The conundrum of Romania, which just a few weeks ago was being held out as a disaster because of its low vaccination rate which is still very low in comparison to most other nations:
Romania did indeed have a sharp increase in cases, and viewed from a month or so ago it must have looked worrying.
But as ever, it appears that "virus is gonna virus" according to seasonal waves upon which interventions, including vaccines, have little effect.

In the same countries now - cases rising in all except Romania, where they are plummeting:
It is interesting that this wave in Romania has been so sharp and narrow - quickly up and quickly down.

The UK appears "stuck" at a certain level - albeit thankfully with quite low deaths - and only time will tell what will happen in the others.

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More from @jengleruk

21 Nov
This is the conclusion from a paper published in one of the major journals of cardiovascular medicine.

The study is of 566 patients aged 28 to 97 undergoing testing within a preventative screening program.

The dramatic changes “became apparent in most patients.”

1/
So we now appear to have:

- increased reporting of a range of cardiac events in all major adverse events reporting systems

- worrying trends in younger non-Covid mortality

3/
Read 6 tweets
18 Nov
This will be remembered for the soloist violinist losing a string mid-concert - but the ludicrous dystopia of nearly an entire orchestra donning useless and possibly harmful masks is more notable.

1/

2. there are a few recalcitrant win instrument players there.

They obviously didn't find this page:

khn.org/news/musicians…

2/
Or the various listings on Etsy, like this:

3/

etsy.com/ca/listing/861…
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
Good to see concerns raised by several people getting an airing in the MSM.

It is instructive to look at EUROMOMO data - which comprises aggregated mortality data for the 28 participating countries:

euromomo.eu/graphs-and-map…

1/
All-ages cumulative mortality is now not too disimilar to last year.

That in itself would make this a rather unusual pandemic in that it would be expected to have a mortality deficit in the year following the main wave.

2/
Indeed, in the group which accounts for a very high proportion of Covid deaths - over 85 years - total mortality this year is now in line with other recent years before 2020.

(Dark blue is 2020, light blue is 2021.)

3/
Read 11 tweets
6 Nov
Devastating critique of the desperation becoming evident in UKHSA as they try to explain away data which suggests the opposite of what they’d like it to show.

I also recommend this:

People seem to forget that infections, defined as symptoms + a positive PCR, is the only endpoint shown in a controlled clinical trial to be reduced by the vaccines.

(That’s not to say the trials look well-conducted, or necessarily of clinical relevance to most healthy people.)
So it’s a bit rich to start deflecting from the implications of an apparently increasingly worsening position in respect of the very same clinical endpoint used to justify the entire vaccination rollout.
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
I have been asked to explain, in a nutshell, why I and my fellow travelers appear to be less worried about the virus than the vaccine, when for everyone else it is the other way around.

Here is the simplest explanation I can think of.

1/
Basically, quite early on in the pandemic, we noticed that only a small proportion of those exposed got ill.

Take the Diamond Princess cruise ship for example. Only 20% developed any symptoms despite the elderly complement on board.

2/
In healthy people under a certain age, there appears to be very little chance of significant illness. The body seems to fight off the virus without incident in nearly all cases.

3/
Read 16 tweets
3 Nov
I don't know why people are making such a fuss of this, I really don't.

When I was at school a couple of friends tragically dying suddenly for unexplained reasons in the same week was a frequent occurrence.

1/

express.co.uk/news/uk/151570…
And hence there is absolutely no reason to suspect this is connected to this story from the local paper in that region:

2/
stokesentinel.co.uk/news/uk-world-…
Nor any reason to ask any questions at all about this tragic death, also in the same region:

3/

thesun.co.uk/news/16618183/…
Read 6 tweets

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