1/ Have we vaccinated enough people to transition from PANDEMIC to ENDEMIC transmission of SARS-CoV-2?
No, not nearly enough.
nytimes.com/live/2021/11/2… with @nytimes' @MaggieAstor
No, not nearly enough.
nytimes.com/live/2021/11/2… with @nytimes' @MaggieAstor
2/ There's a lot of confusion about what we mean by PANDEMIC vs EPIDEMIC vs ENDEMIC.
Note that ENDEMIC doesn't mean the virus has gone away.
Note that ENDEMIC doesn't mean the virus has gone away.
3/ A good way to think about the difference is the shape of the case curve.
Once almost everyone is immune, then most susceptible people in the population fall into a couple categories:
- newly born
- migrating into the population
- waning immunity (esp elderly)
Once almost everyone is immune, then most susceptible people in the population fall into a couple categories:
- newly born
- migrating into the population
- waning immunity (esp elderly)
4/ SARS-CoV-2 will eventually become ENDEMIC.
How we go from PANDEMIC to ENDEMIC is up to us:
- lots of infection, disease, & death?
- OR vaccinate, vaccinate, vaccinate?
Think of vaccination like ripping off a bandaid🩹.
The faster we get it over with, the fast we can move on.
How we go from PANDEMIC to ENDEMIC is up to us:
- lots of infection, disease, & death?
- OR vaccinate, vaccinate, vaccinate?
Think of vaccination like ripping off a bandaid🩹.
The faster we get it over with, the fast we can move on.
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