➡️You will think it will decimate BJP with this vote share. You are wrong. There will be rebels on more than 40 seats in MVA assuming they fight alone and they will eat each other’s vote share.

Plus BJP’s worst case scenario is near to Sena’s best case scenario in Mumbai.
➡️As Election progresses BJP will only move ahead.

➡️Devendra Fadnavis must be relieved of his responsibilities as Goa Election incharge as he is needed in Maharashtra as Chandrakant Patil is not that useful. If needed Vinod Tawde should be deputed to Goa.
➡️ Nitesh Rane’s Marathi Katta is receiving good response so far.

➡️ Most of you won’t agree but Narendra Modi is needed to bring out BJP’s middle class voters to polling station. Sena’s voters come mainly from slum areas & they will go to vote with enthusiasm.
➡️ Ward delimitation is under progress & I think they will try to make as many Muslim dominated wards as possible but that will lead to counter polarisation.

➡️ Moreover voters in Gujarati & North Indian areas are concentrated & not present everywhere so BJP will win easily in
such areas.

➡️ Candidate selection is important in local polls so only Narayan Rane, Amit Shah & Fadnavis should be part of that process. If Nadda or Patil are made incharge that won’t be good.
That’s all I have for now.

Will give final prediction of vote share in December End.

If you any queries then comment.

I will say BJP is getting 15 wards more than Sena even with 3% vote deficit. The difference will only increase that’s why they are delaying elections.

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More from @NewsArenaIndia

23 Nov
Thread on BMC Elections

Currently BJP has an ambitious aim of defeating Shiv Sena in Mumbai.

If BJP wants to achieve this Herculean task it will have to implement a mix of its strategy in GHMC & Bodoland Territorial Council elections.
➡️ Like GHMC BJP will have to field all its top line leaders in Mumbai & if possible even PM @narendramodi.

➡️First of all it will increase pressure on opposition cadres. Moreover it will ensure good turnout in BJP bastions of Charkop, Borivali, Mulund, Kandivali and Colaba.
➡️ Personally speaking I don’t like usage of top brass for local elections but when I check turnout for 2019 Lok Sabha & 2019 Assembly I realise that NaMo is very much necessary to bring out lazy BJP voters across India.
Read 17 tweets
7 Nov
Mid Term Opinion Poll for 10 Lok Sabha seats of Haryana

BJP+ : 7-9
INC : 1-3

Factors in favour of BJP in Haryana -

1. PM Narendra Modi is tallest leader for Haryanvis & they support BJP primarily due to him.

2. State Govt ended Parchi system (corruption) in Govt jobs.
3. 75% of reservation for locals in jobs will do wonders.

4. ML Khattar is tallest non-Jat leader in 55 years history of Haryana.

5. Jats V/S Non-Jats consolidation is at peak in Haryana & it will give rich political dividends to BJP
Factors Against BJP :

1. On couple of seats Jats are more than 35% which will cause big trouble for BJP.

2. Unemployment as per GoI figures is another big trouble but with Khattar’s efforts it is being dealt with.
Read 25 tweets

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