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Travis Sawchik

1 Dec, 4 tweets, 1 min read

Reducing FA years to five years/or 29.5 years of age would help some players, but not many. Avg. service time fell from 4.8 years in 2003 to 3.7 years in 2019. Median service time much lower (under 2 years). Pre-arb issues should be at top of list. thescore.com/mlb/news/22265…

Getting arb to 2 years would have a much wider impact. Is it plausible to extract? Who knows. But it also might just mean even more pre-arb players on rosters. And there's already a lot of that. ...

The pre-arb bonus pool was an inspired idea by the MLBPA back in the summer. I assume it is still part of these new proposals but I'm not 100% certain.

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Travis Sawchik

@Travis_Sawchik

3 Dec

Free agency requirements haven't changed since 1976. Arbitration eligibility hasn't changed much since '91. Player career length has changed *a lot.* Service time declined 23% from 2003 to '19. Manfred wrote that MLB players have the best deal. They don't. thescore.com/mlb/news/22411…

There's been this pivot over a period of years where owners/MLB seems to be OK with the 1%ers, the Boras clients, getting their paydays. But the other 99%? That's the battleground.

Manfred even wrote in his letter about the November record signings ($1.3 billion of $1.9b tied to 10 players). 'See everything is fine.' But changes to arb and FA eligibility? Min salary hike? Pre-arb bonus pool? MLB not having that - despite dramatic changes to career arcs.

Read 13 tweets

Travis Sawchik

@Travis_Sawchik

1 Dec

If you thought the last week of MLB signings were crazy wait until what's on the other side of a lockout (if the freeze extends into Feb/March). We went back in time to 1995 to see what the spring of 2022 could look like: thescore.com/mlb/news/22384…

The 1994-95 strike ended on April 2. Dennis Eckersley became the first MLB FA to sign on April 3. ST camps opened on April 7. 139 other FAs followed him in signing deals leading into Opening Day on April 26. And that's before even getting into that whole matter of arbitration ...

While many of the top free agents are off the board, while the dollars were historic in November, the overall volume of signings isn't a recent outlier. If there's a long lockout, there's going to be a tremendous logjam of middle-class FAs that might have only a few weeks to sign

Read 4 tweets

Travis Sawchik

@Travis_Sawchik

17 Nov

There's been a lot of focus on free agency, arbitration, & incentivizing winning, and rightfully so, but the one thing that would impact the most players is overhauling the minimum salary system in MLB. thescore.com/mlb/news/22265…

No major sport N. American pro sport leans more upon minimum salaried players and no sport pays them less. 0-to-2+ service time MLB players accounted for 53.6% of days of service accumulated in 2019, the most recent full year of data we have, but just 9.8% of player pay. ...

To compare, at the opening of the NHL season this year, 23% of players were paid within 10% of the league's lowest wage. In the NBA, it was just 3%. MLB opened at 40% in 2021 and that increases with call-ups and replacements ...

Read 18 tweets

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