
Read 4 tweets
18 Nov
Let's say you wanted to compare spending over the past 12 years by region/nation of the UK on detailed things like "railway" and "local public transport". We built a tool @ODILeeds to let you do that. open-innovations.org/projects/jrf/u…
@ODILeeds All open source code for the analysis. All open data for the data. Lets you make graphs like this. Does all the "yes but per capita" and "yes but inflation" and "yes but what about current spending vs. capital spending" that people will demand that you do. open-innovations.org/projects/jrf/u…
@ODILeeds If you're happy with less detail, you can have twenty years of data. open-innovations.org/projects/jrf/u…
Read 6 tweets
18 Nov
This is a really important graph. Most people don't know about it. Some people who do know about it misrepresent it, some of them deliberately and there's been a fair bit of that in recent days. So I thought I'd stick my neck in,.. trying to offend everyone equally.
First of all, I'm just going to look at the regions of England. Wales, Northern Ireland, and (especially) Scotland already host lively debates about their fiscal position within the UK. I am not going to help with those, so I'll just look at England.
The UK is a nation of regional solidarity. Public spending varies little across the nation while tax receipts vary enormously across the nation. Big spenders (VAT), high wages (income tax and NIC), expensive houses (stamp duty), etc... mean London & SE England pays lots of tax.
Read 20 tweets

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