Every state Covid dashboard should include, at a minimum, 4 pieces of data:

# of new cases
# of new tests
positive-test rate
# of new hospitalizations (w/# of hospitalized people).

It's not that complicated. Every state has this information - just present it.
Vermont, for instance, gives you the number of new cases and the total number of people in the hospital with Covid. But it doesn't tell you how many new tests were done, so you have no idea if the case # reflects rising or lower incidence, or just fewer tests being done.
States should also give you the vaccination status of all new cases and hospitalizations, broken out into unvaccinated/partially vaccinated/fully vaccinated. (Oklahoma does this for hospitalizations.) But at the very least, get those 4 basic pieces of data on the front page.
As far as deaths go, it's fine if states present death data once a week (like CT, for instance, does). But states should always break out their death numbers by vaccination status, and present comparative risk ratios for infection, hospitalization, and death.

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More from @JamesSurowiecki

24 Nov
1. Recent case data from Vermont, which has been seeing a Covid spike, points to the fact that kids are a big part of the rise in Covid cases, and to the effectiveness of boosters.
2. Kids under 10 now have the highest case rate of any age group in Vermont, and that's driven, unsurprisingly, by kids in school - you can see how kids aged 5 to 11 have seen their case numbers rise much more steeply than older or younger kids in recent weeks.
3. Obviously, kids are at relatively low risk from Covid. But it's worth keeping in mind when people say things like, "Why is a highly vaxxed state like Vermont seeing case rise?" that part of the answer is "Because a big chunk of the increase in cases is in unvaxxed kids."
Read 10 tweets
22 Nov
So is Aaron Rodgers' toe problem connected to Covid? He said it's not turf toe, and it didn't become an issue until after he got Covid. And for some ppl, "Covid toe" - swollen toes, often with lesions - is so painful that they find it hard to wear shoes.
In fact, though I missed this at the time, Rodgers actually said last week on The Pat McAfee Show that the toe "was a Covid injury." But no one thought he was being serious - in fact, he got attacked on Twitter by ppl who thought he was mocking Covid.
If true, this is kind of fascinating, since if Rodgers had gotten vaccinated this summer, he would have dramatically reduced his chances of developing symptoms like Covid toe. And interesting that all the treatments he took - ivermectin, MaB - apparently did nothing to help.
Read 5 tweets
14 Nov
1. US vaccination data is a mess. The New York Times, relying on data from the CDC, says that 99% of senior citizens have received at least one dose, as you can see below. That would mean there are only ~550,000 seniors in the whole US who haven't gotten at least one shot.
2. But the NYT also says that 17 different states have vaccinated 92% of their senior citizens or less, including big states like Texas, Ohio, and Michigan, and collectively, the number of unvaxxed seniors in those states alone add up to well over 550,000.
3. As I tweeted yesterday, these state-level estimates are already way too high (it claims 20 states have vaccinated more than 98% of seniors). But even if you accept those, the NYT's (which is to say, the CDC's) national estimate conflicts with its own state-level estimates.
Read 11 tweets
13 Nov
The CDC’s numbers for vaccination coverage of senior citizens in the US are improbably high. The CDC now claims 99.9% of seniors aged 65-74 have gotten at least one shot. That’s much higher than state depts of health estimate, and improbably, impossibly high.
Getting 99.9% of people to do anything is incredibly difficult, and the idea that we’ve managed to do it with something as politically polarized as the Covid vax just doesn’t pass the smell test.
Some of the difference between CDC data and state data has to do with vaccines administered by federal entities, but it’s hard to see how that explains Kansas, for instance, saying 85% of its seniors have gotten at least one dose while CDC says 99.9% have.
Read 5 tweets
11 Nov
1. Important article about the UK. Covid cases have now fallen, week over week, for 18 days. New hospitalizations and deaths have barely risen over the past month, and are far lower than they were last yr at this time, even though the UK is far more open.
2. Last year at this time in the UK, cases were rising at a fast clip, as were hospitalizations and deaths, and they continued to rise for more than 2 months. Right now, cases are falling, and hospitalizations and deaths are relatively flat. And it's because of the vaccines.
3. One thing the UK has done very well is vaccinate senior citizens, and it's now doing a good job of getting them boosters. (80% of 80+ have gotten boosters, and 69% of 70-79 have.) That's protecting them against infection, and also against severe illness and death.
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov
If you just learned yesterday that the people Kyle Rittenhouse shot were white, you have paid no attention to the case at all since it happened.
I don’t even know what the complaint here is: that the mainstream media should have made sure people who were no paying no attention at all to the case knew that the ppl Rittenhouse shot were white? How? CNN ran a big piece on the three guys when the trial started, with photos.
I will not be surprised if Rittenhouse gets off, and I have no idea if he’s a white supremacist or not. But the race of the people Rittenhouse shot has nothing to do with that question either way.
Read 4 tweets

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