Richard 📊📉 Profile picture
Nov 23, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Latest view on England covid hospital admissions (as of 23-Nov) with 648 reported for 21-Nov.

The 7 day average is now 675, equivalent to around 10-Oct (i.e. 39 days ago), a reduction of 87 (11%) in the last week.
Latest view on England patients with a +ve covid test currently in hospital, with 6,257 reported as of 8am on 23-Nov.

The count is now 6,257, a reduction of 366 (6%) in the last week.
Age ranges of England hospital admissions. Note this age-range data lags a day or so behind the above totals data.
Percentage view of age ranges of England hospital admissions.
Some additional content (mainly variations of the above charts) is available here: …ddatashare.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/Hospital/Hospi…
Chart to compare the Admissions projections from the 8-Sep SPI-M-O consensus statement with actuals.

This are the projections being used as basis for calls for additional restrictions.

The document says the likely trajectory is between green and blue lines.
Selection of models from the 13-Oct SPI-M-O document for Autumn/Winter scenarios with the latest actuals.

Unusually, they have under-estimated but still goes to show how (as stated by the modellers themselves) they are not a reliable indicator of what will actually happen.

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More from @RP131

May 27, 2022
61 new #covid19uk deaths reported today (27-May). This brings the rolling average by date of death (allowing 4 days for lag) to 70, equivalent to around 21-Jul (i.e. 303 days ago), a reduction of 34 (33%) in the last week.
Closer look at the latest 45 days, with today's added numbers highlighted in orange. Individual nations and animated England charts further down the thread.
Longer term charts for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
Read 6 tweets
May 27, 2022
4,661 new #covid19uk positive tests reported today (27-May).

Overall England is DOWN 22% on previous Friday and day-1 lateral flow positives are also down by 19%.

England's rolling average by specimen date has now been dropping since the 21st of March (67 days ago).
Chart to show England positive tests (as of 27-May) by breakdown of first infection events and possible reinfection events.

Possible reinfections were added to the data from 31-Jan and the rolling average vs. total tests is currently about 17%.
Longer term view. 4,661 new #covid19uk positive tests reported today (27-May). This brings the rolling average by specimen date (allowing 4 days for lag) to 6,958, equivalent to around 08-Jun (i.e. 346 days ago), a reduction of 1268 (15%) in the last week.
Read 7 tweets
May 26, 2022
91 new #covid19uk deaths reported today (26-May). This brings the rolling average by date of death (allowing 4 days for lag) to 71, equivalent to around 24-Jul (i.e. 299 days ago), a reduction of 35 (33%) in the last week. Image
Closer look at the latest 45 days, with today's added numbers highlighted in orange. Individual nations and animated England charts further down the thread. Image
Longer term charts for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
May 26, 2022
8,369 new #covid19uk positive tests reported today (26-May).

Overall England is DOWN 21% on previous Thursday and day-1 lateral flow positives are also down by 16%.

England's rolling average by specimen date has now been dropping since the 21st of March (66 days ago). Image
Chart to show England positive tests (as of 26-May) by breakdown of first infection events and possible reinfection events.

Possible reinfections were added to the data from 31-Jan and the rolling average vs. total tests is currently about 17%. Image
Longer term view. 8,369 new #covid19uk positive tests reported today (26-May). This brings the rolling average by specimen date (allowing 4 days for lag) to 7,239, equivalent to around 09-Jun (i.e. 344 days ago), a reduction of 1145 (14%) in the last week. Image
Read 7 tweets

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